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Appendix A
Chief Willie Williams' Report
September 22, 1993
The Honorable Lloyd Bentsen
Secretary of the Treasury
U.S. Department of the Treasury
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20220
Dear Mr. Secretary:
I am pleased to submit my comments as an independent reviewer of the
Waco
Administrative Review. I have found that the investigative team which
you
assembled is of the highest quality and integrity. These men and women
have
worked tirelessly to uncover the facts surrounding the events which
led up to
and included the raid on David Koresh's residence near Waco, Texas,
on the
28th of February 1993.
I arranged my thoughts focusing first on the propriety to
investigate
Mr.
Koresh, and second on the facts surrounding the probable cause to seek
a
Search Warrant and Arrest Warrant. I then moved to the tactical
operation
on
the 28th of February. My comments address the serious issues of
managerial
oversight by both the Treasury Department and the Bureau of Alcohol,
Tobacco
and Firearms. Training is discussed as I conclude my comments by
offering
several insights which I believe will help both the Bureau of Alcohol,
Tobacco
and Firearms and the Treasury Department continue to serve this country
in the
manner we have come to expect.
It has been a pleasure to assist you in this very important undertaking.
Very truly yours,
[Signed]
WILLIE L. WILLIAMS
Chief of Police
Los Angeles, California
Enclosure
Report for the Waco Administrative Review
Independent
Reviewer Report
My first comments go the brave men and women of the Bureau of
Alcohol,
Tobacco and Firearms (A.T.F.) who were involved in the service of the
Search Warrant at the Branch Davidian compound in Waco, Texas. These
federal officers had a difficult task to accomplish if everything in
the
plan had worked as designed. The plan unraveled and the raiding party
was
ambushed and assaulted with the type of firepower that no municipal
or
federal law enforcement agency had ever before experienced.
The men and women in the A.T.F. SRTs, when faced with overwhelming
gunfire, still made every attempt to meet and complete their objective.
Several acts of bravery saved lives and prevented further serious
injury
to members of the warrant service teams. All of these agents should
be
commended for their actions.
2. The Special Investigative Team
The team of investigators assembled by the Treasury Department are,
in my
opinion, among the most experienced and knowledgeable that one could
ask
to conduct such a critical review. I am pleased to report that the
investigative review was conducted with the highest degree of honesty
and
integrity.
Mr. Ronald K. Noble, Assistant Secretary (Enforcement) is to be
complimented for his leadership of this review. Mr. Noble has been
quite
candid and insisted that no stone be left unturned in the quest for
what
occurred in the planning, execution, and recovery after the A.T.F.
raid
in Waco, Texas.
Appropriateness of the investigation of David Koresh
The investigative report is correct when it asserts that A.T.F. had
probable cause to investigate David Koresh for his purchases of huge
amounts of weapons parts, firearms and ammunition. The purchase of
many
of these parts was done for an illegal purpose -- that is to assemble
prohibited weapons. It was appropriate to conduct a full investigation
when it became apparent that David Koresh had also unlawfully purchased
AR-15 lower receivers which could be used to convert semi-automatic
rifles into fully automatic weapons similar to M-16 machine guns. This
type of information, coupled with other intelligence, was more than
enough to justify the opening of an investigative case on David
Koresh
who resided with others known as the Branch Davidians.
4. Justification to seek Search Warrants and Arrest Warrants
The evidence which the A.T.F. investigators accumulated to justify
seeking either arrest warrants or search warrants was more than
sufficient by January/February 1993.
It was known that Koresh had received M-16 parts which could be used
to
convert AR-15 semi-automatic rifles into fully automatic weapons. It
had
also been verified that Koresh had purchased AR-15 weapons. When A.T.F.
investigators learned that an arms dealer had intentionally lied to
them
and tried to hide the purchase of AR-15 lower receivers by Koresh,
this
further strengthened the evidence that Koresh was unlawfully possessing
and manufacturing machine guns or converted fully automatic weapons.
Investigators also had evidence that Koresh had in his possession
gunpowder and other ignition items which, when coupled with the grenade
shells he purchased, gave him the ingredient~s to manufacture live
grenades.
The A.T.F. investigators consulted with the U.S. Attorney's office
during
the investigation and did in fact secure a Search Warrant for the
Branch
Davidian Compound from a Magistrate Judge.
5. The Tactical Operation of February 28th, 1993
The tactical operation planned by A.T.F. personnel was designed with
several key assumptions being present to ensure a reasonable chance
of
success. These critical success factors include the following.
A. Surprise arrival of the A.T.F. SRTs and the inability of the
persons
in Koresh's compound to have time to react to the these events. This
was
a key critical success factor.
B. Finding most of the men outside and working in the pit area north
of
the compound.
C. The quick and successful entry of the compound by designated SRTs
and
the separation of persons inside from weapons in the upstairs arms
room.
D. Seizing the arms room by surprise entry from outside while the
residents were being detained both outside in the pit area and on the
first floor of the compound.
An examination of the planning for the operation indicates that
there
is
no copy of the entire raid plan available. It is apparent that the
planners had the raid plan in their heads but never reduced it to
writing. This omission led to a series of later failures by all
personnel
involved in the planned operation to have an opportunity to review
a
completed plan and question the assumptions. This lack of a completed
written plan also ensured that all those agents who should have had
a
clear understanding of what was expected of them and others did not.
This
is made very clear when you examine the type of information and
direction
given to the agents in the undercover house.
The fact of not having a clear written plan which listed the
critical
success factors almost ensured from the start, that when these success
factors began to unravel, no one would grasp the significance of the
unfolding events.
When examined in totality some reviewers agree that the plan was not
well
thought-out. The reasons include: no provision for contingencies; a
less
than adequate command and control of the SRTs and their support units;
the failure to design-an intelligence system which gathered all pieces
of
data and provided an analysis of this information; the failure of
adequate oversight from senior A.T.F. management and the Office of
the
Assistant Secretary of Treasury for Enforcement; and insufficient
reserve
personnel available or enough first aid and medical support on site.
After reviewing interviews conducted with A.T.F. personnel who
planned
the raid on February 28th, and all of those who had support or other
roles in the planning, it is my belief that the planners never thought
about, nor planned for a partial or full failure of the operation.
This,
in my opinion, is one of the greatest failures of management in A.T.F.
6. Management Oversight - Structural Deficiencies
The management oversight responsibilities between the Treasury
Department
and A.T.F. must be re-examined. At the time of the Waco raid on
February
28th, 1993, there was no written policy delineating areas of
responsibility that for example, required A.T.F. to notify anyone in
the
Treasury Department that A.T.F. was planning, or about to implement
a
raid such as the one planned and executed on February 28th. There was
no
policy that required the notification of the Treasury Department when
an
investigation of the magnitude of this one was contemplated or had
already begun.
The lack of active oversight by the Office of the Assistant
Secretary
for
Enforcement, Treasury Department, was one reason that there was no
early
notification by A.T.F. of the Waco raid. The fact that this was the
same
policy for several years only magnifies the problem. The investigative
report correctly points out that had oversight taken place, many
questions which needed to be asked may have come up much earlier.
The investigative report correctly states that had the Office of
Enforcement been involved in the early planning stages, its
intervention
might have led the planners to reevaluate the faulty factual
assumptions
on which they had relied. This failure contributed to a condition where
little or no analysis of intelligence information was made by those
at
A.T.F. headquarters or at the Treasury Department.
The understanding of the importance of intelligence and the
operational
decisions which were being built around these assumptions was
inadequate
at nearly every level of ATF's management from the command personnel
in
Texas who planned and executed the raid, to personnel at the National
Command Center to-the leadership at A.T.F. Headquarters. Moreover,
because such matters were outside the scope of the Office of
Enforcement's defined responsibilities, the office did not have an
adequate opportunity to rigorously scrutinize these matters.
7. Training Issues
This report points out several areas where training is needed in
areas
such as command and control decision-making. Training is needed at
all
levels on the importance of understanding what is meant by intelligence
gathering, how to analyze it and most importantly how to build a
tactical
operation around the facts and assumptions based on an investigation
and
the intelligence gathered. It is very apparent that senior managers
in
A.T.F. need advanced training in Media Relations. This investigation
shows that the A.T.F. leaders in Texas never successfully managed the
growing interest by the media in both the Branch Davidians and the
escalating activities by A.T.F. personnel in and around Waco, Texas.
Training is required to ensure that all members of A.T.F.,
particularly
field supervisors, have the requisite skills necessary to plan and
execute an investigation and operation such as the raid on the compound
of David Koresh.
I will not go into detail about all of the other training issues,
but
they
include command and control skills for SRT operations and particularly
the SRT
team leaders. Training must include how to set up an undercover
operation
and
what is expected of the undercover operatives. In this case, the agents
in the
undercover house were never given a clear mission. The agents in the
undercover house as an example, were never told of the raid planners'
assumption that the men in the compound would be outside when the raid
began.
CONCLUDING COMMENTS:
I was asked to be an independent reviewer of the work product of the
Waco
Administrative Review Team's report to the Secretary of Treasury.
The investigation team conducted an exhaustive and thorough review
of
the
events which led up to the raid on February 28th. The investigative
team's
report also offers clear and factual analysis of the events as they
unfolded
and what caused the plan to disintegrate as the first SRT personnel
alighted
from the cattle trailers.
The investigative report appropriately identifies improper planning
and offers
guidance to help ensure that A.T.F. does not repeat the same errors
in the
future.
I would recommend that upon review of the investigative report and
each
of the
Independent Reviewers' Reports, that the following should be
undertaken.
1. New procedures must be put in place to ensure appropriate
oversight
by the
Department of Treasury with each of its subordinate agencies.
2. The Director of A.T.F. and the other senior managers in
headquarters
must
take a more active role in oversight of field operations, especially
when they
are potentially of the magnitude of the David Koresh investigation.
3. A.T.F. must examine its goals and objectives and determine what
type
of
enforcement role it is going to require its agents to fulfill. Once
that role
is determined then it is the responsibility of both A.T.F. and the
Treasury
Department to ensure that the employees receive the training necessary
to meet
the objectives of the organization.
Expert Reports
Tactical Operations Experts
(alphabetically by author)
Wade Y. Ishimoto
John A. Kolman
George Morrison
John J. Murphy
Rod Paschall
Robert A. Sobocienski
AN INDEPENDENT ASSESSMENT
OF THE BUREAU OF ALCOHOL, TOBACCO & FIREARMS
RAID OF THE BRANCH DAVIDIAN COMPOUND IN WACO, TEXAS
PREPARED BY:
Wade Y. Ishimoto, Consultant
FOR THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF TREASURY
August 16, 1993
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary
....................................
B-9
I.
Introduction.......................................
B-11
II. Command and
Control...............................
B-11
III.
Intelligence.......................................
B-17
IV. Operations Security
..............................
B-21
V. Training and Exercises
............................
B-22
VI. Support Operations
...............................
B-23
VII. Weaponry, Armament, and
Other Equipment
.........
B-27
VIII.Concluding Remarks
................................
B-28
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
This Executive Summary is prepared in response to the major concerns
raised during my tenure on the
Department of Treasury's Waco Review team. My remarks represent
independent
analysis, and that analysis is
found in the body of this report. The body of the report also addresses
a number of potential improvements
which are not discussed in this Executive Summary.
I. The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (ATF) raid plan, as
conceived, had a reasonable chance of
success.
II. The critical success factors for the raid plan were not
necessarily
recognized nor understood by the leaders
of the ATF operation because of inexperience or lack of training. The
leaders I refer to extend from the Special
Response Team (SRT) Leaders all the way to the ATF Director. These
critical success factors were:
a. Surprise consisting specifically of:
(1) Insufficient advance warning of the impending raid to allow cult members to arm and deploy.
(2) The
Branch
Davidians not understanding the significance of the trucks/cattle
trailers
until these
vehicles were at least at the intersection of the compound road and
Double EE Ranch Road which would have
provided about 30 to 45 seconds of advance warning. The Branch
Davidians
would have found it difficult to arm
and deploy themselves in the manner witnessed during the actual
execution
of the search and arrest warrants.
b. Isolation of the majority of the cult's
weapons and ammunition from cult members through seizure of the
arms room located next to Vernon Howell's living quarters.
c. Successful entry by the ATF SRTs through
the front door of the compound which was critical to
separating cult members from the bulk of their weapons in the arms
room.
d. Finding the men in the compound working
in the outdoor (excavated pit or underground) area to the
North of the compound.
III. The reason for the raid's failure is directly attributable to
the
fact that the critical success factors defined
in II. above were, at best, only partially achieved. The fact that
the cult members were armed and deployed as
ATF deployed from their cattle trailers is particularly relevant.
IV. When viewed in totality, the raid plan was not well conceived
regardless
of my opinion that it had a
reasonable chance of success. The plan did not provide for
contingencies,
lacked depth, and did not provide
adequate command and control of support and tactical forces. My
assessment
is that the SRTs possessed the
minimal amount of training and experience to meet the raid's
objectives.
However, in an operation of this
magnitude, the SRTs require equally well-
trained and experienced command, control, and support personnel.
These
personnel lacked a requisite amount
of training and experience.
V. Other factors that contributed to the subsequent loss of life and failure to complete the mission include:
a. A complex command, control, and communications mechanism.
b. Less than adequate training in a number of different areas.
c. An intelligence system which was weak.
d. A lack of well-developed Operations Security (OPSEC) policy and procedures.
e. Equipment limitations.
f. Task organization that principally centered on SRT actions.
g. A lack of reserve forces.
h. A plan that was not developed in-depth to include contingency actions.
These and other factors pertinent to future success are discussed in the main body of this report.
VI. Key Recommendations and Findings:
a. ATF will require a future and continuing
SRT capability as long as that organization continues to have an
enforcement versus compliance-only mission.
b. Improvements are required in policy and
procedural guidance pertinent to high risk operations requiring
the use of ATF SRTs. This guidance must include command and control
matters, technical support
(communications and surveillance), investigative techniques to include
electronic monitoring, intelligence in
support of tactical operations, reorganization of SRTs to include
Forward
Observers, media relations, OPSEC,
use of the military, equipment to include armament, and training.
c. The key to success in raid operations,
no
matter how large or small, always resides in the field and with
field personnel. The actions of ATF Headquarters personnel on February
28, 1993, did not significantly
contribute to the success or failure of the mission. The proper role
for ATF Headquarters is one of planning
oversight, plan approval, and resource allocation prior to execution
of the operation. All parties must
strenuously avoid trying to run a field operation from a headquarters
location with subsequent
micro-management and loss of decisive action and decision-making in
the field.
I. INTRODUCTION
The missions of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, and Firearms (ATF)
bring
the men and women of this agency
face-to-face with a wide variety of criminal adversaries. The very
nature of the laws they must enforce in the
firearms and explosives arena virtually ensures that ATF agents are
subject to life-threatening situations in a
high percentage of their operations. They are also subject to a great
deal of public criticism from special
interest groups who are particularly vociferous over ATF enforcement
of firearms statutes.
During the last decade and a half, ATF's mission has expanded to
meet
greater criminal sophistication in the
use of explosives and firearms. Explosive attacks have always been
a favored tactic of those who wish to
terrorize the public; and the use of automatic weapons has also become
much more prevalent in the execution
of crimes.
I respect the difficulty of the ATF mission along with the
dedication
and bravery of their personnel. The death
of four agents and the wounding of sixteen in one action is
unprecedented
in American law enforcement.
After-the-fact criticism and "Monday-morning quarterbacking" are very
easy traps to fall into and made
preparation of this report difficult.
However, my review of the Branch Davidian event detects a very
definite
need to provide ATF personnel with
additional tools to allow them to better deal with situations like
they faced in Waco, Texas. These tools include
more defined policy in some areas, the need for written procedural
references, training, and some equipment. I
attempt to avoid individual criticism as that is a matter best left
to Department of Treasury personnel.
Unfortunately, my analysis also discovers some questionable individual
performance; and I would be remiss not
to discuss these possible shortcomings.
II. COMMAND AND CONTROL
A. ATF Headquarters
1. Concerns
over
the role of ATF Headquarters in commanding and controlling large raid
operations are expressed by members of Congress, Treasury officials,
and by ATF personnel at all levels.
These concerns evolve around possible poor performance and future roles
for ATF headquarters personnel.
a. I believe the overall performance of ATF Headquarters in command and
control of the
Waco raid was adequate except in the area of providing pre-raid support
to the field. The
headquarters role included plan review and approval, provision of
oversight
(e.g., asking of questions pertinent
to the investigation and need for a raid, and involvement of the
Special
Operations Division), and provision of
support.
b. There are two matters which I believe are worthy of further inquiry.
The first is whether
the raid could have been conducted earlier in February and the second
concerns procedures to obtain military
support.
With respect to the possibility of conducting the raid earlier in
February,
there are reports that the Houston
office proposed conducting the raid a week before February 28, 1993.
This meeting was supposedly postponed
because some key Headquarters personnel were unavailable. This implies
that the raid could have occurred
prior to publication of the Waco Tribune article and any subsequent
rise in awareness or paranoia by the
Branch Davidians. This is speculation but is worthy of additional
inquiry
to determine whether there is a
need to improve ATF policy and procedures with respect to approval
of an operation.
Based on my review, I am not confident that ATF Headquarters
understands
and has appropriate
policy to obtain military support for large-scale operations. The ATF
Military Liaison Officer appears
to be assigned from the Office of the Department of Defense (DOD)
Coordinator
for Drug Enforcement Policy
and Support. Interviews indicate that statements were made by the
Military
Liaison Officer that
narcotics-related activity was needed to justify military support.
If true, those statements are contrary to
existing DOD policy which permits support to law enforcement on a
reimbursable
basis. The alleged Branch
Davidian narcotics activity was tenuous, at best, and subjected ATF
to intense scrutiny by Congress. In
addition, the Special Operations Branch Chief does not appear to
understand
how military support is obtained.
This is unacceptable since the Military Liaison Officer works for the
Branch Chief and proper oversight cannot
occur unless the Branch Chief has a better understanding of this
matter.
Finally, field personnel also appear to
only understand how to obtain military support through
narcotics-related
activity.
c. Other headquarters shortfalls include a policy which limits the
firepower
available to the
field; limited ability to provide intelligence support; a lack of
understanding
of electronic surveillance
operations; and not providing additional technical support to the
field.
d. Over-reaction to the proper role of ATF Headquarters in command and
control of
future operations must be avoided. Studious attempts must be made to
avoid micro-management and the
accompanying deleterious effect it will have on decisive action and
decision-making in the field. The key to
success in raid operations resides in the field and with field
personnel.
I believe that the proper role for ATF
Headquarters is planning oversight, plan approval and resource
allocation
prior to the conduct of an operation.
Recommendations:
Existing ATF policy and procedures should be reviewed to ensure that
streamlined plan approval with
appropriate oversight will occur in the future.
Military support policy should be fully documented and either
included
or referred to in the National Response
Plan for ATF.
The policy on electronic surveillance should be reviewed and
consideration
given to improving ATF capabilities
to include possible augmentation of field personnel from headquarters.
(Note: The FBI has had a long-standing
plan and capability to augment their Field Divisions during crisis
situations.)
The ATF National Response Plan should be modified to better define
the
role of ATF Headquarters and their
field organizations.
2. The
National
Response Plan (NRP) provides a basis for planning any future operation
of the
magnitude encountered in Waco.
a. A very necessary first step towards a mature planning process was
taken
with the creation of the
NRP. As in any initial endeavor, the NRP can be improved.
b. The NRP, as currently written, is a combination of a Headquarters
policy
document along with
providing a variety of procedural guidance. Some of the procedural
guidance is quite detailed (e.g., the logistical
support officer being responsible for obtaining water) while some of
it does not address important concepts. For
example, there is no conceptual guidance concerning command post
operation
and selection of a command post
location.
c. Recommendations:
The NRP should be reviewed and modified in light of the Waco incident.
The military model of a stand-alone policy document (e.g., a
Department
of Army Regulation) with separate
implementation and procedural guidance (e.g., Field Manuals) should
be considered versus one all-encompassing
document.
Implementation and procedural guidance should be expanded and
training
in the NRP conducted for anyone
that is an ATF supervisor.
B. Field Command, Control, and Planning
1. The
Command,
Control, and Communications mechanism for the raid was complex, and a
comprehensive understanding of roles and missions for the organization
was not evident.
a. At the individual SRT level (e.g., Houston) command, control, and
communications
was
established in an adequate manner except for two matters. First, it
is not evident that a chain of command
within the individual SRTs was established to provide for leadership
succession in the event that the leader
became disabled. Secondly, the Forward Observers did not appear to
be in direct support of a specific team and
the teams could not directly communicate with the Forward Observers.
The Forward Observers provide a
means of
both information/intelligence and "heavy" fire support (i.e.,
rifles)
which may be used as an essential element of
a raid or to assist in contingency situations.
b. The chain of command and specific role for the Forward Observers was
not clear. The interviews
of the Forward Observers reflect this observation and the fact that
they had different understandings of their
rules of engagement and to whom they were responsive. The military
would describe the Forward Observer
role on the raid as being in General Support of the operation versus
Direct Support (e.g., directed to support a
specific SRT). Both concepts have their merits, but a direct support
role is generally favored for raid
operations. The net result on the Waco raid was that the Forward
Observers
were not positioned
advantageously (i.e., to provide adequate coverage of the compound
in a timely manner) and could have been
used more effectively in an information gathering role (e.g.,
determining
whether compound members were
deployed or working in the pit area).
c. The focus on command and control was on the SRTs. I believe that the
same statement applies to
planning matters. The coordination of other agencies appeared to be
in the hands of one individual, Phil Lewis,
at the Texas State Technical College (TSTC) Command Post (CP). He
performed
admirably, but the system
and process should provide for better coordination of activities with
outside agencies and more than one
individual from ATF tasked with this responsibility.
d. The TSTC CP did not function well. The Incident Commander was
airborne
and was therefore
less able to command and control activities. There did not appear to
be an adequate means of providing status
information to other agencies from the CP, much less to ATF personnel.
Roles and missions were not
adequately stated to these staffmembers. These observations reflect
the need for policy and procedural
guidance along with training of personnel.
e. The equivalent of a Tactical Operations Center (TOC) was not
established.
Whereas field CPs
normally concentrate on interagency coordination and overall command
and control, a TOC focuses on the
tactical aspects of the operation. In a TOC, Forward Observer
information
may be consolidated and analyzed,
reserve forces deployed and coordinated (these were not available at
Waco except from outside agencies),
negotiations with suspects conducted (this was a happenstance), and
other matters directly important to the
success of the tactical mission coordinated and controlled. The TOC
needs to be staffed with personnel who
have defined roles and responsibilities. The Tactical Coordinator may
choose to operate from a TOC or, as was
the case at Waco, forward with the SRTs. The Undercover (U/C) house
was suitable as a TOC and had some
TOC type functions under ASAC Cavanaugh, but in reality did not contain
the staffing nor the planning of a
true TOC. One of the advantages of commanding from a TOC was evident
when Cavanaugh became the person
most able to coordinate tactical activities versus ASAC Sarabyn who
was pinned down in a firefight. The
Tactical Coordinator unfortunately chose a position where he was at
the forward edge of the battle and less
able to command and control the SRTs...I believe this illustrates the
need for better procedural guidance and
training versus individual negligence on the part of Sarabyn.
f. The plan was developed principally by SRT personnel whose focus was
primarily in actions at the
compound. My observation is that they could have benefitted from
trained
staffplanning assistance. This is
especially true in intelligence support which is addressed later in
this report.
g. ATF personnel (possibly due to inexperience coupled with policy and
procedural guidance gaps)
sought advice, guidance, and assistance from persons and agencies who
were not the best qualified to provide
such help. This comment is particularly pointed at the manner in which
military support was obtained. For
example, there are reports that ATF went to Operation Alliance (a
counter-narcotics
related organizational
grouping) to request military support. The ATF Headquarters Military
Liaison Officer could have gone through
the Department of Defense (DOD) Director of Military Support (DOMS)
organization to obtain more complete
military support. In another example, ATF appeared to be ill-advised
by a member of the Texas Governor's
staff to use the Texas National Guard for various operations with a
strong implication that such support could
be provided for free if there were a narcotics relationship...tenuous
at best. A third example is the use of a
Special Forces Communications NCO to design and "approve" the
communications
network. Additional
observations on military support are found in other sections of this
report.
2.
Inexperience
in crisis management and operational planning skills for a large scale
operation such as
Waco was clearly evident in the planning and execution of the raid.
The lack of a written operations order is
one indication of this inexperience. Other examples include:
a. The lack of in-depth planning for contingencies as witnessed by the
lack of an alternative means
of entry should the first fail; and an "Oh shit" plan consisting of
running away from the compound rather than
using supporting fire and maneuver or the use of armored vehicles to
provide cover and to recover personnel.
b. The briefings that I observed on videotape (one at Fort Hood and one
in Waco) are reflective of
this inexperience. The briefings rambled instead of focusing on key
issues and presenting information
succinctly.
c. The lack of a functional staff (no matter how reduced in size) at a
TOC location or in the CP are
also indicative of inexperience, the need for more training, and the
need for additional procedural guidance on
command and control matters.
d. The lack of depth in the communications plan, undercover house
operation,
the medical plan, and
media plan are also indicative of inexperience.
e. The failure to conduct the Mag Bag raid resulted in a fire fight and
additional actions to
apprehend suspects. These actions would not have been necessary if
the plan to raid the Mag Bag had been
executed as planned.
3. The number
of courses of action and tactical options available to ATF were limited
because of
limitations on equipment, training, experience, and policy along with
the presence of presumably innocent
children and females.
a. Equipment considerations are discussed elsewhere in this report and
include the paucity of night
vision equipment, technical surveillance equipment, and restrictions
on weaponry. The decision to follow the
advice of a member of the Texas Governor's staff may have caused
problems
with ATF not receiving better
helicopter capability and armored vehicles. Going through the
military's
DOMS mechanism for military support
rather than Operation Alliance and Joint Task Force (JTF) 6 might have
made a difference in ATF getting
smoke generating devices, armored vehicles, and other assistance.
b. Training and experience gaps are reflected throughout this report.
The
training gaps can be
remedied and, if done properly, can make up for the lack of experience.
Training is addressed in greater detail
elsewhere in this report.
c. Policy limitations which impacted on the operation included
restrictions
on weaponry, restrictions
on chemical agents and distraction devices, uncertainty over electronic
surveillance issues, and failure of policy
to address the provision of military support through the DOMS
organization.
4. The raid
plan
lacked depth and did not provide for adequate consideration of
contingencies.
Improvement in these matters can be attained through additional
training
and the development of doctrinal
guidance (e.g., reference manuals and checklists on SRT operations).
5. There are
feelings that the ATF Incident Commander and other key leaders in the
ATF
chain should
be limited to those from SRT ranks. My belief is that will not prove
adequate. This belief is based on a general
need for additional training in crisis management procedures and
operational
planning which are not
well-developed at any level within ATF. I do agree that SACs and ASACs
should at least attend the SRT
courses as observers to enhance their knowledge and that they should
also receive additional training on crisis
management and planning.
6.
Recommendations:
The observations listed above are reflective of ATF's relative lack of
experience
in command and control of operations of the magnitude seen in Waco.
Policy needs to be established,
procedural guidance provided in writing, and strenuous training
provided
to personnel at all levels who may
become involved in these kinds of operations in the future. If ATF
or the Department of Treasury cannot
provide the resources to pursue doctrinal development and training,
then serious consideration must be given
to limiting the scope of ATF tactical operations.
III. INTELLIGENCE
A. Organization
1. The ATF
organization
to provide intelligence support during the investigative and
operational
(raid)
phases was not effective.
a. Intelligence analytical support did not effectively bridge the gap
between
the investigative support
mission and tactical support. Analysis appeared to be a function of
different individuals (e.g., the Case Agent,
RAC Buford, ASAC Sarabyn, etc.) rather than a function of a defined
system and process. There was no clear
focal point where all intelligence flowed and was fully analyzed and
subsequently delivered to the tactical
planners.
b. There were numerous instances of assumptions being made on the basis
of incomplete, dated, or
overstated information which adversely influenced operational planning.
For example:
The number of people in the compound was estimated at 75, a 25%
error.
The surveillance logs and interviews
of former cult members did not substantiate the 75 person figure.
Therefore,
I question how those numbers
were derived.
The U/C Agent had about eight limited visits into the compound. Yet
there were those that felt he had
continuing access and gave more credence to his information than was
true.
Information on the physical structure of the compound was a
composite
of a few visits by the U/Cs and
information from unvetted sources that was a year old in some cases.
c. A number of incorrect assumptions could have been put into proper
perspective
if there were
trained, experienced personnel working within a defined organizational
structure to conduct in-depth
intelligence analysis.
2. The
existing
intelligence structure does not tie all-source intelligence (e.g.,
technical
surveillance,
U/Cs, Forward Observers, aerial photography) together in a systematic
fashion. Overall intelligence collection
and planning is not centrally managed. Analysis occurs in pockets
rather
than through a capable, defined
organizational structure; and dissemination of intelligence (the
product
of recording, evaluation, and
interpretation. . .i.e., analysis of information) versus raw
information
is not consistent with proven techniques
used by other organizations.
3 . The
organization
of the U/C house and its activities was marked by no clear chain of
command
or
direction of their actions. The rapid establishment of the U/C
operation
is commendable, but poor organization
neutralized what could have been a major source of intelligence and
confirmation that the Branch Davidians
were waiting in ambush.
B. Intelligence Operations
1. General
Comments:
The remainder of this section is organized into a discussion of typical
intelligence operations disciplines: Intelligence Liaison activities;
Human Intelligence operations (to include
undercover activities); Imagery Intelligence (including aerial
intelligence
collection, photographic and video
collection); and Electronic Intelligence.
Intelligence Liaison:
a. It appears that ATF worked closely with McClennan County law
enforcement
officials to obtain
intelligence about the Branch Davidian organization, its operations,
and its physical facilities (i.e., the Mag Bag
and the Mount Carmel compound). This interface was, in my opinion,
highly useful in the investigative and
tactical planning phases of the operation. Unfortunately, there was
limited information available from this
source. Also to its credit, ATF exploited information and sources
available
from the Texas Human Resources
Department and the Texas Department of Public Safety. With the latter
organization, it is not clear whether
all aspects of information and intelligence were explored...i.e.,
Criminal
Intelligence, Narcotics, Texas Rangers.
b. Various interviews indicate that ATF attempted to obtain information
available from Interpol,
Immigration and Naturalization Service, and the El Paso Intelligence
Center (through Operation Alliance). I
found only one approach to the Federal Bureau of Investigation, no
attempts to obtain information from the
Customs Service, and none through the Department of State and Central
Intelligence Agency. Since there were
foreign nationals in the compound, inquiries should have been made
of these agencies whether intelligence was
available or not. I sense, but cannot substantiate, that interagency
rivalry coupled with inexperience may have
led to this incomplete search for information.
c. Recommendation: ATF should review its policy and procedures to
obtain
intelligence from
other agencies and provide guidance to their field organizations and
headquarters personnel on that matter.
3 . Human Intelligence:
a. My previous discussion of the lack of central control of
intelligence
planning and collection also
applies to ATF's human intelligence operations. Central control of
policy should be established at ATF
headquarters along with national Intelligence Community interfaces.
However, the field organization must be
able to control intelligence operations in support of tactical
operations.
b. There were several successes in human intelligence operations to
include
information obtained
from United Parcel Service personnel, the use of a U/C to obtain
physical
information about the Mag Bag and
one trip into the Mount Carmel compound, the recruitment of the Double
EE Ranch owner, and the
information gleaned from former cult members by the Case Agent, RAC
Buford, and others.
c. The interview of the former cult members posed a difficult problem
in
terms of determining their
reliability and accuracy of information. Again, a system was not in
place to pool information coming from these
sources, to fully analyze it, and to disseminate the resulting
intelligence
in a useful way to tactical and support
personnel.
d. The U/C house operation was an excellent idea which did not pay high
dividends because of a lack
of organization, proper tasking, and supervision of their activities.
The logs which I reviewed were incomplete
and do not substantiate many of the assumptions which were made on
activity in the compound. For example,
the tactical planners were adamant that a "routine" was evident in
the compound with the males working
outside at 10:00 AM onwards...logs from the U/C house do not
corroborate
this assumption. At best, the U/C
house operation resulted in limited information about the physical
structure, incomplete observation of
activities, and information about a few of the personnel inside the
compound. The U/C house operation was
capable, in my opinion, of providing much more intelligence. One of
the supposed goals of the U/C house was to
obtain additional information on probable cause for a search or arrest
warrant...it is not evident to me that this
occurred.
e. The Forward Observers were not effectively used and a TOC was not in
place to exploit
information coming from the Forward Observers. The lack of
effectiveness
in this event refers to gaps in
tasking, limited deployment around the compound, lateness of
deployment,
and the provision of extremely
limited amounts of collection devices to the Forward Observers.
f. Recommendations:
Without access to all ATF policy, procedural guidance, and training
information for intelligence, I am not able to
make detailed recommendations on improvement of human intelligence
operations. I therefore recommend that
ATF or an outside organization conduct a more in-depth review of
intelligence
operations to determine whether
there is need for changes/additions to policy, procedure, and training.
4. Imagery Intelligence:
a. In-house ATF capabilities to collect and process imagery
intelligence
appear extremely limited.
There are references to a (i.e., only one) 35mm camera in the U/C
house,
a pole camera which did not work
very well and was positioned poorly (both physically and in terms of
how permission was obtained to install it),
poor intelligence analysis and posting of information from the U/C
house photographic operations, and little or
no use of night vision equipment with video or photographic capability.
b. ATF capability to collect aerial imagery intelligence appears to be
very limited. ATF turned to
both Customs and the Texas National Guard for support in these areas.
I do not find strong evidence that the
ability to plan and collect imagery intelligence using aerial platforms
was well planned or directed by ATF. The
offer by a member of the Texas Governor's Office to overfly the
compound
and to use relatively
unsophisticated Forward Looking Infrared
Radar (FLIR) to obtain information does not give me a great deal of
confidence in the knowledge of system
capabilities by either ATF personnel or the person who offered that
advice to ATF.
c. I do not believe shortcomings in imagery intelligence had a direct
bearing
on the failure of the
raid. However, these shortcomings in knowledge, planning, and equipment
capabilities do not bode well in the
future if ATF must engage in raid operations against adversaries of
similar or greater levels of sophistication as
the Branch Davidians.
d. Recommendations:
ATF should improve their ability to manage the collection,
processing,
and dissemination of imagery
intelligence; increase their knowledge of existing capabilities
available
from other Federal agencies; and develop
methods to obtain proper support from those agencies.
ATF should also review their in-house capabilities and determine
whether
there were performance problems
with cameras and video equipment (rectifiable through training), or
policy and procedural gaps, or gaps caused
by inadequate equipment.
5. Electronic Intelligence:
a. Electronic intelligence operations suffered because of poor
management
and equipment
limitations. In hindsight, increased electronic intelligence capability
(e.g., Title III installation on telephones or
listening devices within the compound) might have provided information
on whether the raid was compromised.
b. There are a number of conflicting statements from ATF personnel
concerning
why a full Title III
installation (much less a Pen Register) was never pursued. This
indicates
misunderstanding on the part of ATF
personnel. A current ATF Order provides adequate guidance for Title
III surveillance, but senior ATF
personnel did not appear to understand this. In addition, there are
conflicting statements on whether a scanner
in the U/C house was operating or whether U/C personnel knew how to
use the equipment.
c. Recommendation:
ATF should review its electronic intelligence equipment, policy,
procedures,
and training for inadequacies.
Reduced electronic intelligence capability affects their ability to
conduct very sophisticated operations in a world
where criminal adversaries have demonstrated increased
counterintelligence
capabilities.
IV. OPERATIONS SECURITY (OPSEC)
A. Policy and Procedural Guidance:
1. It is not
clear to me that ATF has published OPSEC policy and procedural
guidance,
or provided
appropriate OPSEC training to its personnel.
2.
Recommendation:
Review and provide such guidance with accompanying training at all
levels
of
the organization.
B. OPSEC Planning and Execution:
1. OPSEC
operations
are not easy to plan nor execute. There are always trade offs in an
open
society
and in an environment where it is difficult for ATF to divert personnel
from on-going cases and other missions.
The key ingredient to OPSEC success is to systematically plan,
understand
the risks involved, and then decide
on actions based on the risk. Proper planning and execution of OPSEC
measures requires appropriate policy,
documented procedural guidance, and training. I did not find these
ingredients for OPSEC success within
ATF's Waco operation.
2. There were
numerous chances for compromise of the operation through inadvertent
disclosure.
These
include the Command Post opening days before the operation began and
its location in a semi-secured area; the
selection of the U/C house and the manner in which U/C operations were
conducted; the pole camera
operation; the training at Fort Hood; the need to involve other
agencies,
etc. ATF attempted to strike a
reasonable balance between security and OPSEC measures, but it did
not appear that OPSEC was centrally
planned nor managed. OPSEC and other security practices appeared to
occur as a happenstance and as a result
of individual intuition rather than being deliberately planned and
orchestrated.
3. Current
resource
allocation does not allow ATF to be self-sufficient and in total
control
of all
operations subject to security and OPSEC measures. The United States
military establishment comes close to
self-sufficiency only in a combat environment, but Federal law
enforcement
agencies do not have that
advantage. These comments should not be construed to be in support
of self-sufficiency. I mention this
phenomena only to illustrate that there will always be risks for
compromise
even when the operation may be
totally self-contained. These risks must be managed, and some risks
must be taken on any operation.
On the assumption that ATF will examine and strengthen their security
and
OPSEC policy,
procedures and training, ATF should include measures to deal with the
risks posed by a number of activities to
include: Was an open-stance with the media was in the best interests
of ATF? Would bus transportation have
been better versus the car convoy on the morning of the 28th? Was
backstopping
of the U/Cs enrolled as TSTC
students sufficient?
4.
Recommendation:
ATF should develop additional policy and procedural guidance and
provide
different levels of training to all personnel on security and OPSEC
measures
applicable to various operations. Different levels of training refer
to the fact that at the entry level, personnel
should be provided with reasons and basic methodology while at the
journeyman and above level the emphasis
should be on planning for security and OPSEC.
V. TRAINING AND EXERCISES
A. General Comments:
1. I identify
numerous potential training needs throughout this report. ATF has
identified
their training
needs and instituted considerable training already. However, in the
vein of continuous improvement and in the
wake of deficiencies identified in my review, there is a need to expand
those training efforts. I also suggest that
ATF expand their efforts to determine "best-in class" processes to
achieve specific training goals. For example,
mention was made of using a one to two week seminar by a private
organization
to achieve executive level
training in crisis management. I submit that this would not be an
example
of a best-in-class process. Those
areas which I identify as definitely needing training improvement
include:
Advanced SRT training Forward Observer training Intelligence
Operations
(management, analysis, intelligence
in support of tactical operations) Command and Control
3. There are
other areas which may require additional training but where I am not
clear
as to whether
they represent performance problems or the need for more training.
These include:
Intelligence Analysis and Operations during the Investigative Phase.
U/C Operations. Technical Support
Operations.
? Media Relations.
B. Improved Sophistication of Training Management:
1. Overall,
the
Lesson Plans and training design which I reviewed do NOT reflect a high
level of
sophistication in training management. For example, most SRT lesson
plans do not use performance-oriented,
measurable objectives. Improvements are needed in what is to be learned
and how it is to be measured to
ensure that the learning has occurred
2.
Significant
gaps exist in the completeness of all training. For example, the
proposed
Forward
Observer Course syllabus only devotes two hours towards observation
and recording skills and no time towards
establishment of a command and control mechanism and TOC for the
Forward
Observer.
3. SRT Basic
training does NOT result in a skilled team member, team leader, or in
any
other
particular skill. The SRT course appears to be delivered as an overview
of most skills found on a Special
Response Team. The current training could be viewed as being barely
adequate for small-scale operations;
however, if ATF is to continue with the mission of tackling adversarial
groups which require the use of multiple
SRTs, more sophisticated training is required to help ensure success.
At a very minimum, additional training is
required in command and control skills for SRT operations.
To also improve, ATF should carefully review the usefulness of
specific
instructional blocks to their course
objectives. For example, the SRT Course includes time for physical
training. Rhetorically, should physical
training be a pre-requisite for attendance and the time better spent
on practical exercises designed to reinforce
entry team skills and techniques? Physical fitness in a realist
situation
could be demonstrated in these
exercises.
4. Very
importantly,
it was suggested that crisis management skills could be learned by
attending
an
IACP seminar on crisis management. This is absolutely the wrong
approach.
ATF must develop its own
in-house training for these important skills and teach current ATF
policy and procedures, thereby making the
training specific to ATF's needs. This type of training must also
include
extensive practical exercises to further
the learning and retention of those skills that are taught.
"Best-in-class"
benchmarking would show that the U.
S. Army presents command and control skills during Basic Officer
Training,
Advanced Officer Training,
Command and General Staff College, and the Army War College. I do not
have the exact time spent on
command and control matters in those four courses, but a rudimentary
estimate would be that the training is
months long.
C. Exercises:
1. Individual
and small group training activities must be expanded to include
periodic
exercises to hone
and evaluate preparedness. This is missing from the training program
within ATF.
2. Exercises
should studiously avoid becoming a vehicle to learn new skills.
Instead,
exercises should be
used to evaluate and verify preparedness to conduct specific missions.
The learning of new skills is most
conducive to other training endeavors.
VI. SUPPORT OPERATIONS
A. Military Support:
1. It appears
that there are several performance related problems associated with
ATF's
acquisition of
military support. The ATF Headquarters Military Liaison Officer was
quoted as saying there needed to be drug
activity to justify military support. This is simply not true. Perhaps
he meant that drug activity was needed to
justify non-reimbursable military support, but that is an exceedingly
poor reason (i.e., non-reimbursement) to
seek military support of law enforcement for ATF.
An ATF Headquarters manager to whom the Military Liaison Officer
reports
stated that he was not aware of
how military support was obtained and that he trusted the Military
Liaison Officer to do what was right. I do
not accept that as good management practice because the manner in which
military support may be obtained
by Federal law enforcement agencies is not complicated and should be
known by all ATF Supervisors.
2. The
reliance
on Operation Alliance as a main source of obtaining military support is
also a poor
practice since the focus is on narcotics related activity. When such
activity does not exist or when information
must be stretched to provide such a connection, ATF is subjected with
either not obtaining military support or
being in danger of civil or criminal liability if information is
fabricated
or does not provide good probable cause.
3. One person
from the Texas Governor's office appeared to favor the use of National
Guard assets
versus active duty military support. Through innuendo, there are
appearances
that he also hinted at the need
for narcotics relationship so that the support could be provided for
free. I do not feel that this attitude served
ATF very well. For example, better imagery intelligence support could
have been obtained from other Federal
law enforcement organizations or active military forces; armored
vehicle
support would have been more readily
available; smoke grenades might have been obtained if regular Fort
Hood forces were used versus Special
Forces advisors; and the use of U.S. Customs Service helicopters would
have provided better capabilities than
those supplied by the National Guard.
B. Air Operations:
The decision
not to use U. S. Customs helicopters ostensibly stemmed from a concern
over OPSEC. I
am of the opinion that it was due more to interagency rivalry rather
than OPSEC. The use of Customs
helicopters and crews offer several advantages to include
communications
capabilities not found on the National
Guard helicopters and the ability to fire from the helicopters.
C. Communications:
1. There are
many conflicting statements concerning the adequacy of communications
and
communications support during the operation. At the very least,
planning
for communications shows a need for
improvement. Communications planning should help to ensure continuity
of command and control and is
therefore closely linked to the adequacy of training and procedural
guidance on command and control. Simply
stated, if one cannot or will not communicate, then command and control
will not exist. For example, the
Tactical Coordinator appeared to be out of the command and control
loop once the raid ran into difficulty. I was
not able to determine what the cause for this was.
2. There are
a large number of examples which point towards performance problems,
planning
problems, potential training shortfalls, and a few possibilities of
inadequate equipment. They include:
Linkages to local law enforcement and other supporting organizations
were not outlined well in terms of net
control and communications responsibility or redundant communications
links between ATF and these
organizations.
There appears to be confusion concerning who was to operate the
open-line
with ATF Headquarters and what
their duties were.
The Forward Observers were not able to communicate directly with the
Tactical Coordinator nor the SRT
Leaders.
The Incident Commander was not effectively communicating from the
helicopters
to the Tactical Coordinator
nor to any other segment of the ATF operation. This was especially
true when the helicopter he was on had to
land once it received fire from the ground.
Cavanaugh in the U/C House was not provided with sufficient
communications
personnel support to allow him
to control all the activities (e.g., crisis negotiations, control of
the Forward Observers, control of the deployed
SRTs) which fell on his shoulders when the raid ran into difficulty.
The Forward Observers and other ATF personnel on the back side of
the
compound ran into communications
problems.
D. Medical:
1. Overall
medical
planning and preparations were excellent. The Special Forces personnel
appeared to
provide excellent assistance in planning and helping ATF personnel
prepare and rehearse for medical
emergencies. One gap in the plan appears to be that mass casualty
situations
were not anticipated with no
plans in place to handle such a contingency. The contracted medical
services could have been easily
overwhelmed if the Branch Davidians had attempted mass suicide. When
faced with a well-armed or potentially
suicidal group, medical planning should consider mass casualty
situations.
2.
Improvement
opportunities for ATF exist in developing policy and procedures to
ensure
that
appropriate planning support is obtained or to develop an in-house
capability for medical planning.
E. Media:
1. ATF's
problems
with the media potentially began with the interview of Mark Breault who
was
already in contact with the media: were exacerbated with the meetings
and
discussions with the media prior to the raid; were compounded by the
media being suspected of compromising
the raid on February 28th; and were further fueled by media relations
in the aftermath of the raid.
2. I find four potential areas for improvement of ATF's media relations:
ATF personnel can benefit from strengthened media policy,
publication
of procedural guides for
media relations, and additional training. Many media situations are
judgmental calls (e.g., Chojnacki
deciding to meet the media in Waco), so additional training based on
coherent policy is a key to help ATF
personnel understand the potential risks and benefits of dealing with
the media.
ATF ASACs and above should be prepared to accept press conference
responsibilities
or to ensure that
the ATF spokesperson is physically and emotionally prepared. I refer
specifically to the poor judgement shown
by the use of Special Agent Wheeler as the spokesperson in the
aftermath
of the raid's failure when she had
not slept for a reported 36 hours.
ATF Headquarters should be prepared to augment field personnel on
major
operations which have the
potential to attract major media attention.
The Department of Treasury, in conjunction with Justice and the
Congress,
examine the potential of enacting
legislation to provide criminal penalties for willful and negligent
acts contributing to the loss of life on law
enforcement or national security operations.
F. Coordination of Other Agencies:
1. There are
numerous indicators that ATF's preparations to coordinate their actions
with other
agencies were less than optimal. They include:
The lack of a written operations order which would have provided
specific
instructions to ATF personnel to
coordinate the activities of other agencies while providing overall
guidance to those agencies.
The failure to rapidly transfer the 911 call from the Branch
Davidian
compound to ATF control from
McClennan County.
The inordinate length of time required to get military armored vehicles on-scene.
The lack of instructions on pursuit of suspects that could have fled the compound.
2. The
appearances
are that ATF personnel require additional training and procedural
guidance
to plan
large-scale operations which require close coordination with a variety
of non-ATF organizations.
VII. WEAPONRY, ARMAMENT, and OTHER EQUIPMENT:
A. Automatic Weapons:
1. The ATF
SRT
leaders do not feel that automatic weapons capability is a necessity. I
recommend that
ATF review their current policy and consider the use of automatic
weapons
situationally. . .if the adversary has
full auto weapons, then ATF should have the capability to overcome
these. The use of automatic weapons by a
criminal adversary could be overcome through ways other than using
comparable weapons (e.g., better tactics,
use of vehicles for entry, explosive entry). The difficulty in such
a strategy is that ATF personnel will have to
be much better trained to overcome a firepower deficiency.
B. Rifles (Assault and Forward Observer):
1. There is a
definite need for ATF to review their decision to limit the use of
rifles.
Sub-machine or
machine pistol type weapons simply do not have the range nor the
accuracy
inherent with longer barreled
weapons such as AR-15s or other assault rifles. One ATF report refers
to accuracy of the MP5 weapon out to
300 meters, but that ignores the fact that rural and some urban
operations
may require longer shots. In
addition, the ability to penetrate some materials and to incapacitate
a human is better with rifle rounds such as
the 5.56mm and 7.62mm than with 9mm ammunition. In addition, 7.62mm
weapons should also be considered
since they can prove highly useful on vehicle stops and road
blocks...not
to mention longer range forward
observer shots.
2. A number
of
SRT members raised questions over the availability of rifles to support
their operations.
They question the ATF Headquarters proclamation that AR-15s will be
phased out. Since these personnel are
the ones tasked with mission execution, it is my belief that they
should
have a greater say in what weaponry
they are allowed to use.
C. Suppressed Weapons:
1. ATF
personnel
have not mentioned the potential need for suppressed weaponry on
extremely
high-risk operations. Suppressed weapons are useful in a variety of
situations and provide a means of providing
a critical edge to SRT-type units. There are a number of military and
law enforcement organizations which
possess such weapons and have proved their ability to use them
discriminately.
ATF should consider their need
for such weapons if they are to continue with missions similar to the
one they faced in Waco.
D. Chemical Munitions:
1. ATF is
limited
by their own policy on the use of smoke and disabling chemical agents.
Again, these
capabilities are found in a number of law enforcement and military
organizations tasked with SRT type
activities and have been used discriminately by these organizations
for years. The ability to use chemical
munitions can provide a needed advantage to
SRTs and can be used to lessen the chances of loss of life. For
these
reasons, ATF should reconsider their
policy on the use of chemical munitions.
E. Distraction devices:
1. The use of
distraction devices such as the commonly referred to "Flash Bang" are
limited
by ATF
policy. The policy requires that ATF personnel use a "peek and throw"
philosophy on ALL operations. Such a
policy is extremely limiting and can result in additional danger to
ATF personnel.
2. ATF policy
should be modified to allow the use of distraction devices other than
through
a "peek and
throw" technique. The policy and any accompanying procedural guidance
should specify situations in which
exclusions from the "peek and throw" method are permissible. In
addition,
all SRTs within ATF should receive
training on the use of distraction devices.
F. Vehicles.
1. Armored
vehicles
would have been highly useful in Waco for a variety of operations
ranging
from use
in recovering wounded, protecting personnel during retrograde movement,
use in entry, etc. The fact that
armored vehicles were not available appears to be a significant
planning
oversight.
2. ATF should
qualify a number of their personnel on the use and operation of
specified
armored
vehicles to include use of on-board weapons systems such as
machine-guns
and smoke generators. The
procedures to obtain military support for these types of vehicles
should
be reviewed and solidified to ensure
their availability for operations similar to Waco in the future.
VIII. CONCLUDING REMARKS: Throughout my report and analysis of
information
there has been a
continuing theme of:
- The need for policy review and modification
- Providing additional procedural guidance beyond policy
documents
to ATF personnel
- A very definite need for improved training in a number of areas
Perhaps these sound overly redundant. I submit that it is only
through
sound policy, supported by additional
reference (i.e., procedural) materials, and thorough training that
the tragedy which befell ATF at Waco can be
prevented in the future. These focus on system fixes rather than
individual
actions along with the development
of processes which provide a sound foundation for operational actions.
CURRICULUM VITAE FOR
Wade Y. Ishimoto
Education
M.A., Human Resources Development, Webster University
B.A., Asian Studies, University of Hawaii
Professional
U.S. Army Special Forces Operations and Intelligence Course
Schooling
U.S. Army Counterintelligence Agent's Course
U.S. Army Special Warfare Center Instructor Training Course
Numerous courses relating to intelligence, security, and special
operations
Current
Technical Manager, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM
Occupation
Instructional
University
of New Mexico, Division of Continuing Education and
Experience
Community Services, 1985-Present
U.S. Air Force Special Operations School, 1987-Present
U. S . Department of Energy Nuclear Emergency Search Team
courses, 1985-present
California Department of Justice Terrorism Course, 1984-1986
Delta Force Operator's Training Course, 1977-1982
University of Santa Clara, 1975- 1977
U. S. Army J.F. Kennedy Special Warfare Center, 1973- 1975
Mobile Training Team special operations assignments to foreign, allied
military and law enforcement organizations
Numerous instructional engagements with law enforcement
organiza
tions
to include the Calgary Police Service, Royal Canadian Mounted
Police, Canada Security & Intelligence Service, Los Angeles Police
and Sheriffs Departments, Texas Narcotics Officers Association, and
the National Tactical Officer's Association, 1962-present
Pertinent
Nuclear Emergency Search Team (NEST) 1978-Present; founder of the
Experience
NEST Training Management Working Group; project leader to reorganize
and restructure the organization in 1989; Exercise Director of several
Interagency (FBI, DOD, DOE, FEMA, local law enforcement) terrorist-
related national exercises; planner or participant in other NEST
exercises;
developed a Key Leader Training Course.
Nuclear Security Systems Directorate 1985-1992, led numerous projects
related to high-threat security situations including a Defense Nuclear
Agency funded Insider Study, a Recapture and Recovery of Nuclear
Weapons Study involving overseas and domestic situations, documentation
of R&D requirements to support the TSWG for terrorist incidents;
and
Curriculum Vitae for Wade Y. Ishimoto (continued)
Pertinent participation on a U.S.
Physical
Protection Bi-Lateral Team to Korea and
Experience Japan. Also performed liaison
functions
to various military special opera-
(continued) tions organizations and the FBI's Hostage
Rescue Team. Designed and
implemented the construction of a new Emergency Operations Center
for Sandia National Laboratories and revamped their emergency opera-
tions program.
Security and Intelligence Specialist, U.S. Department of Energy,
1984-85,
Key member of a Tiger Team assigned to revamp emergency operations
within the Albuquerque Operations Office complex which included over
40,000 employees at six locations from Florida to New Mexico. Inspec-
tion staff duties. Organized mobile training teams for special response
team training.
Vice-President for Operations, SAS of Texas, 1982-1984; led a White
House directed examination of security preparations for the 1984 Summer
Olympic Games in Los Angeles with over 2/3 of the recommendations
being adopted; led security projects in support of the Nuclear
Regulatory
Commission, other governmental agencies, and private concerns.
Delta Force, 1977-1982; Intelligence Officer leading the effort to
automate
terrorist information in a interagency data base; Team Leader on the
1980
attempt to rescue 53 American hostages in Tehran; participant in
several
real-life counterterrorist operations; liaison and consulting duties to
the
FBI, Secret Service, Navy SEALS, overseas counterterrorist forces, and
other special operations units.
Other pertinent experience includes Special Forces assignments in the
U.S., Korea, Japan, Taiwan, the Philippines, and Vietnam (three tours)
including training duties, exercise development, and combat operations;
Counterintelligence and Human Intelligence collection duties in Korea,
Hawaii, and the continental U.S.; and Military Police and investigative
duties.
A Selective Analysis
of
Operation Trojan Horse
Conducted by
the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms
Conducted by
John A. Kolman, Captain (L.A.S.D.
retired)
for the Staff
of the
Waco Administrative Review
United States Department of the
Treasury
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Page
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY .
. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .
.
B-35
Chapter
Page
1. THE PROBLEM AND DEFINITIONS OF
TERMS USED
.............................................
B-39
INTRODUCTION
...........................................
B-39
The BATF Special Response Team Program--
An Historical Overview
...........................
B-39
A Synopsis of Operation Trojan Horse
................
B-40
THE PROBLEM
............................................
B-44
Statement of the Problem
............................
B-44
Limitations of the Project
..........................
B-44
RESEARCH METHODS
.......................................
B-44
DEFINITIONS OF TERMS USED
..........................
B-45
OPSEC ...............................................
B-45
TEMS ................................................ B-45
Dynamic Entry ....................................... B-45
T.S.T.C./T.S.T.I. ...................................
B-45
2.
ANALYSIS
............................................. B-46
PLANNING AND PREPARATION
..........................
B-46
Tactical Alternatives
...............................
B-46
Tactics and Related Matters ......................... B-50
Logistics ........................................... B-53
Emergency Medical Service
...........................
B-54
Communications ...................................... B-56
Intelligence Function ............................... B-57
Briefing
............................................
B-60
Training/Rehearsal
..................................
B-61
COMMAND AND CONTROL
...................................
B-63
Decisions Impacting the
Operation
...................
B-63
Organization and Structure
..........................
B-66
OPERATIONS SECURITY
...................................
B-70
MEDIA INVOLVEMENT
.....................................
B-73
3. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS .......................... B-76
CONCLUSIONS ........................................... B-76
RECOMMENDATIONS
.......................................
B-77
REFERENCES
...............................................
B-80
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
The attempted service of
search/arrest warrants by agents of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and
Firearms
(BATF) on February 28, 1993, at the Branch Davidian Compound near Waco,
Texas, was, in all probability,
unprecedented within American law enforcement. Although many agencies
(Federal, state and local) have conducted
countless major high-risk warrant operations involving heavily armed
multiple suspects, within the experience of
the evaluator, none have rivaled the weaponry and fervent opposition
which confronted the brave men and women
of the BATF during Operation Trojan Horse. Certainly none have resulted
in the tragic loss and wounding of so
many law enforcement officers.
The purpose of
objectively
analyzing this or any other tactical incident is not to castigate or
condemn,
but
rather to learn from what occurred with a view toward future
improvement.
The loss of Steven Willis, Robert
Williams, Conway LeBleu, and Todd McKeehan, and the wounding of
numerous
other dedicated agents, make it
essential that an objective evaluation be conducted.
The purpose of this
project
was: (1) to conduct a selective analysis of the planning, preparation,
and
subsequent attempted service of search/arrest warrants on February
28, 1993, by BATF personnel at the Branch
Davidian Compound, (2) to develop conclusions based upon the analysis
of BATF efforts in this regard, and (3) to
make recommendations related to possible future operational
improvements.
This project relied upon
an extensive review of numerous documents, reports, videotapes, and
training
curricula provided by Waco Administrative Review staff; personal
monitoring
of Congressional hearings on June
9 and 10, 1993; personal interviews of selected BATF personnel; a
review
of the limited literature available in this
subject area; personal observation of the areas surrounding the Branch
Davidian Compound, as well as the
Command Post, undercover residence, and Staging Areas; personal
knowledge
of contemporary policy, procedure
and training within the tactical community; and extensive personal
experience within the field of law enforcement
tactical operations.
B-35
The results of this analysis are believed to support the following
conclusions:
1. BATF personnel involved in planning Operation Trojan Horse were
dedicated,
experienced law enforcement
professionals.
2. Much time and effort was expended in planning and preparing for
Operation Trojan Horse.
3. Planners relied upon and trusted intelligence information which,
in many cases, lacked corroboration.
4. A lack of knowledge existed on the part of both command and
operational
personnel concerning the proper
utilization and deployment of countersniper (Forward Observer Team)
personnel.
Insufficient attention was directed by command personnel to the
Operations
Security (OPSEC) process.
6. There was an apparent lack of supervision over the intelligence
gathering mechanism in terms of direction,
coordination, corroboration, dissemination and control.
7. Though well intentioned, contacts initiated by command personnel
with the Waco Tribune-Herald violated
basic principles of operations security.
8. No media contacts should have been initiated by BATF before the
operation's conclusion.
9. Command personnel lacked experience and training in directing major
tactical operations.
10. The Incident Commander should have been located at the designated
command post to facilitate communication
and control.
11. Once information had been received and corroborated that the
operation
had been compromised through the
loss of surprise, command personnel should have aborted the mission.
12. There was no planned alternative course of action to be taken if
the mission was aborted.
13. Following the negotiation of a cease fire to remove and evacuate
the dead and wounded, perimeter positions
should not have been abandoned until relief
B-36
personnel had assumed them.
14. Had the operation not been compromised, there was a high
probability
that the tactical plan would have
succeeded.
15. Sufficient oversight was exercised by BATF Headquarters during
all phases of Operation Trojan Horse.
16. Numerous acts of heroism were displayed by the men and women of
the BATF during, and subsequent to, the
extensive firefight with the Branch Davidians.
These conclusions, and
others
of less significance, contained within the body of the full report,
constitute
justification for considering the following recommendations.
1. Assign personnel to command positions (Incident Commander,
Tactical
Coordinator, Deputy Tactical Coordinator)
based upon qualifications--not rank or position.
2. Develop and provide tactical crisis management training for those
assigned to these positions.
3. Explore the feasibility of selecting and training an on-call cadre
of personnel with proven decision-making and
leadership ability to assume the roles of Incident Commander and
Tactical
Coordinator.
4. Ensure that all command and supervisory personnel understand their
joint responsibility to abort an operation
if circumstances justify doing so.
5. Increase the training time of Division Special Response Teams to
a minimum of twice a month.
6. Explore the feasibility of establishing regional, full-time Special
Response Teams for deployment during major
operations.
7. Review and modify, as necessary, the criteria for selecting Special
Response Team members.
8. Review and modify, as necessary, the curriculum of Special Response
Team training.
9. Establish a Tactical Emergency Medical Support (TEMS) program and
formally assign EMS-trained personnel
to each Special Response Team.
B-37
10. Develop and implement a hostage negotiation program as an
integral
part of Special Response Team operations.
11. Evaluate existing Special Response Team equipment based on
contemporary
standards within the tactical
community (to include chemical agents).
12. Review the organization, structure, and functions of the Technology
and Tactical Issues Committee to ensure
the timely evaluation and approval of tactical equipment and
procedures.
13. Conduct meetings, at least annually, of Federal special operations
team leaders and command personnel (BATF,
FBI, Marshals, Customs) to discuss past tactical analyses and
contemporary
procedures. Emphasize necessity for
interagency cooperation and training.
14. Ensure familiarity with guidelines related to requesting and
utilizing
air support.
15. Review and modify, as necessary, OPSEC training for all command
and operational personnel.
16. Review and modify the media notification process.
17. Review and modify the BATF National Response Plan.
18. Pursue legislation enabling electronic surveillance and monitoring
under circumstances such as existed at the
Branch Davidian Compound.
19. Empanel a committee comprised of representatives from affected
BATF entities to review these and other
recommendations made by the Tactical Advisory Expert Panel.
In spite of extensive
planning
and preparation by well-intentioned, experienced agents, success was
not
achieved at the Branch Davidian Compound. It eluded them, not because
of a lack of ability or resources, but rather
deficiencies in policy and procedure, which were exposed by the
magnitude
of the situation.
Prior operations
conducted
by BATF Special Response Teams (433 in the past two years) apparently
failed
to reveal these deficiencies, due to their varying circumstances, as
well as the reduced size of many of the
operations.
Chapter 1
THE PROBLEM AND DEFINITIONS OF TERMS USED
INTRODUCTION
The BATF Special
Response
Team Program--An Historical Overview
In recent years, the
Bureau
of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (BATF) responsibility to enforce
Federal
firearms, explosives, and arson statutes has met with increasing
resistance
from those individuals and groups
involved in these activities (10). Because of the nature of these laws,
almost every arrest or search warrant
executed by the BATF involves armed suspects.
Accordingly, in 1989,
after
reviewing the Bureau's capabilities and limitations in managing these
incidents,
each of the twenty-two Field Divisions were authorized to form what
were then called high-risk entry control
teams. These teams, comprised of specially selected volunteers,
initially
made use of available state and local
training resources within their particular areas. However, in 1991,
a decision was made to develop a centralized
training program in order to ensure uniformity and the ability of
agents
to meet required physical fitness standards.
Ultimately, Fort McClellan, Alabama, home of the U.S. Army's military
police, chemical, and special response team
training schools, was selected as the site of the basic two-week BATF
Special Response Team (SRT) training
program. Each Field Divisions team is now required to attend this
rigorous
course.
The live-in program,
consists
of approximately 130 hours of training over a 10 day period, and places
heavy
emphasis on promoting teamwork. Subject areas vary from building entry
and tactics to firearms training, trauma
aid, operational planning, and physical conditioning. A high
instructor-to-student
ratio of one per two is maintained
during training to enhance the learning process and enable appropriate
performance evaluation (9:38). Instructors
are selected based upon their background and experience. Over one half
of the instructional cadre have past
pertinent military experience, and one third are former members of
law enforcement tactical units.
Following successful
completion
of the basic program at Fort McClellan, each team is required to train
a
minimum of 24 hours each quarter. Much of this training is conducted
in conjunction with area state and local
SWAT teams. Special Response Team members are equipped with the best
tactical safety equipment available,
including body
armor, ballistic shields, firearms, and communications equipment.
Since their inception,
the
Special Response Teams have actively proven their worth. During the
past
two
fiscal years, BATF SRTs were activated 433 times to resolve cases
determined
to be the most dangerous (10).
These activations varied from assisting at the scene of the 1992 riots
in Los Angeles, to providing assistance in
capturing murder suspects in Idaho that same year.
Significantly, until
Operation
Trojan Horse on February 28, 1993, only one SRT member had been injured
by gunfire (10).
A Synopsis of Operation Trojan Horse
The Bureau of Alcohol,
Tobacco
and Firearms officially became aware of the Branch Davidians and David
Koresh on June 4, 1992. This awareness resulted from a referral by
the McLennan County Sheriff to the Austin
ATF Office. Additional referrals of complaint were received from a
Congressman, the U.S. Attorneys Office, and
the media. These complaints basically addressed allegations of sexual
abuse by David Koresh, as well as firearms
violations. Concern was also expressed over why nothing had been done
by the authorities to alleviate the problem.
As a result of this information, a case agent was assigned, and an
extensive investigation initiated to determine if
violations of laws enforceable by BATF were occurring. Information
related to probable cause was later presented
to the Assistant U.S. Attorney, who expressed the belief that there
was sufficient information for a search warrant
based upon the purchase of firearms and items necessary to convert
them to fire in full automatic mode.
The continuing
investigation
next placed emphasis on linking Koresh's purchases of chemicals with
the
manufacture of explosive devices. Because of the sensitive nature of
the investigation, activities were closely
monitored by BATF Headquarters. In anticipation of obtaining search
and arrest warrants, operational planning
commenced in December, 1992. Numerous planning meetings were conducted,
and after extensive discussion,
focused on utilizing three Special Response Teams with support
personnel
to effect service of the warrants.
Although many options
were
explored by planners (i.e., siege [contain and call out], luring Koresh
away from
the Compound, doing nothing, etc.), for reasons that will be addressed
later in this report, a dynamic raid of the
Compound, using helicopters as a diversion, was agreed upon. As a
result
of intelligence gathered from the
continuing investigation, which included undercover operations at and
in the vicinity of the Compound, and selected
interviews of disillusioned former cult members, a plan was finalized
and approved.
The plan called for the
raid
to be initiated at approximately 1000 hours on a date to be specified.
This time
was selected because, according to intelligence sources, following
Bible study, the men of the Compound would be
outside working on a construction project and separated from their
weapons, which were kept in a storeroom on
the second floor of the Compound adjacent to Koresh's living quarters.
Women and children would reportedly be
studying the Bible or involved with chores. Containment (cover)
personnel
would be responsible for isolating and
securing the men at the construction site, or anyone outside the
structure.
One SRT team would secure men on
the first floor, and another would isolate and secure women and
children
on the second floor and clear the towers.
Lastly, a third team would secure the second floor weapons room and
arrest David Koresh.
It was recognized early
on
that it would be difficult to approach the Compound undetected because
of the
terrain and remoteness of the area. Therefore, planners opted to use
two pickup trucks and cattle trailers to
transport the raid force to the Compound. These vehicles were known
to be very common to the area, and
consequently would not cause alarm or suspicion if driven in the
vicinity
of the Branch Davidian Compound.
Surprise and speed of execution were believed critical to achieve
success.
As the raid force arrived at the front of
the Compound, three Texas National Guard helicopters would arrive
shortly
before, some distance to the
northwest. The presence of helicopters would hopefully attract the
attention of the men working at the rear of the
Compound and mask the arrival of the raid force. Once the Branch
Davidians
and the Compound were secure,
support personnel would handle arrestees and search for and process
evidence. A search warrant for a second
location associated with the Compound, referred to as the "Mag Bag",
was to be served simultaneously. This location
was a screening point for UPS deliveries destined for the Compound,
and was manned by cult members.
Undoubtedly, it also functioned as an early warning system for the
Compound.
The operational plan
provided
for the assignment of ATF Emergency Medical Services (EMS) personnel to
each Special Response Team. Medivac helicopters would be on standby
at the Command Post, and an ambulance
and crew would be staged at a roadblock position. Unfortunately, it
would not be possible for civilian EMS
personnel and ambulances to accompany the raid force to the Compound
because of the potential hazard, as well
as the fact that their presence would alert the Compound to the
impending
warrant service. Contingency plans
provided for the mission to be aborted at any time after the raid force
left the Staging Area, but prior to the
vehicles turning into the Compound. The abort decision would be based
upon continuous surveillance of the location
from an undercover site.
In late 1992, BATF became
aware of local media interest in the Branch Davidians and David Koresh.
Specifically, the Waco Tribune-Herald was preparing a
series of articles on the cult and its leader. Concerned that any
article
of this nature might cause Koresh to become
more alert and paranoid about possible law enforcement action against
him, and prompt an increase of curious
onlookers in the area, an ATF representative contacted the paper in
an effort to delay publication of the series until
after March 1, 1993. These and subsequent negotiations with the
newspaper
concerning this issue were fruitless.
BATF representatives were told that the series would begin as soon
as it was complete. Eventually, they were
advised on February 26, 1993, that the first article in the series
would be released on February 27, two days before
BATF planned to serve the warrants. At this point, support personnel
and equipment had already arrived in the
Waco area, and Special Response Teams, along with selected support
personnel, were rehearsing and training for
the operation at Fort Hood, Texas. Consequently, it was decided to
advance the scheduled date of execution by
one day to February 28, 1993. The final decision would be kept in
abeyance
until David Koresh's reaction to the
first article could be assessed through undercover contacts. These
contacts revealed nothing untoward at the
Compound as a result of the article. It was decided that prior to the
raid on February 28, one last undercover
contact would be made. In the meantime, support elements and Special
Response Team personnel had responded
from Fort Hood to a staging area at Bellmead, a Waco suburb, to await
the final command to proceed with the
operation.
On the morning of
February
28, 1993, an undercover contact was made with David Koresh. During the
conversation, Koresh was interrupted by a cult member and advised that
England is on the phone. Note: Mark
England was one of the reporters who wrote the first article. When
he returned, according to the undercover agent,
Koresh was very nervous, quoted the Bible, and remarked to the effect
that "the ATF and National Guard are
coming for me. They'll never get me. The undercover agent left the
Compound as soon as he could without arousing
suspicion, and provided this information personally to the Deputy
Tactical
Coordinator, and by telephone to the
Tactical Coordinator. The Tactical Coordinator personally related the
information to the Incident Commander, and
after consultation with him, it was decided the operation could still
be carried out successfully (even though
compromised) if done quickly, before Koresh could distribute weapons
and prepare his defenses.
Accordingly, the Tactical
Coordinator went to the Staging Area and ordered personnel to obtain
their
equipment, load on the cattle trailers, and respond to the Compound
to effect service of the warrants. The Tactical
Coordinator was in communication with the Deputy Tactical Coordinator
throughout the 8-mile drive from the
Staging Area to the Compound, and was given periodic situation reports
from the undercover surveillance location.
Nothing unusual was reported. In fact, no activity at all was noted
in the vicinity of the Compound. Apparently not
recognizing the significance of the no activity report (the men were
supposed to be working at the
construction site), the convoy continued toward the Compound. While
en route, the convoy passed two vehicles,
one of which displayed a Waco Tribune-Herald sign on the door. These
vehicles followed the convoy, unchallenged,
almost to the Compound. Other media vehicles, perhaps the same, had
been noted on the road in front of the
Compound earlier in the morning by surveillance personnel. However,
they were believed to be a reaction to the
first newspaper article, and not viewed as a threat to the warrant
service operation.
After passing the final
checkpoint
(and last opportunity to abort), the convoy turned into the Compound
and
parked in front of the main structure (approximately forty minutes
after the undercover agent had
reported Koresh knew they were coming). As the cattle trailers were
being unloaded, the front door opened
slightly and a man (believed to be Koresh) was seen standing in the
doorway. The door was quickly shut and
gunfire was immediately initiated through the closed door directed
at the approaching agents. The helicopters
arrived simultaneous with the raid force, and were almost immediately
taken under fire, causing all three to land
and subsequently withdraw. Only the Special Response Team assigned
to secure the arms room was able to reach
their objective, and although they were able to enter the arms room
through a second story window, were forced
to exit because of intense gunfire directed at them. Other SRT and
support personnel were forced to seek cover
behind whatever was available. Cult members utilized both semi- and
fully automatic weapons, as well as
fragmentation grenades, against the raid force.
During the ensuing
firefight,
four agents were killed and at least fifteen wounded. Because of the
continuing
heavy gunfire, it was impossible to remove the dead and wounded. A
few wounded agents were tended to by
assigned EMS personnel, but others lay untreated. After approximately
an hour, a negotiated cease fire was
arranged by telephone through the efforts of the Deputy Tactical
Coordinator
and a lieutenant from the McLennan
County Sheriff's Department.
As a result of the cease
fire, ambulances and other vehicles were utilized to evacuate the dead
and wounded.
The most seriously wounded were evacuated by helicopter once safe
landing
zones could be established.
Orders were subsequently
given, presumably by the Incident Commander, to abandon the Compound
entirely.
A few agents remained of their own volition to maintain loose
containment,
but eventually, they too were ordered
to leave. Because of the severity of the situation at the Compound,
the search warrant for the "Mag Bag" was not
served. Later, three men left this location and while attempting to
return to the Compound, engaged departing
BATF agents in a gun battle. One was killed, another surrendered, and
the third fled but was later captured.
Fortunately, a number of local
SWAT teams arrived and assumed containment positions around the Compound.
As a result of a decision
made at high levels of BATF management, control of the operation was
relinquished
to the Federal Bureau of Investigation on March 2, 1993. Selected BATF
agents remained in support roles until
the siege ended on April 19, 1993.
THE PROBLEM
Statement of the Problem
The purpose of this
project
was: (1) to conduct a selective analysis of the planning, preparation,
and
subsequent attempted service of search/arrest warrants on February
28, 1993, by BATF personnel at the Branch
Davidian Compound, (2) to develop conclusions based upon the analysis
of BATF efforts in this regard, and (3) to
make recommendations related to possible future operational
improvements.
Limitations of the Project
In accordance with the
charter
given the evaluator, this project will explore only the actions of BATF
personnel leading up to, and including, the attempted service of
search/arrest
warrants at the Branch Davidian
Compound. It will not address actions of the Federal Bureau of
Investigation,
which assumed control of the
operation on March 2, 1993.
For simplicity, the
non-gender-based
pronoun "he" is used in place of "he/she" throughout this document, and
no inference should be drawn as to gender.
RESEARCH METHODS
This project utilized the following data collection methods:
1. A review of documents, reports, videotapes, and training curricula provided by Waco Administrative Review staff.
2. Personal monitoring of Congressional hearings on June 9 and 10, 1993, regarding the operation.
3. Personal interviews of selected BATF personnel.
4. A review of available literature related to the subject area.
R-44
5. Personal observation of the geographical area surrounding the
Branch
Davidian Compound, as well as the
Command Post, undercover residence, and Staging Area.
6. Personal knowledge of contemporary policy, procedure, and training within the tactical community.
7. Extensive personal experience within the field of law enforcement tactical operations.
DEFINITIONS OF TERMS USED
OPSEC
An acronym for Operations
Security. Developed by the military during the Vietnam War, OPSEC is a
process by which specific programs or operations are viewed from an
adversarial perspective to identify possible
vulnerabilities.
TEMS
An acronym for Tactical
Emergency
Medical Support. TEMS involves the integration of emergency
medical services with SWAT/tactical units. Tactically trained,
commissioned
or non-commissioned
paramedics/Emergency Medical Technicians, directly provide EMS at the
scene of tactical operations. They may
be supplemented by an on-scene physician(s) operating in either an
active or advisory capacity.
Dynamic Entry
A type of entry which is sudden, vigorous, and unexpected.
T.S.T.C./T.S.T.I.
The Texas State Technical
College (T.S.T.C.), or Texas State Technical Institute (T.S.T.I.). Both
terms
are used interchangeably in this report.
B.A.T.F./A.T.F.
The Bureau of Alcohol,
Tobacco
and Firearms (B.A.T.F.), or Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms (A.T.F.).
Both
terms are used interchangeably in this report.
Chapter 2
ANALYSIS
The attempted service of
search/arrest warrants by agents of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and
Firearms
on February 28, 1993, at the Branch Davidian Compound near Waco, Texas,
was in all probability unprecedented
within American law enforcement.
However, although
unprecedented,
the BATF operation can be examined objectively by comparing various
phases of the operation with contemporary law enforcement/military
concepts, principles, and practices. By
approaching the analysis in this manner, it is possible to reveal both
positive aspects as well as areas of deficiency.
It is important to note that the purpose of conducting this analysis
is not to castigate or condemn, but rather to
learn from what occurred with a view toward future improvement.
PLANNING AND PREPARATION
Preparing and
implementing
a comprehensive plan is one of the most important factors in achieving
operational success. In order to ensure that nothing is left to chance,
and all foreseeable problems are considered,
it is imperative that a definite course of action be followed (1:143).
There is no doubt in the
mind of the evaluator that those involved in preparing for Operation
Trojan
Horse
fully appreciated the importance of their efforts in achieving
operational
success. Although there were others who
provided assistance, the Special Response Team Leaders from Dallas,
Houston, and New Orleans became the
principal planners. Over the ensuing weeks, in addition to their other
duties, they sought out and utilized all
sources of information and assistance known to be available to them.
After considering and evaluating information
thus obtained, and relying upon their individual and collective
experience,
both within and outside of law
enforcement, they formulated a plan of operation which they believed
would afford the highest probability of
success.
Tactical Alternatives
During the course of
preparing
for Operation Trojan Horse, planners discussed and refined a number of
tactical alternatives, or options For reasons to be discussed
subsequently,
circumstances prompted them to
select a dynamic warrant service, or raid, as the most viable of
available
options. The following alternatives
were considered by planners:
Take No Enforcement Action
This alternative was
quickly
determined to be unacceptable. Numerous complaints had been received
concerning firearms violations by the Branch Davidians, and the violent
takeover of leadership by David Koresh
from George Roden in 1987, along with alleged threats against former
cult members, demonstrated a high
propensity for violence. The BATF simply did not want to risk the added
possibility that cult members would turn
their weapons against members of the community.
Additionally, the alleged
physical and sexual abuse of children at the Compound, combined with
complaints
of inaction and lack of concern by local and outside law enforcement
agencies, left little, if any, doubt that the
problems had to be addressed.
Arrest David Koresh Away From the Compound
Planners recognized early
on that it would be advantageous to arrest David Koresh away from the
Compound
because of the weaponry believed to be maintained there, and the
obvious
control he exercised over the cult
members.
If cooperative after his
arrest, Koresh would be asked to call the Compound and encourage his
followers
to
comply with instructions of the authorities. In the event Koresh
refused,
the Compound would be notified by
authorities of his arrest, and cult members instructed not to resist
the lawful service of the search warrant. Failure
of the cult members to comply would result in containment (siege) of
the Compound until compliance was achieved.
Plans to lure Koresh from
the Compound using the ruse that the Texas Division of Children's
Protective
Services wanted to discuss allegations of child abuse at the Compound
with him failed when a supervisor at the
agency refused to approve the request. This avenue apparently was not
pursued further.
Other ruses were
discussed
and rejected. Additional ideas (follow Koresh to town and arrest him,
etc.)
were
also rejected when information was received from the undercover site
(a residence in view of the Compound) that
Koresh had not left the Compound in the past two months, and there
was nothing to indicate he would do so in
the immediate future. This information was based upon the belief that
the undercover location was being operated
around the clock, and would have been able to determine if, and when,
Koresh left the Compound. Unfortunately,
this was an honest, but false, assumption on the part of planners and
others, who should have been able to rely
upon information provided by undercover agents.
Contain and Call Out (Siege/Negotiate)
This alternative had been
utilized successfully in the past by the BATF--most notably in Arkansas
during a
1985 joint operation with the FBI to effect service of search warrants
at a heavily fortified compound. Armed
members of a right-wing group known as the Covenant of the Sword and
Arm of the Lord (CSA), occupied the
compound, and surrendered after three days of negotiations.
Although there were
similarities
in the two cases, information received through interviews of
disgruntled
former cult members and other sources made it apparent that this
alternative
would be extremely risky at the
Branch Davidian Compound for the following reasons:
o There was a great risk of mass suicide.
o The physical and sexual
abuse of children could continue.
o The evidence necessary to prosecute Koresh for firearms violations
was capable of being destroyed.
o There was reportedly enough food stored on the Compound to sustain
cult members for at least three months.
Water was also available in quantity.
o The Compound could continue to be barricaded and fortified.
o The operation could involve a lengthy commitment in terms of
personnel
and logistics.
o The resources of local agencies could be strained, and neighboring
areas disrupted.
o The lack of sufficient and adequate cover would make it extremely
difficult to effectively contain the Compound
without the use of heavily armored vehicles.
Dynamic Entry (Raid)
The very nature of a
dynamic
entry necessitates the existence of three elements in order to achieve
success:
(1) surprise, (2) speed of implementation, and (3) diversion. BATF
planners were well aware of the significance and
importance of these elements, as evidenced by their inclusion not only
in the tactical plan, but also the rehearsal
and
training segments conducted at Fort Hood.
Experience has shown, and
it is generally conceded, that while diversion is not always critical
to
the success
of every dynamic operation, surprise and speed are absolutely
essential.
Certainly, if surprise is lost, the likelihood
of achieving success is reduced greatly, because it is difficult to
overcome its compromise through speed and
diversion. By incorporating all three elements into their dynamic
scheme,
planners ensured a high probability of
success, and enhanced the safety of participating agents as well as
cult members.
Undercover observations,
interviews of former cult members, and patterning of cult activities
confirmed
the
selection of this tactical alternative. For example, it was determined
that:
o Weapons were stored in a second-floor room at the east side of the Compound.
o Following Bible study, male followers left the Compound
structure
to work on an outside construction project
at the west side of the Compound, thus separating them from the arms
room.
o Women and children were separated from the men.
o No armed guards accompanied the men, and it was likely very few,
if
any, persons on the Compound would be
armed.
The successful
implementation
of the dynamic entry option would prevent mass suicide, alleviate the
continued physical and sexual abuse of the children, and enable cult
members held against their wishes to leave.
In addition, it would facilitate the arrest of David Koresh and the
recovery of evidence.
One of the controversial
areas confronted by planners in "selling" this tactical alternative was
the selection
of when the warrants would be served. Generally speaking, the most
advantageous time of service would be during
the hours of darkness or early dawn, when occupants are more likely
to be asleep. However, in the case of the
Branch Davidians, intelligence information reflected that several of
Koresh's most trusted followers, the "Mighty
Men", slept with assault rifles under their mattresses. This potential
threat, along with the estimated number of
cult members believed to be in the Compound (75), the fact that the
men would be close to the arms room, and
the size of the complex, prompted planners to reject service during
the hours of darkness. Instead, the decision
was made to effect service at 1000 hours. because, as previously noted,
patterning reflected that by then the men would be busy at the
construction
site at the opposite end of the
Compound from the arms room, and the women and children would be
separated
from the men, performing their
chores elsewhere.
As mentioned before,
planners
realized from the outset that the safest and most effective alternative
available
to them was to arrest David Koresh away from the Compound. However,
relying upon misleading intelligence, and
rejection of other suggested means of enticing Koresh from the
Compound,
they abandoned what was believed to
be the best tactical option. In fairness to the planners, it should
be pointed out that, with the exception of a few
interviews and observations made while surreptitiously visiting the
areas surrounding the Compound, they had no
direct link with intelligence providers. Consequently, they were forced
to accept intelligence which was often
considered inconsistent and untimely.
Lacking the ability to
arrest
Koresh away from the Compound, and based upon the information provided
them, planners logically selected the dynamic entry (raid) option.
Tactics and Related Matters
Having adopted the
strategy
of using a dynamic approach to effect service of the warrants, planners
next
established the duties and responsibilities of each SRT and cover team.
These functions have been addressed
previously, but briefly stated, the New Orleans SRT team was given
the assignment of surmounting the roof,
securing the arms room, and arresting David Koresh if he was
encountered.
A segment of the same team was to
maintain a holding position at the warehouse until they were joined
by others to clear that area. The Dallas SRT
team was to enter the front door, go to the second floor, clear it,
the towers, and chapel, and secure women and
children. The Houston Team was to enter the front door, clear the first
floor, the kitchen, dining area, an
underground tunnel (a buried school bus), and secure all men
encountered.
Each SRT team was supported by an
exterior cover team. Forward Observer Teams (countersniper) were to
provide long-range cover and support for
the SRT and cover teams. This would be the first time members of the
newly adopted program were deployed on
an actual operation. Because so many agents would be entering the
interior
of the Compound, the value of the
Forward Observer Teams was probably underestimated. Their primary
responsibility
was to provide long-range
cover during the approach to the Compound. Planners recommended two,
two-person Forward Observer Teams
be deployed inside the undercover residence, which would also act as
a forward command post. Also, one,
two-person team would deploy at the rear of the Compound, along with
five BATF members who were to clear a
series of vehicles and trailers once the raid had commenced. Planners
had hoped to deploy a fourth team east of
the Compound, but it
was felt that the cover and concealment were too sparse to prevent their detection.
While it is conceded that
planners were appreciative of the benefit of deploying the new teams,
there
is little
question that realization of their full potential was not possible
under the described deployment. The desired fourth
team could have been deployed through the assistance of a cooperative
rancher from whom the undercover site
was obtained. He had offered to place large, tightly rolled hay bales
(rolls) strategically around his property, which
bordered the Compound, to act as surveillance posts. These bales could
have been placed weeks in advance so they
would not have caused the Davidians to become suspicious. Their
protective
value could have been tested
beforehand by undercover personnel firing into them to determine the
best configuration in which to arrange the
bales. The rancher's offer was noted, but not accepted.
Deployment of the Forward
Observer Teams also created concern. Although the two teams at the
undercover
site arrived the evening before, they did not deploy until two hours
prior to the raid. The team at the rear of the
Compound was not deployed until moments before the raid. One of the
most important roles performed by a
position of this type is to surveill the objective continuously, well
before the operation begins (2:352). Had this team
been deployed the night before, the possibility exists that valuable
intelligence information might have been
obtained through their observations.
Both managers and
supervisors
are often unfamiliar with the role of countersniper teams and their
deployment. However, in the case of the BATF, it is submitted that
this unfamiliarity was complicated by the
newness of the program. Operation Trojan Horse was literally a "test
by fire" for the program, and its members
proved their worth. In the future, problems can be reduced by assigning
a trained and experienced coordinator
(supervisor) to the program. The coordinator, or his designate, would
represent Forward Observer Teams at all
applicable planning sessions, and respond in a supervisorial capacity
during deployment. This simple modification
will increase the likelihood that the teams are utilized to their full
potential. Also, it should result in a better
understanding of their capabilities and limitations.
Tactical contingencies
were
considered by planners, including aborting the operation at various
stages
if a
compromise occurred. However, as will be addressed under Command and
Control, planners had no control over
those with assigned authority to abort the mission. One of the problems
with the abort plan was that there was
no alternative course of action available to decision makers once an
abort had been declared. For example, and as
provided for in the plan, if a compromise occurred while enroute to
the Compound, the raid force would be ordered
to continue past the Compound and not carry through with the dynamic
warrant service. Had this occurred, what
were they to do? Return to the Staging Area? Respond to the Command
Post? Apparently, no
provisions were made for this contingency, and if they were, there
is
no evidence of their knowledge by decision
makers. Of course, it could be presumed that decision makers should
know their options in a situation like this.
However, one of the purposes of planning is to eliminate as many
presumptions
as possible by providing direction
and guidance.
Once the firefight broke
out at the Compound, agents found themselves without an effective means
of
withdrawal. Although the use of Bradley Fighting Vehicles was discussed
by planners as a necessity if the siege
alternative was implemented, once the dynamic entry option was adopted,
their use was de-emphasized. Given the
suspected weaponry of the Branch Davidians, it would have been
advisable
to have had at least three of these
armored vehicles standing by at the Command Post.
Another problem with the
contingency plan arose because there was a lack of definite guidance
with
regard
to negotiations. Loose reference was made to the use of local agency
negotiators, but it appears clear that no one
foresaw the necessity to utilize them. Unfortunately, the need arose
quickly and tragically. Luckily, the Deputy
Tactical Coordinator had received negotiations training in the past.
After David Koresh had called 911 and
communicated with a Sheriff's Department lieutenant, the Deputy
Tactical
Coordinator made telephone contact
with another cult member and negotiated a cease fire to evacuate dead
and wounded agents. In defense of the
planners, it is difficult to provide for a negotiations function where
none exists. This is an area which must be
addressed in the future. The experience of the evaluator has been that
protracted operations involving tactics and
negotiations are best managed when negotiators are an integral part
of the tactical team or unit, and under the
same tactical command and control. It has been said that perhaps the
most critical element of decision making is
timing (3:69). There are sometimes occasions during the course of
tactical
operations when a resolution can be
achieved as a result of a sudden change in circumstances. The tactical
commander must make what can be a
difficult decision at this point. If he must also consult with a
separate
negotiation command prior to implementing
the resolution, the opportunity may pass and never present itself
again.
Regardless of the
negotiations
concept utilized, it is absolutely essential that tactical, command,
and
negotiations personnel work together toward the successful resolution
of the incident. Negotiations and tactics are
successful if they assist in any way to achieve a positive outcome
(4).
While planners did not
select
Command Post and Staging Area sites, some had an opportunity to view
them
during a visit to the Waco area in December, 1992. Understandably,
their interests were more concentrated on
surveilling the Compound and evaluating tactical options than assessing
the location of support sites. Nevertheless.
the
selection of these sites can often adversely affect an operation,
and
for this reason, planners should participate in
choosing them.
The selection of the
Texas
State Technical Institute (College) Airport facility as the principal
Command
Post
was logical, based upon necessary requirements. However, interviews
of some participants reflected concern over
the location of the Staging Area because of its proximity to a traveled
highway, and the fact that arriving vehicles
and personnel were easily observable. Having viewed the Staging Area
during an independent post-operation visit,
the evaluator shared this concern. Although the location was certainly
adequate to meet space and comfort
requirements, its location adjacent to a traveled road, and on an
almost
direct route to the Compound (albeit 8
miles distant), makes its selection questionable. This point is
particularly
critical when it is considered that an
estimated 50-100 vehicles were utilized to transport the raid force
from Fort Hood. Had buses been utilized, it
might have been possible to use an area adjacent to the Command Post
at T.S.T.I. as a staging area. This would
probably have been more conducive to operations security. Buses could
have been obtained commercially, or
through military sources.
One way to reduce
potential
problems with the selection of sites such as these is to prepare, and
faithfully
utilize a printed checklist or form detailing specific requirements
for the site and emphasizing operations security
concerns. This is always important, but especially when someone other
than the planners are making the selections
Logistics
Logistical support of a
large-scale
operation requires a concerted and cooperative effort on the part of
planners and those obtaining and providing the requested assistance.
In addition to existing individual and team
SRT equipment, the tactical strategy selected will also determine what
support and supplemental equipment and
personnel will be required. Assigning this important, and often
critical,
responsibility to a specific individual will
ensure that logistical requirements are met in a timely manner. In
the case of Operation Trojan Horse, a Support
Coordinator was assigned in accordance with the BATF National Response
Plan, which was implemented for the
first time as a result of the investigation.
Because of the
geographical
distances separating the Support Coordinator and individual planners, a
request
was made asking them to submit a list of desired equipment. These lists
were then consolidated, and most of the
items were obtained or borrowed from one source or another.
Post-operation
interviews with the SRT team leaders
reflected that they had received all critical equipment they had
requested,
with
the exception of smoke grenades, which were apparently unavailable
from
military sources. Under the
circumstances, smoke grenades might have been of benefit in concealing
the withdrawal or movement of the raid
force. A controversy developed later concerning the availability of
additional AR-15 semi-automatic rifles, but
according to the Support Coordinator, all that were requested were
received, and if more had been requested, they,
too, would have been provided. In retrospect, there is no question
that more could have been utilized.
With reference to
helicopters,
it had been the understanding of planners that necessary aviation
assets
would
be provided by U.S. Customs Service. However, the decision was made
at a later date to utilize Texas National
Guard assets. This assistance was obtained with the cooperation of
the Department of Defense liaison officer to
the BATF in Washington, D.C. Whether the decision to utilize National
Guard assets was based upon politics,
rivalry, or practicality is a moot point. In either case, the National
Guard ultimately committed to providing aviation
assistance, armored vehicles on a standby basis, and other support
equipment.
Fortunately, full-scale,
multi-agency activities, approaching the size of Operation Trojan
Horse,
are still rare
within law enforcement. Nonetheless, agencies must be prepared should
they be confronted by circumstances of
this nature requiring their attention. Logistical support of any
operation,
and particularly one of great magnitude,
can have a marked affect on its outcome. Therefore, the assigned
coordinator
must be especially familiar with his
role, as well as various sources of logistical assistance.
One approach to ensuring
future uniformity and directed action in obtaining logistical support
for
an
operation is to prepare and provide to each BATF Field Division Office
a logistical manual. This manual, which
would be provided to the Logistical Coordinator at the time of his
assignment to the position, would contain a full
description and statement of duties and responsibilities, along with
logistical sources, procedures, and points of
contact. The National Response Plan provides some direction in this
regard, and that information could easily be
expanded into a more helpful format, as described above.
Emergency Medical Services
One of the areas for
which
the BATF was most criticized by those with little or no knowledge of
Operation
Trojan Horse was an alleged failure to provide Emergency Medical
Services
(EMS). Research for this report
revealed that these allegations were patently false. Unfortunately,
television coverage of the evacuation of dead
and wounded agents, and the withdrawal of others, prompted these
allegations
because there was no
attempt made to explain why ambulances and EMS providers were not
immediately
at the scene when the need
arose.
In actuality, not only
were
ground ambulance and paramedics requested and pre staged, but so too,
was
a
civilian medivac helicopter. National Guard helicopters would be used
if additional airborne medivac service was
required. Because of the open terrain and the need for operations
security,
EMS assets could not be staged in view
of the Compound, and for obvious reasons, civilian EMS personnel could
not accompany the raid force to the
location. Instead, an EMT-trained and -equipped agent was assigned
to each team. Other medical assets would be
brought in from their staging areas if they were required. Ultimately,
circumstances strained medical resources to
the maximum. It is unlikely, as a practical matter, that enough
resources
could have been staged in advance to
handle the unforeseeable number of casualties that occurred. As a
matter
of fact, the remoteness of the area and
the weaponry possessed by cult members, prompted extra effort to be
exerted in preparing a comprehensive
medical plan. Assisting in this effort was an Army Special Forces
complement,
which also provided instruction on
trauma care to members of the raid force at Fort Hood. This instruction
proved of value during the operation.
In addition to providing
instruction, Army medics also suggested that members of the SRT teams
print
their
blood types on their neck and legs with a marker. This questionable
suggestion was accepted and implemented.
Although this practice might have application in the military
environment,
in the evaluator's opinion, it has no place
within law enforcement operations. Not only does this practice have
an adverse psychological effect on team
members, and heighten their anxiety, but civilian emergency medical
facilities are unlikely to accept a patient's
assertion of having a particular blood type. For reasons of both
accuracy
and liability, a patient's blood would be
typed regardless of their claimed knowledge of blood type.
Because of the almost
total
dependence of the BATF on outside sources of EMS to support their
tactical
operations, it would prove of benefit to organize an internal program
within each Special Response Team.
Within the contemporary
law
enforcement tactical community, this concept is known by the acronym
TEMS
(Tactical Emergency Medical Support). A few agencies have staffed
full-time
SWAT-trained police paramedics
within their tactical units for many years, but most are unable to
afford this luxury. Instead, some agencies have
discovered that there are a number of alternative means of integrating
this life-saving service, albeit on an on-call
basis. These alternatives include:
o Paramedic or EMT-trained agency personnel
o Fire department paramedics or EMTs
o Private hospital/ambulance paramedics or EMTs
o Private physicians
Outside EMS services may
be obtained by contract or through a volunteer program. Regardless of
which
is
selected, the consensus of those experienced in the field is that all
EMS personnel be required to complete basic
tactical response team, as well as periodic in-service, training. A
few agencies require EMS personnel to meet their
tactical response team selection criteria to ensure acceptable physical
condition, as well as acceptance by team
members.
Integration of EMS
capabilities
within an agency or team should not be considered a substitute for
existing
civilian EMS providers, but rather a supplement. Unlike their civilian
counterparts, tactical paramedics and EMT
personnel are trained to operate in life-threatening situations that
may involve an armed adversary (7:56). Not only
can these specially trained personnel provide almost immediate basic
and advanced life support care on scene, and
occasionally under fire, but they are also a valuable tactical planning
resource. Planning for a tactical mission should
obviously include concern for medical care, whether or not an agency
maintains an in-house EMS program. It
should be apparent that when the level of care and medical capability
increase, potential risk and liability factors
diminish (8:55).
The application of TEMS
to
BATF operations is obvious. There are undoubtedly a sizable number of
special
agents within the service who are trained and certified former
paramedics
or Emergency Medical Technicians
(EMT). Those personnel whose certifications have expired could be
retested
and certified. Their ranks could be
supplemented by civilian EMS volunteers within the various BATF
divisions.
Activation procedures could be aligned
with those of Special Response Teams, as outlined within the National
Response Plan.
Guidance in developing a
program of this nature is available from a number of law enforcement
and
related
sources.
Communications
A reliable and effective
communications system is, of course, a critical factor in resolving any
major tactical
incident. The communications plan for Operation Trojan Horse was
developed
jointly by representatives of the
BATF and a Special Forces unit of the U.S. Army. Although some
criticism
has been directed at the
communications
plan, team leaders who were interviewed believed the system addressed operational needs and worked well.
The communications system
consisted of secure radios and telephones, as well as cellular
telephones.
Additional equipment was located inside the Command Post at T.S.T.I.
and the Forward Command Post at the
undercover residence.
Basically, the
communications
net utilized a separate command channel, a channel for each of the
three
SRT
teams and cover teams, and another for the helicopters and other
support
entities. Each SRT team member carried
a secure handheld radio, and could communicate with other members of
the same SRT and cover teams, as well
as his team leader. In order to communicate with another team or other
entities, he had to switch to the
appropriate channel.
Team leaders carried two
handheld radios with an earpiece in each ear, and could communicate on
one radio
with his SRT and cover teams, and to other team leaders and tactical
command personnel on the other. The Deputy
Tactical Coordinator at the Forward Command Post (undercover residence)
acted as a relay point for
communications to the helicopters, the Command Post at T.S.T.I., and
all support entities, either directly or
through a radio van which was staged for maximum communications
capability.
Minor complaints from SRT
personnel referred to the awkwardness of changing channels on their
radios
and,
of course, the team leaders adjusting and manipulating two radios.
While the BATF radios were secure, local agency
communications were not. This undoubtedly explains the assertion by
some area residents that they were able to
monitor the operation on their scanners.
Although it would have
been
of future value to tape record all channels utilized during the
operation,
the
radio van only had the capability of recording the command channel,
and this was apparently done.
Intelligence Function
One of the recognized
basic
principles of intelligence is that tactical operations and intelligence
are
interdependent. Intelligence does not exist for its own sake, but to
assist in executing operational missions
(5:8).
Like any large-scale
operation,
planning for the service of search and arrest warrants at the Branch
Davidian Compound relied heavily on intelligence sources. These sources
included:
o Interviews of selected former cult members
o Other law enforcement agencies
o Undercover contacts
o Undercover surveillance
o Aerial photographs
o Criminal records checks
o Court documents
o Information from neighbors
In order to obtain the
most
pertinent information, planners prepared a list of thirty-eight
questions
to ask
of former cult members. Responses were compared to confirm or refute
information provided. The results of these
interviews proved very beneficial, when supplemented by other sources,
in developing the operational plan.
Information from other sources was provided intermittently to planners
through reports and documents screened
by the assigned case agent and the Tactical Coordinator. Although an
Intelligence Coordinator was assigned to the
operation, as prescribed by the National Response Plan, this assignment
was made during the latter stages of
planning. Through no fault of the person assigned, he had little
opportunity
to contribute to the intelligence effort.
As the planning phase
progressed,
the most current information was provided by undercover personnel
residing at a house across the road from the Compound. The undercover
operation commenced on January 11,
1993, on a twenty-four-hour basis, with eight undercover agents
assigned.
According to those agents interviewed,
initial instructions regarding their mission were minimal, and no
supervisor
was assigned to the house to oversee
the operation. For this reason, undercover agents decided among
themselves
what information should be gathered
and what work schedules should be followed. Agents rotated shifts,
with four on-duty and four off. Periodic logs
of activity were kept, and efforts were directed toward confirming
or refuting information provided by former cult
members. Logs and reports were forwarded to the case agent for review
and dissemination. Surveillance of the
Compound continued on a twenty-four-hour basis for two weeks, during
which time David Koresh was never seen
leaving the Compound. At the end of two weeks, undercover personnel
decided on their own that there was nothing
occurring at night to warrant surveillance. Accordingly, they agreed
to watch
the location only during the hours of daylight. It is important to
note
that tactical planners believed the undercover
operation was being conducted twenty-four-hours a day, and relied upon
information provided them on that basis.
Shifts and assignments
were
established and changed by the agents on a regular basis, and lacking
any
supervision or direction, it is to their credit that surveillance was
conducted with any regularity at all.
Undercover agents were
provided
with 35mm cameras, lenses, and a video camera. Unfortunately, no one
was familiar with the equipment, and the quality of the photographs
taken reflected this lack of expertise.
Complaints about the quality of the photos, which were developed
primarily
in Austin for security reasons, were
not accompanied by suggestions for improvement. Requests for additional
equipment, i.e., night vision equipment
to replace an inoperable set provided initially, and technical support
in other areas, proved fruitless. A "pole" camera
placed on the property of a local resident was of negligible value,
and had to be removed at the insistence of the
property owner. No assistance or direction was forthcoming, and
undercover
agents began to feel isolated and
neglected. As a result, surveillance became more and more sporadic.
After several weeks, and
apparently in response to concerns about the undercover house, a
superior
from
the Houston office visited the agents. Complaints were aired and a
number of changes made. However, with the
exception of placing increased emphasis on infiltrating the Compound,
as directed by BATF Headquarters, these
changes had little influence on the surveillance. Finally, a supervisor
was assigned to oversee undercover activities.
He seldom came to the undercover house, however, and basically became
a point of contact and drop-off point for
exposed film and reports at either the Command Post or an undercover
safe house in Waco.
According to agents, cult
members occasionally visited them. During the first visit, they
inquired
who the
agents were and why they were staying at the house. Agents did not
believe cult members were suspicious of them
or their cover stories. The undercover agent who had met with David
Koresh on several occasions inside the
Compound shared this belief.
Two weeks prior to the
raid,
four of the undercover agents were removed, because of their assignment
as
part of the raid force. The four remaining agents sporadically
surveilled
the Compound through the day of the raid.
As mentioned earlier,
intelligence
and tactical operations are interrelated. The importance of this
relationship
in terms of operational success cannot be over-
emphasized. Establishment of the undercover surveillance operation
to
confirm information obtained from other
sources certainly reflects concern for this relationship. Be that as
it may, establishing an undercover operation
without providing definite direction regarding objectives and
expectations,
and supervision to ensure acceptable
compliance, demonstrates a lack of appreciation and understanding of
the intelligence function. Undercover agents
had every right to expect oversight guidance and feedback related to
the usefulness of their efforts. When it wasn't
received, their response in making decisions on their own was
understandable,
and should have been foreseen.
Any item of equipment
provided
should have been accompanied by instruction on its care and
utilization.
To
expect acceptable results without ensuring agents are capable of
operating
the equipment is absurd.
Supervision of the
undercover
operation should have been an integral part of the assignment from its
inception, and assurance given that whatever support was required by
the agents would be provided as
expeditiously as possible.
This seeming lack of
understanding
of the intelligence function can perhaps best be addressed in the
future
through in-service training at all levels likely to be involved in
a full-scale tactical operation. Future operational
planning might also make better use of divisional Intelligence Research
Specialists (IRS), and their training modified
to emphasize the interrelationship of intelligence and tactical
operations.
One of the intelligence-related issues
disclosed during Congressional hearings on June 9-10, 1993, involved
the use of electronic surveillance and listening
devices. Those who testified from the BATF expressed doubt that
approval
would have been granted for such
intrusions at the Compound. Whether or not this is true is for others
to determine, but it goes without saying that
such devices could have easily confirmed the raid on February 28 had
been compromised. There is no doubt that
additional information of potential tactical, as well as evidentiary
value, could also have been obtained. Hopefully,
as a result of both the Congressional inquiry and that conducted by
the Waco Administrative Review, enabling
legislation will be pursued (if indeed none exists) to prevent this
problem from occurring in the future.
Briefing
One of the most important, but often
neglected,
elements of a successful warrant service is a comprehensive
briefing. If conducted properly, a briefing can develop confidence
in both the planners and the operation (1:147).
Because of the extreme magnitude of Operation Trojan Horse, the
duration
of the investigation that preceded it,
and the number of agents involved from different geographical areas,
the task of making everyone aware of their
duties and responsibilities was enormous. For the most part, the
Tactical Coordinator assumed this responsibility. Prior to the date
of implementation, briefings were held for
different entities at several locations, including Waco and Fort Hood.
Operational personnel (SRT and direct
support)
attended a number of briefings in conjunction with the
rehearsal and training sessions at Fort Hood. Tactical briefings of
SRT team members included visual aids, such
as ground/aerial photographs, diagrams, and maps. Briefings were also
conducted for support personnel at Fort
Hood. It would appear from statements made that most of those who
participated
believed the briefings adequately
addressed their questions and concerns.
Nonetheless, forward observers took
exception
to this belief. They reportedly received no specific direction
regarding their mission, and were not invited to attend any briefings
other than that held for support personnel.
When two forward observers attempted to attend a meeting of SRT teams,
they were told it wouldn't be necessary.
A meeting which was supposed to take place between forward observers
and SRT team leaders did not occur.
Forward observers learned of the planned tactical deployment of the
SRT teams by observing the rehearsal
training, which they found helpful. Whether this unfortunate situation
was an oversight or the result of
unfamiliarity with the program is unknown, but it was certainly
preventable.
One method of making certain that all
participants
are aware of their role and what is expected of them is to
conduct a mandatory general briefing. This briefing should not replace
separate specialized briefings, but rather
supplement them by ensuring that everyone from a particular entity
involved is aware of the general role and
relationship of others in carrying out the operation. It was reported
by one participant that there were many
briefings conducted at Fort Hood, and if a person's concerns weren't
addressed at one briefing, they would surely
be discussed at another. Again, a comprehensive follow-up general
briefing
might have reduced the number of
briefings required.
A printed briefing checklist or format can
also be of benefit when the size of an operation requires conducting
multiple briefings.
The importance of a comprehensive briefing
in achieving operational success cannot be stressed too strongly.
No matter how well an operation is planned, it is essential that
participants
be properly briefed regarding their role
in its implementation.
Training/Rehearsal
The relationship between quality training
and
successful performance has been well established. From all
indications, the training and rehearsal conducted over a three-day
period at Fort Hood was well planned, relevant to the tasks
required,
and prepared those involved for the
assignments they were to perform.
Fort Hood, Texas, was selected for training
and rehearsal purposes because of the excellent quality of training
sites and ranges there, as well as the security a military base would
provide.
Personnel arrived at the base at staggered
times and dates, but the majority were present for training on
February 26 and 27. During briefing sessions, they were cautioned about
operations security and admonished not
to wear any law enforcement identifiable articles of clothing when
off the post. This was necessary because they
were billeted on the post, but allowed to eat off post.
Much of the SRT training was conducted at
the
Military Operations in Urban Terrain (MOUT) site, which
contained structures similar to those expected to be encountered.
Following
briefing, SRT teams practiced entry
techniques, and later, each team rehearsed their particular roles in
executing the plan. Loading and unloading of
the cattle trailers were also rehearsed. Glass was inserted in window
frames to enable team members who would
be breaking windows to practice proper technique, and teams which would
be deploying flash/sound diversionary
devices (flashbangs) rehearsed proper deployment. Special Forces
personnel
at the site assisted in duplicating the
floor plans of Compound buildings with marking tape to facilitate
movement
and deployment exercises, and
generally assisted in creating as realistic an environment as possible.
Once support elements arrived, the entire
raid
force rehearsed loading and unloading the trailers and deploying
to their assigned areas. Reportedly, after repetitive training, the
raid force was able to exit the trailers in eight
seconds. The truck/trailers were also driven the same distance as the
Staging Area to the Compound to determine
necessary driving time.
SRT team members who would be ascending
ladders
to the second-story roof practiced deploying and climbing
them until their Team Leader was satisfied with timing and proficiency.
Later, SRT team members test-fired their
weapons. Forward observers zeroed their rifles for the distances within
which they would be working, and agents
who would be carrying AR-15 rifles were required to fire a
qualification
course.
The time spent at Fort Hood also provided
an
opportunity for the Tactical Coordinator and Team Leaders to
review and refine the tactical plan. The general consensus of those
participating in the training and rehearsal at
Fort Hood was that it was very helpful, and adequately prepared them
for the anticipated warrant service. SRT
team leaders believed their teams were well prepared, and expressed
some concern that
they were overtrained.
COMMAND AND CONTROL
The term command describes the exercise of
complete authority to direct the actions of others. It also describes
those factors necessary to manage a crisis situation. Control is often
confused with command, and while closely
related, the two are considered inseparable by the military (11:12).
It is not unusual for a person to be in command
and not be in control. Conversely, it is possible for a person to be
in control but not in command, due to the fact
that it is not possible for a person in command to control every aspect
of the tactical organization he directs. This
description is especially appropriate, because the issue of command
and control is perhaps the most significant area
of concern in evaluating the outcome of Operation Trojan Horse.
Decisions Impacting the Operation
While there were other problems of
significance
which occurred prior to the date of implementation (discussed
elsewhere), they are eclipsed by the command decisions which were made,
and not made, on the day of the
operation. From the outset, it should be noted that nothing has been
provided the evaluator which would reflect
that command personnel performed unprofessionally, or with the
intention
of purposely hampering the safe conduct
of the operation.
There is no doubt that command personnel
were
well-intentioned, dedicated professionals, and performed their
duties and responsibilities within the limits of their capacity.
However,
research for this project revealed that they
were not prepared, in terms of knowledge and experience, for the
assignments
they were called upon to perform.
Once under way, the magnitude and size of the operation simply
overwhelmed
them, in spite of their extensive
efforts to "make everything work".
Although other areas could be addressed
here,
the main emphasis will be placed upon decisions and actions
which directly, rather than indirectly, affected the outcome of the
operation.
- When word was received from the undercover agent that David Koresh
had received a telephone call, and
apparently as a result of the call, announced he knew the ATF and
National
Guard were coming for him, the
operation should have at least been delayed or postponed by the
Incident
Commander, because any chance of
surprise had been lost.
- The decision to proceed with haste based upon the belief that surprise
wasn't necessary was ill advised. To have stood any chance of
success
without surprise, the raid force would have
to have been positioned at the Compound ready to proceed the minute
Koresh was alerted to the raid.
- The fact that continuing surveillance revealed no activity outside
the Compound prior to, and during, the
movement of the raid force from the Staging Area should have been
viewed
as significant, since the separation of
the men from the arms room was critical to the safe conduct of the
raid. The operation should have been aborted
by the Tactical Coordinator while enroute to the Compound, if not
before.
- The observation of two press vehicles in close proximity to the
Compound
while the raid force was enroute, when
combined with the report of inactivity outside the Compound, should
have confirmed the obvious. The operation
had been compromised, and the raid should have been aborted by the
Tactical Coordinator.
- The Deputy Tactical Coordinator should have questioned the initial
decision to proceed with the operation, based
upon his personal interview of the undercover agent, the inactivity
outside the Compound, and his observation of
press vehicles on the farm road in front of the Compound. Following
the decision to proceed, since he had abort
authority, the Deputy Tactical Coordinator should have encouraged the
Tactical Coordinator to abort the mission
while the raid force was enroute to the Compound.
- The fact that the described observations were all reported by the
Deputy Tactical Coordinator to the Command
Post at T.S.T.I. did not relieve him from the responsibility of
questioning
what should have been viewed as an
inappropriate and hasty decision.
- SRT Team Leaders should have questioned the Tactical Coordinator's
orders to proceed with the raid, based upon
his announcement that the Davidians knew they were coming. The Team
Leaders, above all others, knew the
importance of surprise in safely carrying out their mission.
- The Incident and Deputy Incident Commanders should have remained
at
the T.S.T.I. Command Post, as provided
in the operational plan. They should not have accompanied the
helicopters.
By so doing, they seriously
reduced their decision-making ability at a critical time, and
effectively
eliminated their access by subordinate
supervisors. The fact that the command helicopter was struck by gunfire
from the Compound and forced to land
in an adjacent field, confirms this point.
- The Tactical Coordinator should have been located inside the
Forward
Command Post. Because he was probably
the most knowledgeable of the entire operation, his ability to
recognize
significant activities at the Compound and
act upon them could have been invaluable. In addition, this location
would have removed him from the additional
pressures created by accompanying the raid force.
- The Deputy Tactical Coordinator should have been assigned to
accompany
the raid force. This would have placed
a high level of supervision with the raid force and, in conjunction
with the Tactical Coordinator, facilitated any
decisions that may have been required while enroute or following their
arrival at the Compound.
- The decision to abandon the Compound once dead and wounded agents
had been evacuated was unprecedented
within the evaluator's experience. Doing so caused confusion,
frustration,
and embarrassment to agents involved,
and created the risk that cult members might escape into the City of
Waco and elsewhere, endangering the lives
of those with whom they came in contact. At the very least, forward
observer positions should have been
maintained and reinforced, perhaps with an APC which had been provided
by the National Guard, to contain the
situation until additional armored vehicles could be brought in to
further strengthen the positions.
- The Tactical Coordinator assumed more responsibility throughout
the
operation than could reasonably be
managed. Although some areas were delegated to others, it seems
apparent
in retrospect that he was overburdened
with details that should have been the responsibility of others.
- The decision not to effect service of the search warrant at the
"Mag
Bag" posed a potential threat to personnel
manning the roadblock at the intersection of Loop 340 and Farm Road
2491. It is fortunate that the armed
occupants chose to make an attempt to join fellow cult members at the
Compound, rather than engage roadblock
personnel in a gunfight. As related elsewhere, one of the three was
killed after engaging special
agents elsewhere while enroute to the Compound, and two were taken into custody.
Since the subsequent end
of the siege at the Branch Davidian Compound on April 19, 1993, it has
often, and
understandably, been asked, why, considering everything that happened
prior to the attempted service of warrants
at the Compound, would anyone even entertain thoughts of proceeding
with the operation? Certainly, all command
level personnel wanted the operation to succeed. Then why did they
fail to recognize what now seems so obvious?
A few possible explanations include the following:
- The scope and magnitude of the operation were unprecedented and overwhelming.
- The collective lack of experience in crisis management and
tactical
operations made the decision-making process
more difficult.
- The large accumulation of manpower and resources created an
instinctive
reluctance to cancel, postpone or abort
the operation.
- The lack of another planned alternative if the raid was aborted,
i.e.,
contain and negotiate, caused a built-in
reluctance to cancel the operation.
- The belief that something had to be done to resolve the continuing situation at the Compound.
Whether any or all of
these
explanations played a role in the decision to proceed may never be
known.
However, regardless of their well-intentioned reasoning, it can be
said that decision makers took a calculated risk
which did not succeed.
Finally, it must be
recognized
that what now appears obvious may not have been so apparent under the
pressures of command.
Organization and Structure
When conducting an
operational
analysis, it is always easiest to identify a deficiency and attribute
it
to an
individual. Unfortunately, doing so fails to address why the deficiency
existed in the first place. In the case of
Operation Trojan Horse, it is suggested that the root cause lies within
the organization itself, specifically the
manner in which command personnel are assigned to tactical operations.
As prescribed by the BATF
National Response Plan, whenever a sector (comprised of three or more
SRTs)
is activated for an operation, certain organizational requirements
are mandated. Specifically, the Special Agent In
Charge (SAC) of the division within which the incident occurs is
designated
the Incident Commander. Other SACs
of divisions within the sector are required to provide SRT and other
support, and one SAC is designated the
Deputy Incident Commander.
The position of Tactical
Coordinator is designated by the Incident Commander, and he is required
to have
completed SRT training. The Tactical Coordinator is assisted by a
designated
Deputy Tactical Coordinator, who
must also be SRT trained. In addition, a Support Coordinator is
designated
by the Incident Commander, and he
in turn is authorized to designate subordinate positions to assist
him; i.e., Intelligence Coordinator, Logistical
Support Supervisor, etc. The basic duties and responsibilities of each
of the positions described above, as well as
those of Headquarters superior and subordinate personnel, are contained
within the National Response Plan.
This organizational
(Command
and Control) concept is similar in many respects to that utilized by
the
majority of civilian law enforcement agencies, and, it is submitted,
responsible for a myriad of problems which have
and continue to adversely affect tactical operations. If most law
enforcement
officers at an operational level were
to be asked what consistently caused the greatest difficulty or failure
of a tactical operation in which they were
involved, the overwhelming response would be decisions made, or not
made, by command personnel. This
unfortunate impediment to success in tactical operations is not
necessarily
prompted by an organizational concept.
Some organizational structures are better than others, and it should
be recognized that the BATF model is better
than most, though ponderous in some areas.
Rather, the problem is
caused
by personnel who are assigned to critical command positions by policies
that
direct the designation because of rank, and not ability. Assigning
command personnel in this manner presumes that
all persons of the rank required to fill the position are equally
knowledgeable,
experienced, and capable. This
unfortunate, and often destructive, assumption is made almost
universally
within the organizational structure of
American law enforcement. There is no intention on the part of the
evaluator to imply that all command personnel
assigned to direct tactical operations are unqualified and incapable
of so doing. This would be an absurd implication.
But by the same token, some command personnel, though highly capable
and effective within other areas of law
enforcement operations, may find it difficult, if not impossible, to
function effectively within the tactical
environment, where life and death decisions may have to be made with
little consultation and time for
contemplation. Instead, the evaluator's intention is to strongly
suggest
that only those command personnel who
are qualified by virtue of training and experience and possess the
proven ability to make
decisions under pressure be utilized to direct tactical operations.
To do otherwise is to increase both risk and
liability, to say nothing of inviting disaster.
Fortunately, the
incidence
of tragedy and failure of tactical operations has been remarkably low.
But,
oftentimes, success has sadly been achieved in spite of command, not
because of it. These are admittedly strong
words. However, they are uttered not out of ignorance, but instead
out of sincere concern, rooted in many years
of experience at both the operational and command levels of tactical
operations. Of all the decisions which are made
during crisis situations, none has more impact on a successful
resolution
than the selection of the commander. It
is this person who will set the tone and tempo for the actions which
are to follow (11:10).
It would be unfair to be
critical of the existing BATF concept without offering alternative
solutions.
Consequently, the following suggestions for organizational and
structural
improvement are offered for consideration.
Develop a cadre of command personnel, presumably, but not
necessarily,
at the SAC level who are trained in crisis
management and SRT operations, hopefully experienced (within or outside
of BATF), and whose decision-making
ability under pressure is proven.
In the event of a sector operation, and presuming the affected SAC
is not a member of the cadre, a SAC who is
a member would be assigned as the Incident Commander. The non-cadre
SAC would assume the role of Deputy
Incident Commander, and any other sector SACs would have no command
responsibility or assignment. Note: The
temptation to allow unassigned sector SACs to participate as observers
at the Command Post, or elsewhere, should
be avoided. Their presence could have an adverse effect on the
decision-making
process, and encourage the practice
of "decision by committee", which, in the opinion of the evaluator,
has little, if any, place in law enforcement tactical
operations. The obvious possibility of friction occurring between the
assigned Incident Commander and the SAC
of the affected division must be anticipated, and dealt with through
tact and diplomacy. Hopefully, as the benefits
of the concept are realized, acceptance will result.
2. Develop a similar cadre, presumably, but not necessarily, at the
ASAC level to staff the position of Tactical
Coordinator. The same training required of the Incident Command cadre
would be required of this group, but
special emphasis should be placed upon tactical operations.
The procedure for assigning these personnel would be identical to that
described for the assignment of Incident
Commanders.
Following initial
training,
both groups would be required to participate in formal in-service
training,
at
least quarterly.
Suggestions 1 and 2 presume the retention of division SRTs as presently constituted.
3. Develop full-time SRT teams at the sector level. These
multi-functional
teams would respond according to specific
written criteria, and all division offices would be mandated to request
their services if the planned operation met
the stated criteria. Sector teams would not assume the day to-day
responsibilities
carried out by division SRT
teams. The teams would possess their own chain of command, including
staffing the positions of Incident
Commander and Tactical Coordinator during activations. The affected
division SAC would assume the role of
Deputy Incident Commander, and logically, his personnel would staff
support positions.
Full-time sector teams would be equipped with all contemporary
weapons
and logistics believed necessary to carry
out their assigned mission. Their munitions inventory would include
flash/sound diversionary devices and a full
range of chemical agents, as well as other less-lethal devices. Teams
would be required to train a minimum of
twenty-five percent of their on-duty time (generally, once each week).
This concept would include integrated
negotiation, EMS, and forward observer (countersniper) capabilities.
In major metropolitan areas, where sector
teams might be required to respond, agreements should be reached with
civilian law enforcement teams to reduce
the possibility of friction or jurisdictional disputes.
Implementation of full-time sector SRT teams would undoubtedly
impact
existing divisional teams. Although the
intention of this suggestion is not to eliminate divisional teams,
availability of acceptable personnel to staff six sector
teams may well require the dissolution of most. Were this to occur,
affected divisions would undoubtedly find it
necessary to rely upon local law enforcement teams for assistance in
handling those situations not justifying the
request of a sector team--much as they have done in the past.
Whether
or not this concept is adopted, all SACs and ASACs should receive
comprehensive
training in
tactically related crisis management. Division SRT teams not dissolved
in the adoption of the full-time sector team
concept should be allocated
additional training time to equal at least two times per month. Of
course,
if the full-time concept is not adopted,
then all division teams should receive the additional training time.
The sophistication and
perishable
nature of skills necessary to perform effectively within the
contemporary
tactical environment require that adequate time be allotted for their
maintenance. Training conducted twice each
month should be considered the absolute minimum.
The practice of
maintaining
an SRT team within one division, supervised by a Team Leader from
another
should be reviewed. Although nothing was originally developed to
indicate
this is posing a problem, there is a
possibility that it could in the future. It is presumed this situation
developed because of a void of interested or
qualified personnel within the affected divisions. Assigning a Team
Leader from another division places that person
in the position of not being able to directly influence his team,
except
during the minimal training time presently
allotted, and actual deployment. In addition, the caseload at his
division
of assignment would add to the difficulties
of supervising and directing team activities.
Also, as a part of the
overall
review of the SRT program, it may be of benefit to evaluate the
existing
selection criteria, as well as the SRT training curriculum, to ensure
they are in line with contemporary law
enforcement tactical team standards.
Lastly, it is strongly
suggested
that SRT Team Leaders and Tactical Coordinators, under either the
present
or modified/new system, meet at least annually with their counterparts
from other Federal agencies. These
meetings could be hosted by a different agency each session, and that
agency's members would be responsible for
organizing the program and scheduling presenters. These meetings would
ensure
that teams share information,
develop enhanced interagency cooperation, and remain contemporary
within
the field of tactical operations. It is
important that guest speakers from civilian law enforcement teams be
periodically included as presenters, so that
attendees can share in their experience and expertise as well.
Many additional factors
and
details would have to be addressed prior to implementing either of the
programs
suggested, but it should be emphasized that command and control issues
must be viewed as critical if maximum
effectiveness is to be realized. Adoption of any of the suggestions
noted would, of course, require changes and
modifications to the existing BATF National Response Plan.
OPERATIONS SECURITY
The concept of Operations Security, or OPSEC, was defined and labeled during
the Vietnam conflict. Whether applied formally or informally, OPSEC
is a process of looking at specific programs
or operations from the perspective of an adversary. Operations security
is threat driven. Therefore, if there are
no perceived threats, there are no perceived vulnerabilities, and the
OPSEC process is not needed (6:19).
Like other governmental
agencies,
i.e., FBI, Secret Service, etc., the BATF subscribes to the OPSEC
concept,
and has used it in the past. The unprecedented scope of Operation
Trojan
Horse clearly called for the
implementation of the OPSEC concept at all levels and phases of the
operation. However, it would appear that
while everyone involved in planning and preparation believed in and
supported the OPSEC process, the magnitude
and requirements of the operation often caused other priorities to
take precedence. The most critical information
to be protected during Operation Trojan Horse was, of course, the fact
that the BATF was going to effect service
of search and arrest warrants at the Branch Davidian Compound at a
particular date and time. The following list
of possible indicators from which the Branch Davidians or their
supporters
could have predicted the intended
actions of the BATF expose deficiencies in the application of OPSEC
principles:
- The lodging of all support personnel in Waco.
Even though personnel were scheduled to arrive at staggered dates and
times, the possibility of local residents,
hotel, and other business people noticing the influx was presumably
high. The City of Waco (population over
103,000) is certainly large enough to absorb the number of support
personnel lodged there, especially since a
number of hotels were used. Be that as it may, their presence, combined
with other indicators, may have increased
detection of the impending warrant service. Perhaps some of the support
personnel could have been lodged south
of Waco, in Temple, Texas.
- Departure of the raid force from Fort Hood.
As mentioned elsewhere in this report, the long line of government
and rental cars moving in convoy caused great
concern to those involved in operational planning. Buses could have
been used to reduce, if not eliminate, this
concern. If for some reason this was not possible, vehicles should
have been incrementally scheduled to depart Fort
Hood.
- Selection of the Bellmead Staging Area.
Although the Bellmead site was spacious, convenient, and comfortable,
the accumulation of vehicles, both during
arrival and after, combined with personnel dressed in tactical
uniforms,
had to peak the interest of anyone who
observed these activities. While it is not known if those who saw
the activity at the Staging Area were Branch Davidian members or
supporters,
the fact remains that this
information could have found its way to the Compound, or at the very
least, local media. The utilization of bus
transportation from Fort Hood might have reduced congestion at the
Bellmead site, but as suggested earlier, an
area adjacent to the T.S.T.I. Command Post might have been more secure.
- Briefing at the Waco Best Western Hotel.
The briefing conducted at the Best Western Hotel the evening of
February
27, 1993, was attended by an estimated
75-100 personnel representing Federal, state, and local agencies. The
location of the site, and the number of
personnel and agencies attending, would seem to reflect a high risk
of detection. Operations security might have
been better served by scheduling the briefing at a law enforcement
or other government facility.
- Multi-agency involvement.
There is always a risk of an inadvertent or intentional breach of
security
when multiple agencies become involved
in a joint operation. This is not to say that local law enforcement
or civilian support agencies in Waco were
untrustworthy. The intent is only to identify possibilities.
- Meetings with the media.
The area of media involvement will be addressed separately in this
report. However, suffice it to say that meetings
held with the Waco Tribune Herald were a calculated risk that violated
operations security.
- FAA airspace restriction.
The evaluator has no knowledge of BATF or National Guard policy
relative
to the restriction of airspace prior to
an operation. If policy requires restriction, then it was necessarily
followed. However, lacking a policy requirement,
it is suggested that airspace should not have been restricted. The
published restriction of airspace in an area as
rural as that in which the Compound was located would seem to
unnecessarily
increase suspicion in the minds of
local pilots. In point of fact, one of the cult members was a pilot.
- Counter-intelligence capabilities of David Koresh.
Though perhaps not possessing a formal counter-intelligence network,
there seems little doubt that David Koresh
had the capability to gather intelligence from cult members outside
the Compound, as well as supporters. This
capability undoubtedly included the use of computers.
It is well established that the rural mailman, a cult member himself, was an often-used source of information.
- Contacts with local businesses.
The influx of support personnel into the Waco area created a
corresponding
necessity for them to utilize local
facilities, i.e., restaurants, cocktail lounges, markets, etc. Although
they were cautioned about the need for
operations security, it is possible that suspicion could have been
created in the minds of local patrons by something
said, or not said, by support personnel. The same can be said for local
law enforcement and civilian support
personnel, who may have confided information to friends or relatives.
By reviewing the
indicators
listed previously from the perspective of an adversary, it can readily
be seen that
the existence of effective operations security for Operation Trojan
Horse was highly unlikely.
It is apparent that
improvement
in the area of OPSEC is necessary to increase the chance of success in
future sensitive operations.
MEDIA INVOLVEMENT
Law enforcement
activities
comprise a significant portion of information released by the press,
and
recent
large-scale incidents, including Operation Trojan Horse, have generated
a great deal of concern over how the media
covers these events. Today, networks have the technological capability
to present events live--any time, any place.
The electronic media in the United States live or die by their ratings.
As a result, each network wants to be the
first with the most on any big story (12:15).
It goes without saying
that
there must be a cooperative effort on the part of both law enforcement
and the
media to provide basic information to the public without glorifying
the perpetrators of crime, jeopardizing the public
safety, or compromising tactical operations.
In the recent past, the
BATF
initiated a program of selectively inviting the news media to accompany
their
personnel on warrant services. This was done in the spirit of
cooperation
to improve and maintain a positive
relationship with the press. Long-term, sensitive investigations
requiring
tightly controlled security to decrease the
chance of compromise were the exception. In these situations, the media
representatives were made aware of the
operation following its conclusion. This was the posture taken by the
BATF for Operation Trojan Horse. A Public
Information Officer assigned for that
purpose would be responsible for preparing a press release at the
conclusion
of the operation, and notifying
appropriate print and electronic media.
Unfortunately, late in
the
investigation it became known that the Waco Tribune Herald newspaper
was
preparing to release a seven-part article on David Koresh, his
followers,
and their activities. Concerned that these
articles, depending upon their content, might compromise the operation,
or at least cause David Koresh to become
more suspicious, the decision was made to contact the newspaper in
an attempt to persuade them to delay
publication of the articles. The first meeting with the Tribune-Herald
proved of little value, because the BATF
mistakenly believed the newspaper was amenable to delaying the story.
A subsequent meeting a few days before
the planned raid proved equally unproductive. The Incident Commander
was basically told that the seven-part
article would be published as soon as it was ready, and that the most
important issue was the "public's right to
know." The position of the Waco Tribune Herald in refusing to delay
publication is difficult to justify. They must
have realized the calculated risk BATF was taking by confiding in them
to begin with, and since one of their
complaints was that law enforcement was doing nothing to deal with
the problems at the Compound, logic would
dictate they would want to cooperate. Waiting until the warrants were
served at the Compound could only
strengthen the story when it was published. Their reliance on the
well-worn
adage of the "public's right to know"
is without substance. They were not being asked to withhold information
from the public, only to delay providing
it in the interest of safety, both of the agents involved and cult
members.
Interestingly, in an
editorial
published by the Tribune-Herald as a supplement to their reprint of the
original
seven-part article, the Editor admitted the newspaper received
information
from a "confidential source" on
Saturday, February 27, that the ATF raid would take place on Sunday,
February 28. He then went on to deny the
rumor that someone at the paper had alerted the Davidians about the
raid on February 28 (13). It is unfortunate
that this issue cannot be explored further. However, pending litigation
precludes additional discussion of the
Herald-Tribune's possible role in the outcome of Operation Trojan
Horse.
In retrospect, it seems
apparent
that the contacts with the Tribune-Herald should not have been made. As
a result of media involvement before, during, and subsequent to
Operation
Trojan Horse, and allegations of media
notification prior to the raid, the need for a review of the BATF press
policy is evident.
Previously, the necessity
for cooperation between law enforcement and the media was emphasized.
It
must
also be emphasized that cooperation, by definition, involves a joint
effort on the part of the involved entities. In
the opinion of the
evaluator, if law enforcement must concede to the media the
unrestrained
First Amendment right to freedom of
the press, then the media should concede that they will exercise this
right in a responsible way. Unfortunately, as
Katherine Graham, Chairman of the Board of the Washington Post Company,
said during an address before the
American Newspaper Publishers Association in 1986, "high standards
of professionalism do not guide every media
organization nor every reporter." "And," she continued, "I regret to
say that once one of these less scrupulous or
less careful people reports some piece of information, all the media
feel compelled to follow. Thus it is true: The
least responsible person involved in the process could determine the
level of coverage."
It would seem that, while
the public certainly does have a right to know, whomever is charged
with
determining what the public is told (and it is usually the media) ought
to make this determination in a responsible
manner, with due consideration for the safety and well being of those
affected. As Katherine Graham concluded,
"I believe having experienced people at the helm, exercising sound
judgment on the basis of high professional
standards, is the best we can ask for. But I also believe it is all
we should ask for."
Chapter 3
CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS
CONCLUSIONS
The results of this project are believed to support the
following
conclusions:
1. BATF personnel involved in planning Operation Trojan Horse were
dedicated,
experienced law enforcement
professionals.
2. Much time and effort was expended in planning and preparing for
Operation
Trojan Horse.
3. Planners relied upon and trusted intelligence information which,
in many cases, lacked corroboration.
4. A lack of knowledge existed on the part of both command and
operational
personnel concerning the proper
utilization and deployment of countersniper (Forward Observer Team)
personnel.
5. Insufficient attention was directed by command personnel to the
Operations
Security (OPSEC) process.
6. There was an apparent lack of supervision over the intelligence
gathering
mechanism in terms of direction,
coordination, corroboration, dissemination and control.
7. Though well intentioned, contacts initiated by command personnel
with the Waco Tribune-Herald violated
basic principles of operations security.
8. No media contacts should have been initiated by BATF before the
operation's
conclusion.
9. Command personnel lacked experience and training in directing
major
tactical operations.
10. The Incident Commander should have been located at the
designated
command post to facilitate communication
and control.
11. Once information had been received and corroborated that the operation had
been compromised through the loss of surprise, command personnel should have aborted the mission.
12. There was no planned alternative course of action to be taken if the mission was aborted.
13. Following the negotiation of a cease fire to remove and evacuate
the dead and wounded, perimeter positions
should not have been abandoned until relief personnel had assumed them.
14. Had the operation not been compromised, there was a high
probability
that the tactical plan would have
succeeded.
15. Sufficient oversight was exercised by BATF Headquarters during all phases of Operation Trojan Horse.
16. Numerous acts of heroism were displayed by the men and women of
the BATF during, and subsequent to,
the extensive firefight with the Branch Davidians.
RECOMMENDATIONS
The conclusions addressed
above are believed to constitute justification for considering the
following
recommendations:
1. Assign personnel to command positions (Incident Commander,
Tactical
Coordinator, Deputy Tactical Coordinator)
based upon qualifications--not rank or position.
2. Develop and provide tactical crisis management training for those assigned to these positions.
3. Explore the feasibility of selecting and training an on-call
cadre
of personnel with proven decision-making and
leadership ability to assume the roles of Incident Commander and
Tactical
Coordinator.
4. Ensure that all command and supervisory personnel understand
their
joint responsibility to abort an operation
if circumstances justify doing so.
5. Increase the training time of Division Special Response Teams to a minimum of twice a month.
6. Explore the feasibility of establishing regional, full-time
Special
Response Teams for deployment during
major operations.
7. Review and modify, as necessary, the criteria for selecting Special Response Team members.
8. Review and modify, as necessary, the curriculum of Special Response Team training.
9. Establish a Tactical Emergency Medical Support (TEMS) program and
formally assign EMS-trained personnel
to each Special Response Team.
10. Develop and implement a hostage negotiation program as an integral part of Special Response Team operations.
11. Evaluate existing Special Response Team equipment based on
contemporary
standards within the tactical
community (to include chemical agents).
12. Review the organization, structure, and functions of the
Technology
and Tactical Issues Committee to ensure
the timely evaluation and approval of tactical equipment and
procedures.
13. Conduct meetings, at least annually, of Federal special
operations
team leaders and command personnel (BATF,
FBI, Marshals, Customs) to discuss past tactical analyses and
contemporary
procedures. Emphasize necessity for
interagency cooperation and training.
14. Ensure familiarity with guidelines related to requesting and utilizing air support.
15. Review and modify, as necessary, OPSEC training for all command and operational personnel.
16. Review and modify the media notification process.
17. Review and modify the BATF National Response Plan.
18. Pursue legislation enabling electronic surveillance and
monitoring
under circumstances such as existed at the
Branch Davidian Compound.
19. Empanel a committee comprised of representatives from affected BATF
entities to review these and other recommendations made by the
Tactical
Advisory Expert Panel.
The purpose of objectively analyzing any tactical incident is
not to be critical of another agency's performance,
but rather to learn from what occurred. The death of a comrade demands
that our coordinated efforts be directed
toward reducing the recurrence of similar tragedies. Certainly, the
analysis which forms the basis of this report
was conducted with the utmost care to ensure this belief was not
violated.
Hopefully, the results of this and other
inquiries will provide enlightened guidance, rather than restrictive
policies and procedures.
Lastly, the extensive effort expended in preparing this
report
is sincerely dedicated to the brave men and women
of the BATF, who found themselves at the Branch Davidian Compound on
February 28, 1993, under the gravest
of circumstances.
REFERENCES
BOOKS
1. Kolman, John A. A Guide to the Development of Special Weapons and
Tactics Teams. Springfield, Ill.:
Charles C Thomas, Publisher, 1982.
2. Plaster, John L. Maj. The Ultimate Sniper. Boulder, Colo.: Paladin Press, 1993.
3. Roberts, Wes. Leadership Secrets of Atilla The Hun. New York: Warner Books, Inc., 1987.
GOVERNMENT PUBLICATIONS
4. International Association of Chiefs of Police. A Compilation of
Model
Policies, Hostage/Barricaded Subject
Incidents; Concepts and Issues paper. Alexandria, Va.: I.A.C.P. 1991.
PERIODICALS
5. Ishimoto, Wade. "Intelligence Support of SWAT Operations", The Tactical Edge, (Winter, 1984), 7-11.
6. Keith, Ed. "Operations Security in the Tactical Environment", The Tactical Edge, (Summer, 1993), 19-22.
7. Rasumoff, David, M.D., and Carmona, Richard, M.D. "Inside The
Perimeter",
The Tactical Edge, (Winter,
1990), 56.
8. Rasumoff, David, M.D., and Carmona, Richard, M.D. "Essentials of
Tactical Emergency Medical Support",
The Tactical Edge, (Summer, 1990), 55.
9. Tate, Jerry. "ATF's SRT Program", The Tactical Edge, (Spring, 1993), 38-41.
UNPUBLISHED WORKS
10. Higgins, Stephen E. Testimony before the U.S. House of
Representatives
Committee on Appropriations
Subcommittee on Treasury, Postal Service, and General Government. June
9 and 10, 1993.
11. Heal, Sid. "A Scientific Approach to Tactical Decisions" .
Unpublished
Independent Study Project, California
State Polytechnic University at Pomona, 1993.
NEWSPAPERS
12. Graham, Katherine. "Terrorism and the Media", Los Angeles Daily
Journal. Daily Journal Report, May 2,
1986, 10-16.
13. Lott, Bob. "Serving our obligation to a free society", Waco
Tribune-Herald,
February 27 - March 1, 1993, follow-up coverage, March - May, 1993.
A Tactical Analysis
of the
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco & Firearms
Raid of The Branch Davidian Compound
in Waco, Texas
Prepared By
George Morrison
PREFACE
Although my role in the Waco Administrative Review (the "Review")
was limited to performing a critical assessment of the entry plan
and the process that created it, I am satisfied that the Review's
conduct of this aspect of the investigation was thorough,
professional and objective. I was provided with all documents and
assistance that I requested. I was also given access to those
individuals who developed the plan. It is my assumption that the
specific issues and details relative to the investigation of Mr.
David Koresh and the cult Branch Davidian compound and the decision
to conduct a tactical raid of the facility outside Waco, Texas, are
thoroughly revealed by the Treasury Department investigation team
report. Further, I assume the specific actions and participation by
personnel of the B.A.T.F. and other persons germane to the case
investigation, intelligence task, planning and tactics involved in
this incident are thoroughly documented by the investigation team
report.
The six "Central Issues To Be Addressed By Waco Review" that was
provided to each of the tactical experts focused on the raid as to
preparation, execution, and post incident action. To address those
issues the investigation and analysis required consideration of
B.A.T.F. policy, procedures and organizational structure in place at
the time of the raid. Preliminary analysis revealed the need to
further expand the investigative scope, analysis and research to
include the supervisory and management "mind set" and individual
awareness of contemporary law enforcement standards, i.e. standard
operating procedures and accepted levels of management/organization
performance currently utilized in United States law enforcement.
The rational for expanding the investigation and for acquiring
documents relating to policy, procedure, training and organization
was to learn how such an apparent major investigation and high
profile/high risk forced entry arrest/search warrant raid received
only minimal management review, oversight and control.
The immediate issue became: Who approved the operation and by what
incident command methodology?
NOTE:
My first concern was to ask for the arrest and
search warrant affidavits to see whether the facts
were supported in the court documents. The second
concern was that if the court documents described
the dangerous and exigent conditions described in
the initial briefings by the Review, how did the
raid approval proceed without greater management
review and acceptable standards of command and
control?
After additional preliminary inquiry and research by the Review it
was clear that the Review's concerns were the same as mine. Brave
and dedicated B.A.T.F. agents and supervisors were allowed or
directed to go in harm's way by substantial management and
organizational deficiencies and in some cases, an abdication of
authority and responsibility by mid and top level managers.
SUMMARY
The incident of the February 28, 1993, raid in Waco, by the B.A.T.F.
focused national attention on Mr. David Koresh, the cult Branch
Davidian, and federal law enforcement. Fifty days after the
unsuccessful and personally tragic raid conducted by the B.A.T.F.,
the standoff between the cult leadership and federal law enforcement
concluded in an abortive assault and a virtually all-consuming fire
of the cult structure(s). The subsequent critique, investigation and
analysis of what occurred immediately before and during the B.A.T.F.
raid were conducted separately and without the benefit of personal
and physical evidence from within the cult and cult compound. The
current criminal investigation and trial will add some insight as to
the actions of cult members during the raid, but will not
substantially change the Review's documentation of the case
investigation and raid plan and execution.
In retrospect, there are several obvious critical concerns regarding
the raid plan and execution. The analysis of those concerns is
factually and emotionally impacted by the tragic 28 injuries and 4
deaths of B.A.T.F. agents who demonstrated courage and resolve when
confronted by superior firepower and a tactical reaction from the
cult members not anticipated by the raid plan.
Perhaps the primary concern is why the raid in the first place? The
question goes to the core issue of the incident review. What was the
role of B.A.T.F. management in the investigative and intelligence
gathering process leading up to the point where a decision was made
to tactically and dynamically serve an arrest\search warrant? And,
although not the primary charge of the post incident investigation,
why the apparent absence of case management standards and audits
which critically impacted the raid planning?
The investigation readily identified substantial personnel and
operational component breakdowns in several areas of day to day
B.A.T.F. operations. Whether in or out of the context of the raid,
a
management/organization audit of B.A.T.F. would be in order because
of the expanding operations and role the B.A.T.F. has undertaken in
the last five to ten years. The investigation and review of the Waco
incident supports the propriety of a directive from Treasury for a
strategic plan and (in the process)
"accountability charting" for personnel and entities within the
B.A.T.F.
The actual Koresh case development and review resulted in an
investigative report that did not pursue or produce an acceptable
level of intelligence and case investigation follow-up and
verification. Those deficiencies were aggravated by a "selective
investigation information summary" which was submitted to the
planners as "accurate and complete."
The absence of appropriate supervisory and management level review
for the raid plan indicated weak B.A.T.F. policy and procedure and
no definition of responsibility and authority. Probably the two
most critical observations were: 1.) the absence of evidence that a
deliberate and knowledgeable management review was made to
determine the appropriateness and exigent conditions(s) for a raid
(as opposed to alternatives), and 2.) the absence of evidence of a
"buy off" of the actual raid plan.
The critique of the raid plan requires a diligent research and
analysis of B.A.T.F. policy and procedure specifically as applied
to supervisor and management. To isolate on the planning efforts
and actions of tactical teams members (and S.R.T.s) out of context
of the B.A.T.F.'s bureau "management environment" adversely impacts
analysis and support for change recommendations.
CASE MANAGEMENT AND DAILY ACTIVITIES
The volume of investigations and the expansion of missions
indicates the need for a top level strategy session to insure that
the B.A.T.F. organizational structure can control the activities of
the field agents. The Bureau's activities, expectations and daily
performance of personnel appear to have exceeded the ability of the
existing management and organization structure to properly audit,
inspect, supervise and manage. The apparent unregulated and
unaudited autonomy of S.A.I.C.s allows excessive span of control
and lack of accountability.
NOTE: This was clearly evident by the work load allowed and self
imposed on the A/SAC Houston.
When this occurs on the basic and routine Bureau mission it can be
corrected, but it can become exaggerated in non-routine and
emergency operations. I firmly believe consideration of a secondary
or emergency organization modification should be advanced as a
recommendation for management realignment in major case
investigations or major tactical missions.
THE RAID PLAN
Specifically, the raid plan did not establish or provide for
adequate communications, command and control. The logistic support
was arbitrarily limited, denied or inadequate for the mission
objective. The tactical plan lacked contingency planning, counter
measures, readiness control and abort conditions recognition. These
observations are based on information known to the raid planners
and the acknowledged management review and approval chain.
COMMAND AND CONTROL
The absence of an actual command and control concept and structure
in and of itself contributed more to the tragic results of the raid
than any other aspect of the plan and actions of the 48 hours
leading up to and including the raid and the 8 hours immediately
after the "cease-fire". The operational standards for "tactical
raid-high risk" require an effective, conditioned and flexible
command and control function to manage the incident plan, execution
and recovery. Operation standards, if understood and utilized by a
qualified command would have aborted the plan (as allegedly
prepared and approved--and as "extracted" from witness interviews
by the investigative team) at any one of several "red flags" prior
to the committed point.
The raid plan as submitted to the Review and as enhanced by
interviews indicated a disjointed assembly of component tactics and
logistic support that was not reviewed by all the key players and
decision makers.
CRITICAL ISSUE:
There was no single briefing for all the supervisors of each raid
component, e.g., aviation, logistics, intelligence. Therefore, no
chance to ask questions or clarify information presented.
The communications net established for the raid was untested and as
designed did not support the alleged command and control This
defect was evident to the commanders before the raid commitment. It
was underscored during the fire fight and withdrawal. The command
element did not know what was occurring tactically prior, during or
after withdrawal commenced.
The element of surprise was totally lost prior to raid commitment
and was known to command. To compound the strategic aspect of loss
by surprise, the raid plan was not followed with regard to: 1.)
diversion element (helicopters were not on station) 2.) forward
observation posts/counter snipers (posts were not in position to
report or cover) 3.) airborne observation and communication
(communications ineffective and not on station, and
4.) departure from time table (advanced without concurrent
countermeasures and "red light" parameters to abort).
In spite of the raid plan organization chart (National Response
Plan) NO ONE PERSON WAS IN CHARGE. Mission leadership was
compromised by this critical breakdown in the standard concept of
command and control.
INTELLIGENCE
Intelligence was compromised from the start point of the
investigation up to and including the hour before the raid and the
ability of the command structure to effect a withdrawal and
containment of the incident site. The critical points of
intelligence control centered on the absence of analysis,
management review and operational continuity. The absence of
operational intelligence continuity negatively impacted the raid
and the withdrawal of the dead and injured.
NOTE: The absence of management review led
to a serious breach
of integrity...falsification of documents
The selection of improperly trained and conditioned personnel for
the intelligence function and the failure to debrief them
negatively impacted case preparation, raid planning and raid
execution.
The tactical team leaders went into the raid blind as to activity
and conditions. Critical operational intelligence was
"inadvertently" denied to raid planners.
NOTE: I will differ to TAG member Wade Ishimoto for an in-depth
advisor's analysis and recommendation to correct the intelligence
issues.
LOGISTICS
The logistics problems connected to the raid were evident prior to
initial planning. The SRT mission was compromised by B.A.T.F.
"policy" and a lack of adequate equipment. "Policy" must have a
provision for reasonable and top management approved exceptions,
e.g. use of automatic weapons, diversion grenades, chemical agents
and armored vehicles. Special incident managers must be trained to
ask for available equipment necessary to successfully and safely
complete a mission. That is their duty and responsibility and
should be in writing if necessary. Management review then has the
hard choice to approve or deny and to accept responsibility and
accountability for the decision which can include modification of
the tactical plan! That was not done in preparation for Waco; there
was compromise after compromise.
The arbitrary decision not to use Customs Service aircraft and
instead use Texas National Guard helicopters was a disaster in and
of itself. Customs aviation resources and experienced personnel
were ideally suited for this mission and could have contributed
substantially to the plan.
NOTE: That action further reinforces two observations. 1.) That the
raid plan was disjointed, lacked management oversight and should
have been comprehensively briefed; and 2.) B.A.T.F. needs to
incorporate the Incident Command System into major tactical plans.
The reference to an emergency medical plan was shallow, defective
and non-operational. Any competent incident manager would have
insisted and verified a medical contingency plan, particularly
considering the remote location of the raid. There was no
alternative to the need for an on-site, in-field capable, triage
trauma capability.
The weapons of choice and authorization did not consider
contingency planning for ambush, explosives and superior firepower.
The intelligence available to the planners and most certainly known
to the managers required a contingency plan. The use and deployment
of observation posts was minimized to the extent of being
ineffective. Counter sniper considerations were not adequately
presented in the plan and were never fully deployed even as
planned. That oversight was fatal.
Once again this component of planning points to ineffective
management and command and control.
The absence of accountability charting
throughout
the
B.A.T.F. resulted in errors, omissions and failures in the
investigation, intelligence, approval, planning and incident
management of the Waco incident.
CONDITIONS OF COMPLIANCE AND INTEGRITY
I will address an issue that is dependent on the summary of and
response to the investigation. I consider this a side issue because
of potential liability and internal discipline concerns.
There is an immediate need to develop and implement changes in
organizational structure, strategy and tactics, investigation case
management, logistics and accountability charting with B.A.T.F.
RECOMMENDATION
Upon conclusion of the investigative review, including the
observations of the tactical advisors, a concurrent task group,
composed of experienced technical and management personnel to
implement issues of critique and the recommendations to enhance the
structure and management of the B.A.T.F. should be integrated with
the current management structure. This task group would insure a
rational and prompt integration of change without disrupting
on-going operations or any personnel reorganization. Additionally,
the task group can develop and implement change without
"personality intervention."
The task group mission, guideline and tenure should be developed
and directed by the Assistant Secretary for (law enforcement).
The task group members(s) should not have operational authority or
supervision, but may have audit and inspection authority. This
recommendation would enhance continuity of the review process by
ensuring that any recommendations can be implemented immediately
upon approval by the Secretary of Treasury. The task group could be
charged with preparing responses to the Secretary of Treasury.
SPECIFIC RECOMMENDATION SUMMARY Review and revise the B.A.T.F.
National Response Plan to include sub tasks of:
A. S.R.T. reorganization to include Special Operation
Capable/High Risk, Special Operations Group command, and
B. Incident Command System to provide Inter Agency
coordination, and
C. Consideration of a centralized S.R.T., and
D. A specific special incident command organizational
structure from S.A.I.C. field office to Director,
B.A.T.F., and
D. A clear, concise policy and procedure statement
approved at least at the Assistant Secretary (for law
enforcement) level.
2. Establish a supervisory and management course for:
A. Major case investigation.
B. Major incident preparation/response control.
3. Establish a supervisory/management procedures manual for case
review, approval, audit, and control including formats.
4. Review current law enforcement standards for investigative
training and administration procedures for:
A. Administrative systems and controls.
B. Review of investigative progress and report approval.
C. Report and file maintenance.
D. References to administrative systems and controls.
E. Case progress logs.
F. Daily report books.
G. Investigation activity summary.
H. Extraordinary cases/multiple law enforcement agency involved
cases.
I. Record checks, inquiries, documents, controls and inventory.
J. Due Diligence.
K. Case transfer (for cause).
5. Conduct a management seminar on interagency assets, capability
and access (to include the Director of Military Support, D.O.D.).
6. Pursue Title III application to specific major cases in
B.A.T.F.
7. If not currently authorized and functional - establish an
Inspection and Control section at the Director/Assistant Director
level to audit and trouble shoot intra bureau management.
8. Under the direction of the Assistant Secretary (L.E.) and the
Director conduct a 2 or 3 day management retreat to address
B.A.T.F.'s strategic issues and future planning.
9. Consider an intra-Treasury Department (Law Enforcement)
management council and Incident Command System-Special Operations
Capable.
WACO ADMINISTRATIVE REVIEW
Brief
Submitted
by
John J. Murphy
WACO ADMINISTRATIVE REVIEW
Introductory Overview
The undersigned respectfully
submits
an assessment of the
February 28, 1993, Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms execution
of Search Warrant and Warrant for Arrest at the Branch Davidian
compound, in Waco, Texas.
Over the last several weeks, I and
five
others with experience
in major city police departments or the military have met in
Washington D.C. as part of the Department of the Treasury's Waco
Administrative Review, seeking to determine what happened during the
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms operation and why.
I believe that the report the
Administrative
Review will be
submitting to the President will be comprehensive and impartial, and
based on a complete and thorough investigation of the events prior
to and on February 28, 1993. Ronald Noble, Assistant Secretary for
Enforcement, who has supervised the investigation, has given me and
my five colleagues complete access to the Review's work. The staff
assembled under Secretary Noble and Project Director Geoffrey
Moulton, has provided us with all interviews, reports, diagrams,
regulations, plans and the like, without hesitation and in a most
timely fashion.
My assessment will touch upon the many
issues
that jumped out at
me as I reviewed information, heard from witnesses, listened to the
results of investigatory efforts, and participated in exchanges with
other panel members. It is not my intention to place blame on
particular individuals, but rather to identify critical issues and
to
bring about change and improvement. The Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco
and Firearms, as is appropriate, will hold its members responsible
and accountable for their actions and direction. The law enforcement
community, in my experience, has always been able to draw lessons
from tragedies and improve operations in the future. I have every
expectation that the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms will
move forward from this occurrence with an enhanced and enlightened
management and continue to carry out its mandate with a truly
dedicated and professional workforce.
Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms Case
The actions of members of the Bureau of
Alcohol,
Tobacco and
Firearms on February 28, 1993 were the result of a lengthy and in
inclusive investigation over several months that led to the issuance
of a Search Warrant for Mount Carmel Center or the Branch Davidian
compound and, a Warrant for Arrest of Vernon Wayne Howell a/k/a
"David Koresh." Special Agent Davy Aguilera, the case agent, did a
professional job in conducting the investigation and providing
the necessary information to attain the approval of a judicial
officer. The affidavit that Aguilera submitted provided a wealth of
information concerning the Branch Davidians, their leader, and their
philosophies. It also made quite clear how massive an undertaking it
would be to execute the warrants.
Foundation Issues
Aguilera's affidavit highlighted the issues
that should have
been critical to the management of the investigation and its
direction:
- the weaponry and firepower within the compound
- the size of and accessibility to the compound
- the fortress-like location of the compound
- the Messiah
complex and teachings of the leader David
Koresh
- the religious cult mentality of the Branch Davidians
- the number
of innocent children, women and men of the
cult in the
compound
- the
shootout
takeover by Koresh of the compound from
former leader
Roden
Any effort to address these issues
would
be made more
difficult:
- by the Bureau's lack of experience in
dealing
with firepower
of the magnitude expected to be present in
the compound
- by the possibility that a military
solution
would be needed
in a civilian
law enforcement environment
- by the sensitivity of a religious issue
- by the potential media and political involvement
- by the risk that any move against the
compound
could turn
into a hostage
situation involving many of its
inhabitants
The Bureau's hierarchy (it's "overhead"),
from
immediate case
supervisor to the Director, must take responsibility for not
recognizing at the outset that this was an extraordinary case,
requiring special resources and supervision. Instead, the
investigation was allowed to proceed like any ordinary case in the
field where a field-level agent is usually charged with bringing a
case to conclusion, regardless of the obstacles. In the absence of
specific direction from overhead - - which could have asked the hard
questions, demanded to know the risks of a course of action, and
insisted on possible alternatives - - this investigation moved
forward with insufficient attention to the risks presented.
Before continuing in my comments, I
think
it is appropriate to
praise the professionalism and actions the members of the Bureau of
Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms who came under heavy and constant
gunfire for 30 minutes. These men and women were courageous under the
most difficult and trying circumstances that members of law
enforcement can face. Their response to the firepower was measured
and proper; their energies and heroics were directed to protecting
each other and addressing their wounded comrades. The slain agents
have made the supreme sacrifice in the performance of duty, which
will always be remembered, and my heartfelt condolences goes to their
families and loved ones.
A special thanks goes to Agents
Buford,
King, Petrelli and
Williams who voluntarily appeared before our panel to give a
first-hand account of their involvement as Team Leaders in execut-
ing the warrants. They also gave a very candid presentation of
their roles in the investigation and particularly as the raid
planners. Their planning efforts were knowledgeable and
professional as they attempted to prepare for the many
contingencies of the operation. The training and practice at Fort
Hood was very much on target; it prepared the teams for their
mission, and most probably minimized the fatalities and injuries
sustained. When the operation went bad, there was the expected
immediate confusion.
sion. Within a short time leadership came to the front and response
to the situation became organized and fruitful.
Critical Issues
No investigation in any law
enforcement
agency is able to
satisfy every objective. Mistakes will be made, issues not addressed,
and contingencies not planned for. My intention is to address those
issues that I think may have changed the outcome had they been
addressed in a different fashion. These critical comments are
designed to encourage changes in how these issues will be addressed
in future investigations and tactics. To be candid, hindsight is
easy, but it is the way to learn and move forward.
Information/Intelligence
A tremendous amount of
information
was developed in this case, but
it was not sufficiently analyzed or properly used in the planning of
the raid. Many red flags should have been recognized and properly
dealt with. Instead, it seems that many of these red flags were
overlooked because those planning the raid adopted a mindset that the
Compound had to be taken down, and that the only way to proceed was
with a dynamic, high-risk entry.
The planners conducted interviews
that
were used to support the
raid action. Contradictory information was available from equally
knowledgeable persons, but the planners seem to have discounted or
not properly assessed it.
As the case began to develop, it was
deemed "sensitive," a
designation which should have led to better monitoring by
Headquarters to keep appropriate hierarchy informed.
In January, 1993 the undercover house was
established to obtain
intelligence and find out more about Compound routines. This critical
operation broke down and never supplied the proper information to the
planners, who selectively used what was obtained. All sides of the
compound should have been kept under surveillance. Instead, because
a proposal that agents watch utilizing bales of hay was rejected for
fear that they would be seen, the agents never had 360-degree
coverage.
Pen registers, tapes, and communication
monitoring
were
considered, but never came to fruition.
Agents attempted to conduct photographic
monitoring
from the
undercover house and pole cameras, but they had little skill and
achieved minimum results. It should also be noted that a picture was
taken in January that showed a female pointing a rifle from a
compound door; this intelligence was never assessed.
An undercover agent was able to gain access
into the compound
on several occasions resulting in substantial intelligence, but
there
was no attempt to plan a deep undercover.
On March 6 to March 9, 1992, after
Koresh
mistook the SWAT
training that several police departments conducted in the area for
ATF activity, security at the compound was immediately heightened and
arms purchases substantially increased. This information was not
assessed by the planners.
The staging area in Waco and the use
of hotels violated the
basic tenets of operational security.
The job of reviewing and assessing all
intelligence and
directing the raid planning was simply too great to be given to a
single person. Instead of saddling Houston ASAC Sarabyn with all of
these responsibilities, ATF should have used a case management system
better suited to such a large operation.
Options
Ruse
Originally, the planners attempted to
use the Department of
Human Services, which was investigating child abuse allegations, to
get Koresh away from the Compound and place him under arrest; were
Koresh not present when the compound was searched, it was thought
that resistance would not occur. When the Department of Human
Services would not cooperate, this tactical approach was
dropped, and no other innovative attempts were developed.
Information
and intelligence reporting that Koresh would not leave the Compound,
although not conclusively accurate, influenced the planners to look
at other options.
Siege
The planners next looked to develop a siege
plan based on the
flat terrain surrounding the compound and the consequent lack of
cover, the firepower of the Branch Davidians, and their possible use
of sentries. The siege option was eliminated because of the time and
manpower that it would require, and the fact that ATF did not have
negotiators and expertise for a siege. I also believe that the
planners' selective use of intelligence, particularly the reported
possibility of mass suicide, led them not to pursue the siege option.
Raid
The raid planners now moved to develop
a dynamic, high-risk
entry as the appropriate vehicle to execute the arrest and search
warrants and preserve evidence. They developed entry tactics
according to their interpretation of ongoing intelligence. The
planning sessions did not include Houston SAC Chojnacki or the other
SACs who had committed their Special Response Teams; once a
plan was formulated the concurrence of ATF headquarters was sought
and obtained. The plan evolved around the element of surprise and a
10 a.m. execution, even though surprise is generally achieved by
going in darkness just before light. The tactical plan called for
three Special Response Teams, each with specific assignments that
would isolate or contain everyone present in the Compound and secure
the arms room. The undercover house would observe the Compound to
insure normalcy. The undercover would enter the compound, exit an
hour before raid and report conditions. Helicopters would provide a
diversion a distance from the Compound, just prior to the arrival of
the Special Response Teams.
Evaluation
The plan was well-conceived to
address
the intelligence
developed. If the element of surprise had been maintained, there is
every likelihood that the raid would have been successful. It should
be noted, however, that contingency plans are as critical to an
operation's success as a raid plan itself; insufficient attention was
given to contingency planning here.
Raid Implementation Analysis
Criticism must be directed at the way the
raid
plan was carried
out.
Critical to a successful operation on
this day was the element
of surprise. This advantage was not maintained because of several
important tactical shortcomings.
Forward observers might have helped ensure
that surprise was
maintained, had they been positioned to have full-circle coverage of
the Compound, and had they been given a developed plan of operation.
Observer and sniper teams should have been in place for twelve hours
prior to the raid. This kind of coverage would have allowed ATF to
see the armed Branch Davidians who apparently went to the Compound's
"spider holes" during the hour before the raid; a report that
Compound residents had taken these positions would have required that
the raid be cancelled.
The role of the helicopters was to create
a diversion
immediately prior to arrival of the raid force. Had command and
control accurately directed and communicated the diversion, firing
at
the helicopters by Branch Davidians might have provided the signal
that the raid should be aborted.
The use of Waco as the staging area and the
number of media
vehicles active in the area prior to the raid should have received
careful and in-depth assessment.
The most important occurrence on raid
day was undercover Agent
Rodriguez's report from the Compound. The assessment of his
information should have mandated cancellation of the raid. The
element of surprise had been lost, and the possibility that the
Branch Davidians would seek to repulse the raid was too quickly
discounted. Rodriguez's report that no resistance was being planned
inside the Compound should not have been expected to remain valid
for very long - - certainly not for the time it would take to bring
agents to the Compound. The significance of this report and the fact
that the agents would arrive before the men were due to work in the
field were not properly considered when the issue of surprise was
assessed.
There was command and control framework in
place on raid day,
but it was not sufficient to direct the operation. The Incident
Commander should have been at the command post to assess information
and make decisions from a somewhat removed perspective.
Evaluation Summary
There were many problem areas that affected
the raid and that
should have led ATF to consider alternatives to going forward.
Execution was plagued by failures in evaluating information relating
to a cult mentality, and the potential firepower in the Compound.
pound. The process used by the ATF commanders in making their
decisions illustrates the need for crisis management training.
In essence, the one major cause for this failed operation would have
to
be "the human element" - - from the entire "over head" to the working
field agents of the Bureau; a combination of human errors in addressing
a monumental task can be deemed the reason for "What went wrong."
Recommendations
The Bureau must address the substantial
damage done to its
organization and, in particular, to the morale of its agents.
The aftermath,
- from the many avenues and aspects of
self-inspection
and
examination
- from the extraordinary media attention and coverage
- and from the interest of the citizenry
throughout
the
country
mandates a complete and thorough reorganization with the objectives
of improving delivery of day-to-day operations and insuring that
such an occurrence can never happen again. The organization must be
prepared to handle another Waco investigation down the road.
Closing Comment
I salute the Bureau of Alcohol,
Tobacco
and Firearms as an organization
of dedicated professionals who satisfy a most difficult mission in
law
enforcement. I encourage leadership to take the members forward with
heads held
high.
Respectfully submitted,
[signed]
John J. Murphy
Deputy Chief
New York City Police Department
Commanding Officer
Special Operations Division
ROD PASCHALL 1320 GEORGETOWN
CIRCLE
CARLISLE, PA 17013
August 23, 1993
Ronald K. Noble
Assistant Secretary for Enforcement
Department of Treasury, Room 4330
1500 Pennsylvania Ave., N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20220
SUBJECT: Waco Review Report
SUMMARY: The February 1993 Bureau of Alcohol Tobacco and Firearms
(BATF)
raid at Waco, a failure due to
multiple causes, demonstrated a few commendable aspects, but in the
main, revealed systemic defects in the
preparation, planning, and execution of multiple Special Response Team
(SRT) actions. Deficiencies included: a
flawed National Response Plan; inadequate oversight for high-risk,
sensitive operations; a defective tactical
intelligence training program; an inadequate selection, training and
administration program for personnel engaged
in multiple SRT actions (particularly those charged with command and
control responsibilities); subpar procedures
in identifying and gaining appropriate specialized military support;
and inadequate intelligence gathering means
to support dangerous tactical operations. Most, if not all of these
deficiencies still exist. The disastrous outcome
at Waco could have happened anywhere and can reoccur at any time. The
Treasury Department, facing trends
indicating a future higher incidence rate for these types of law
enforcement
actions, cannot assume an improved
performance in coming, similar operations and should implement changes.
Unfortunately, the review of this event
also revealed Treasury lacks analytical, enforcement focused studies,
studies that could be of use as decision aids
to make changes leading to the more effective execution and management
of the Department's statutory
responsibilities.
The Department should institute immediate, interim and long term
measures
to increase its capacity for the safe
and professional execution of hazardous operations. This phased
approach
can be accompanied with a series of
studies designed to provide Treasury's decision makers and concerned
Congressional committees with management
and evaluation tools to guide successive enforcement improvements.
Recommended immediate measures include:
commending deserving BATF personnel; revision of the National Response
Plan and gaming the result; improving
tactical intelligence training; achieving a better understanding of
the capabilities and limitations of military support
in domestic law enforcement efforts; and, the conduct of two studies,
one designed to present options the United
States might select for reducing the public threat posed by the
increasing
numbers of assault weapons in civilian
hands, the other examining the benefits, dangers and past record of
dynamic entry-type operations.
Recommended interim measures include: gaining Title III authority in
cases involving illegal automatic weapons
or explosives; reversal of BATF's media policy and the elimination
of its field public information structure; and, the
conduct of two additional studies, one aimed at defining Treasury's
future law enforcement environment, the
second designed to evaluate the cost/effectiveness of Special Agent
Gerald Petrilli's thoughtful April 27, 1993
suggestion to revise BATF's SRT structure.
Recommended long-term measures include: the establishment of a
multi-use
Department level law enforcement
response team; coordination with the Department of Justice and the
Office of International Criminal Justice to
sponsor a series of multi-national law enforcement conferences aimed
at gaining a better understanding of armed
cults and the newly emerging characteristics of terrorism, defining
promising techniques to deal with trafficking
in illegal or black market items; and, exploring the possibilities
of gaining a more accessible international criminal
justice data base.
FINDINGS AND RECOMMENDATIONS: Suggested, specific corrective
actions,
phased into immediate, interim
and longer term measures, are identified in bold text below. The
rationale
for each recommendation is provided
in following bracketed text and incorporates the undersigned's Waco
Review findings and observations.
Immediate Measures
Commend selected BATF personnel, including J. William Buford, Gerald
T. Petrilli, Curtis D. Williams, and Kenny
King, for bravery, dedication to duty and uncommon poise under fire.
[Rationale: The action at Waco involved a number of incidents where
BATF personnel demonstrated an
extraordinary degree of personal courage and disregard for their own
lives in the execution of their duties. The
assault team leaders were particularly conspicuous in their heroism,
but there were others who risked their own
safety. For example, some agents exposed themselves to withering fire
in order to administer first aid to the
wounded. These, and other acts were marked by an unusual degree of
coolness and professionalism on the part
of BATF personnel. Such exemplary behavior should not go unremarked
or unrewarded by the Treasury
Department.]
Revise the National Response Plan, relieving Field Division Special
Agents in Charge and their Assistants of tactical
command responsibilities for multiple SRT raids, temporarily replacing
them with HQ BATF Special Operations
Division personnel. clarifying the division of duties between the
Incident
Commander and the Tactical Coordinator,
and testing the results by means of an exercise at the BATF National
Command Center.
[Rationale: Field division SACs and ASACs are not selected for their
abilities to conduct large scale, complex special
operations, nor do they have the time or training opportunities to
become proficient in such functions. Since the
current National Response Plan directs these officers to handle such
operations, it ensures, at best, an inadequate
performance at the command and control level. Hindsight analysis of
the Waco incident reveals numerous mistakes
made by both the Houston Special Agent in Charge and his assistant,
however, there is no indication that any other
field office within BATF was trained and prepared to produce better
results. A two-week exposure to the SRT
course is insufficient to qualify an officer for the tactical command
of sizeable. multi-faceted operations. By revising
the Plan to designate
HQ BATF Special Operations Division personnel to perform critical
tactical
command and control tasks for multiple
SRT actions, officers possessing day-to-day familiarity with such
operations
will be temporarily controlling the direct
application of force in these occasional events. There is no reason
that the field division SAC cannot retain overall
responsibility for the action and the current title: incident
commander.
This revision will have the additional effect of addressing another
deficiency exposed by the Waco raid. There was
clearly a difference between what Washington-level authorities believed
to be the criteria for the raid's initiation
and what officials at Waco assumed. Placing a Washington-based element
in tactical command will encourage more
rigorous high-level scrutiny over the planning and execution of
large-scale
operations, that by their very nature
demand close attention. While this solution is not optimum, it provides
a near-term fix until a more satisfactory,
long-term solution discussed below is examined and developed.
Experience
(2-4 multiple BATF SRT raids in the
past 2-3 years) indicates the actual implementation of this temporary
recommendation will be infrequent.
The command and control sections of the National Response Plan are
ambiguous.
During Director Higgins'
testimony before a Congressional panel on June 9, 1993, he stated the
Houston Field Division Special Agent in
Charge was the tactical commander of the raid at Waco. The three
Special
Response Team leaders, interviewed
by the undersigned during July 1993, stated they considered the
Assistant
SAC of the Houston Field Office to be
the tactical commander. This confusion can be explained by examining
the portion of the National Response Plan
designating the ASAC as the "Tactical Coordinator," while charging
that person with "directing" SRT employment.
Directing and coordinating are two entirely different functions. This
ambiguity can be eliminated by changing the
title, "tactical coordinator," to read "tactical commander" while
retaining
those portions of the plan that assign the
overall responsibility for such operations to the Field Division
Special
Agent in Charge.
Once these changes have been made, a National Command Center
exercise
should be conducted to test the new
provisions, familiarize key personnel with their duties and identify
the need for adjustments, if necessary. It is
recommended that appropriate Treasury Department officials participate
in the exercise. In order to gain the
maximum benefit from the exercise, it is recommended that key Treasury
and BATF personnel be unaware of the
its nature when play begins. Therefore, the exercise should be written,
administered and evaluated by outsiders:
Department of Justice personnel, contractors, consultants or a
combination
of all three.]
Establish a 4-5 day required training course for Intelligence
Research
Specialists, a course wholly devoted to tactical
intelligence.
[Rationale: Among the several reasons for the failure at Waco,
inadequate
intelligence loomed large. In some cases,
raid planners failed to use available intelligence. For example, a
pre-raid photo that might have indicated Davidian
women were trained in the use of rifles was disregarded and some film
taken from the undercover house was
apparently not even developed. But, existing intelligence was not
corroborated,
challenged, analyzed or presented
with a view towards tactical utility. On the other hand, intelligence
was rather well handled and expertly used to
establish probable cause. A review of the training for BATF
intelligence
research specialists, indicated such training is primarily devoted
to
standard law enforcement investigative
techniques, name traces, etc., and is not sufficiently augmented with
tactical intelligence techniques and procedures,
subjects of increasing value to BATF field offices. A four to five-day
remedial or fundamentals course for BATF
intelligence research specialists presented by HQ BATF special
operations
personnel could provide the Bureau with
improved tactical intelligence practices in field offices. Some of
the instruction should be devoted to camera work
and graduates of the course should be expected to pass on their camera
expertise to field agents. It is suggested
the course utilize case history methods, including the incident at
Waco, to demonstrate the difference between
quality and inadequate intelligence for SRT operations.]
Meet with the Director of Military Support, Department of Defense,
to
obtain an inventory of available military
expertise, facilities, equipment, training and augmentation to Treasury
Department law enforcement agencies along
with an understanding of the capabilities and limitations of such
support
and the procedures to acquire such advice
and assistance, and, compare these services with what is already
available
within the Department.
[Rationale: The Waco incident indicated the BATF and possibly the
Department
of Treasury as a whole, has an
incomplete understanding of the capabilities and limitations of
military
support available to law enforcement
agencies. Field agents obtained advice from the 3rd Special Forces
Group, a unit with no experience or particular
expertise in dynamic entry techniques or with effective communications
plans associated with close quarters
assaults. A superior solution would have been to gain the advice of
the Army's Delta Force, an organization that
has developed the country's best techniques for such operations. BATF
SRT leaders requested, but were unable
to obtain smoke grenades, devices that would have been of high utility
in masking vulnerable agents from the
Davidians' fire. Some federal officers were struck by fire from the
compound as they lay wounded on the ground.
Smoke grenades should have been provided from military stocks and made
available to the BATF. There is no
reason the Department cannot have some on hand, avoiding unreasonable
delays. Additionally, it is likely Customs
helicopters and crews would have been of greater help than those of
the Texas National Guard. There are legal
limitations placed on military personnel, including aviation crews,
in support of domestic law enforcement
operations. For instance, military crews would have probably been
legally
prohibited from picking up the wounded
while under fire. Conversely, Customs operates under a different
charter
and could have made the pick-up. Then,
too, the U.S. military has a general lack of experience in this field.
Gaining a better understanding of the
capabilities and limitations of available military support is essential
to the Department's efforts in improving its own
capabilities--for all of its law enforcement organizations.]
Conduct a study of ways and means to minimize America's growing problem with assault weapons.
[Rationale: One of the outstanding features of and prime reasons for
the BATF failure at Waco was the presence
and use of assault rifles. Indeed, it is probable that the warrant
would have not been sought if Vernon Howell had
not acquired these weapons and given the clear indication that he was
converting them to fire automatically. During
the initial seconds of the
attempted entry into the Davidian compound, federal officers were
suddenly
exposed to an overwhelming tactical
disadvantage. When Howell and his followers opened a devastating
barrage
of automatic fire, most officers had no
choice but to rely on basic instincts and seek cover. As the fight
progressed, these officers had little opportunity
to retrieve the wounded because their own semi-automatic weapon~ could
not provide the volume of covering
firepower essential to temporarily overcome the Davidians' fire. In
those conditions, rescues of the exposed and
helpless could not be attempted unless a wholly unusual degree of
physical
courage was called upon.
The BATF policy of prohibiting its agents from using automatic
weapons
may be laudable, but it is not logical. The
incident at Waco will likely prove of critical importance. Howell's
example (the bizarre cult association aside) is
indicative of a greater trend. Assault weapons, both pistol and rifle
versions, are becoming prevalent throughout
America. These weapons have no place in sport hunting or pleasure in
either their semi-automatic or fully
automatic forms. Their purpose for being is either purely military
or purely criminal. They exist to gain an
advantage over an armed adversary, usually to provide suppressive fire
(forcing the opponent to seek cover) in
support of the user's maneuver or escape. Their sole intended use is,
therefore, combat. Growing numbers of law
enforcement officers face this threat and are at as much of a
disadvantage
as the BATF agents were at Waco. The
next tragedy where law enforcement officers are outgunned by them and
killed will, as a matter of common sense,
provoke a drumbeat among the nation's policemen asking for automatic
weapons in defense of their own lives. The
country may therefore face a ludicrous arms race between cops and
criminals.
Surely, there must be a way for the federal government to, at most,
ban the civilian possession of these military
tools or, at least, inhibit their sale and conversion. Such worthy
goals are deserving of a serious study. It is
recommended that a firm with a strong public policy and technological
background be commissioned to conduct the
study under the supervision of the Department.]
Initiate a study of past, dynamic entry-style law enforcement
operations,
along with a confidential survey of police
attitudes toward them so that guidelines and tips for future such
operations
can be identified and used, particularly
in SRT-type training.
[Rationale: There are good arguments, both for and against dynamic
entry
techniques in domestic law enforcement
situations. In an official setting, most law enforcement officers
support
such operations. However, in private, the
undersigned has often heard an opposing view from experienced officers.
Reservations include the resultant "storm
trooper" image that these actions portray, especially from nationally
telecast commercial programs that gain an
audience from the dramatic display of brute force. Additionally, some
officers are deeply troubled by some cases
where there was great injustice done to innocents, citizens whose only
fault was being in the wrong place at the
wrong time. This phenomenon appears to warrant a confidential survey
of American police officers. Additionally,
there appears to be a problem with federal law enforcement actions
centered on a rural crime site. During the
Waco review, this latter factor was discussed and a number of
controversial
past actions that bore some
resemblance to the Davidian operation were identified. A study of these
actions,
one done with an examination of comparative urban incidents and
sieges
may yield helpful corrective measures for
use in the future. The logical setting where these lessons could be
taught is in tactical police team training
sessions.]
Interim Measures
Pending the favorable outcome of a cost/effectiveness study,
implement
Special Agent Gerald Petrilli's April 27,
1993 Regional Special Response Teams suggestion.
[Rationale: Petrilli's suggestion involves eliminating district
teams
in favor of fewer regional teams and establishing
a numerical, scored system for determining when to employ a SRT. While
appearing to offer a more professional
SRT capability to the Bureau while decreasing some costs and creating
helpful criteria for SRT raids, Treasury and
BATF officials do not currently have enough empirical data to make
a rational appraisal. What is known is that
SRT training detracts from essential man power available to Regional
and District SACs in the daily execution of
their enforcement duties. If there is a relationship (as common sense
would seem to indicate) between arrest and
conviction rates and available BATF special agents in the field,
changes
in the Bureau's SRT structure will impact
on the overall accomplishment of BATF's mission. An analytical
examination
of Petrilli's idea may reveal that it
is even more attractive than it appears. There may be a potential
increase
in BATF's effectiveness since
implementation of the proposal would release about 200 (almost half)
of the Bureau's current SRT members for
continuous assignment to day-to-day field duties. Additionally, this
concept would eliminate some travel and
instructional time for those agents involved in teaching duties at
Ft. McClellan. These latter factors, impacting on
both the costs and effectiveness of the Bureau should be calculated
and considered with other factors, such as
safety, prior to a decision. A competent, impartial analytical studies
firm could produce a product that would
establish the relationship between the Bureau's effectiveness and its
personnel strength directly engaged in arrests
and convictions. The study could then calculate mandays and money
costs,
applying these factors to Petrilli's
concept. Such a study would likely prove a valuable, rational decision
aid to the BATF Director and interested
Congressional committees in this and in other difficult choices
centered
on the Bureau's policy alternatives.]
Review Title III laws as they apply to cases involving the illegal
possession
of automatic weapons or explosives,
identify why BATF rarely requests such authority, and, if necessary,
propose additional legislation to the Congress.
[Rationale: BATF Director Higgins, in his testimony before Congress
implied that the Bureau does not have the
authority to use this form of intelligence gathering as a matter of
course in enforcing the laws BATF is charged
with. On the other hand, during the review, lawyers who were queried
by the undersigned stated such authority
can be granted under current law. If there is a misty understanding
of the law in Washington, there is likely only
a foggy notion of its meaning outside of the nation's capital.
Because of their unique skills, Treasury Department law enforcement organizations are often
the agencies of "last resort" in specialized, high-hazard cases. For
example, both Texas law enforcement officials
and the FBI were unable to develop probable cause against Vernon Howell
despite expressed Congressional and
media interest in the case. In contrast, the BATF was competent to
develop probable cause against Howell--without
Title III authority. However, once that hurdle was overcome, the next
step, presentation of the warrant, involved
a reasonable chance that Howell and his followers might use the illegal
weapons they were suspected to possess.
This situation is typical of many BATF cases and explains why the
Bureau
is prone to serve warrants in similar
instances by the use of dynamic entry techniques. As the 578 SRT
deployments
prior to the Waco incident may
indicate, use of dynamic entry provides some promise of preserving
the lives of both federal law enforcement
officers and the subjects of their investigations. But, the tragedy
at Waco also points to the need for using
additional law enforcement tools. If there had been wire taps or
electronic
surveillance of the Davidian compound,
it is likely the actual extent of Howell's preparations to resist the
raid would have been known. Several lives might
have been preserved. Although electronic surveillance constitutes
another
regrettable increase in the invasion of
privacy, it is not difficult to imagine other, future cases where life
and limb might be saved with the use of this
technique.l
Revise BATF media relations policy, abolish field public information
officer positions, return the incumbents to law
enforcement duties and assign the resulting, freed-up positions to
HQ BATF Special Operations Division.
Taxpayer benefits, if any, gained by the expanded, proactive BATF
public
relations program of the past two years
are, at best, obscure, and even if such a program had been of some
demonstrable value, the pre-Waco media
environment for the Bureau was a dramatically different one from the
arena the BATF finds itself in today. With
the grim video images of the failure at Waco burned into the memories
of both the media and the public, the BATF
is not likely to garnish its reputation, or even present itself in
the best light through the commercial style ritual
of employing its corps of public relations experts to develop close
and friendly relations with local press and
broadcast functionaries. Public interests would likely be better served
if the Bureau's image makers were pressed
into its ongoing struggle to safely increase arrest and conviction
rates.
The Bureau might learn from the experience of the Department of
Defense
during the Gulf War. Following the
Vietnam War, the Armed Services, at considerable expense, developed
a cadre of professionally trained public
information officers. At the outset of the Gulf War, these officers
were used to put the best face on American
military efforts, appearing on national television and conducting print
media interviews. Within two weeks, when
these specialists proved incapable of delivering the detail and
authoritative
statements the modern American media
demanded, they were replaced by senior operational staff officers,
and in some instances, by field commanders.
Following this change, the U.S. Armed Services enjoyed an excellent
public image. It is likely that BATF's senior
field agents are capable of conducting unaided interviews and
delivering
announcements with as much skill and
success as their military counterparts--at a savings to the taxpayer.
It is doubtful that the Bureau's special operations can in any way
benefit
from the current BATF policy of proactive
media relations. In essence, the aims of special operations elements
and media organs are antithetical. A successful
special operation hinges on secrecy, surprise, and speed. A successful
media effort depends on beating the
competition to publish or broadcast news to the broadest possible
audience.
At Waco, BATF officers, operating
under a Washington-level directive demanding proactive media relations,
were unable to influence the Waco
Tribune staff in the suppression of the story about Vernon Howell and
it would be unlikely to see any newsroom
abandon its reason for being to satisfy the needs of a law enforcement
organization. While the undersigned has
seen or heard no proof that the relationship between the press and
BATF's Houston office resulted in a
compromise of the operation, there is little doubt that such contacts
can prove disastrous.
There is another reason to reverse the Bureau's proactive media
policy.
An aggressive policy like the current one,
inevitably results in competition with other law enforcement agencies,
one-upmanship, unseemly turf battles and
unhealthy professional relationships. By adopting a style of quiet
competence and substance over image, the Bureau
is apt to gradually gain the increased respect of its peers, an
attitude
that will undoubtedly be discovered by
discriminating journalists. As an example, the Secret Service enjoys
an excellent reputation among law enforcement
agencies, the media, and the public--all the while shunning publicity.]
Initiate an analytical study to project the Department's probable
law
enforcement environment in
the next four to five years.
[Rationale: (Note: The following unsolicited comments may be
considered
outside the immediate considerations
of the events in Waco.) Institutional modifications, influenced by
a reasonable projection of tomorrow's conditions,
are superior to those anchored in past events. Any changes in BATF's
methods of operation, staffing or procedures
are likely to affect other law enforcement elements under the purview
of the Treasury Department. Customs,
BATF and the Secret Service often augment one another and any action
that focuses on one of the agencies takes
essential oversight and administration from the other two. Thus the
potential impact of changes in one bureau
should be considered in the light of possible future effects on the
others. Additionally, although outyear and even
next week's events cannot be accurately predicted, decision makers
are apt to make better changes if they are
aware of trends and alternative futures.
The undersigned was unable to find any law enforcement futures
studies
within the BATF and was given the
indication there were no such studies of a recent nature within
Treasury.
A cursory analysis of the Department's
areas of law enforcement interest indicates an ominous growth of
Treasury
related criminal activity and a dramatic
rise in likely legislation that will substantially increase the
Department's
policing workload:
- The nature of terrorism appears to be
changing.
During the Cold War era, terrorist organizations were often
state supported, foreign governments supplying explosives, weapons,
instructions and training. As the recent New
York City World Trade Center bombing demonstrated, terrorists may now
have to rely on their own initiatives to
acquire weapons or manufacture explosives. The FBI will undoubtedly
remain as the country's lead agency and first line of defense
against
domestic terrorism. But the BATF may well
play a growing role in identifying terrorist activity, albeit in some
cases inadvertently. Additionally, the Trade
Center incident showed the modern terrorist has a bent for political
assassination, a phenomenon that was mostly
avoided during the Cold War due to tacit, unwritten agreements between
competing nations. This new and
alarming situation could well make the duties of the Secret Service
even more difficult than they already are.
- Hate crimes are on the increase,
particularly
those associated with the country's rapidly expanding skinhead
groups. The Anti Defamation League states 78 percent of all hate
murders
during the past six years have occurred
in the last three. And, the Alabama based Klanwatch claims the majority
of racist violence is now caused by
skinheads. While this criminal activity is another responsibility of
the FBI, there is a greater likelihood that the
BATF will, as a normal matter, be involved. The FBI's traditional
adversaries
in this arena, members of the Ku
Klux Klan, rarely resorted to automatic weapons--skinheads are a
different
breed and the BATF is likely to be
increasingly involved in these types of investigations and arrests.
- It is now clear that Customs' role in
waging
part of America's drug war is larger than previously thought. No
one knows for certain the precise means by which illegal drugs are
imported, but any number of recent indicators
point to substantial deliveries under the guise of commercial,
cross-border
trade. High-ranking military officers have
stated that less than five percent of illegal drug traffic pass through
the nation's air defense zones and seaborne
interceptions have all but vanished. On the other hand, the two largest
illegal drug finds in the nation's history
were both associated with large capacity trucks that entered the United
States from Mexico, through Customs
inspection points. Commercial truck traffic through these Southern
border facilities has grown five-fold in the past
six years, and that growth continues. Since $500 worth of cocaine or
heroin in Mexico can fetch $100,000 in the
United States, there is no end of incentives to increase this illicit
trade. In June, 200 lbs of cocaine concealed in
a Columbian shipment of bananas was brought to the attention of Florida
based Custom's officers by a commercial
vendor. Drug traffickers often protect their goods with heavy weaponry,
therefore the work of Customs may be
more hazardous in future than in the past.
- BATF officials state there have been few
necessary enforcement actions associated with the Bureau's tobacco
responsibilities, but that happy circumstance may soon disappear. The
July confrontation between the Paugussett
Indian tribe and the State of Connecticut over the State's right to
collect a 47 cent per-pack tax on cigarettes may
be a harbinger of things to come for federal officials. The Connecticut
confrontation was an armed one, the tribal chief and his AK-47
toting
guards were determined to protect their
growing cigarette business, growth due to a $4.00 per-carton savings
for his customers. Apparently, there is already
enough profit in defying the law on cigarette taxes to risk arrest.
It is all but certain that the Congress will pass
a heavy cigarette tax in the fall in order to partially off-set the
cost of the forthcoming national health legislation,
a cost that some estimate will amount to about $50 billion in increased
annual federal outlays. Estimates for the
add-on federal tax on cigarettes range from $1.00 to $1.75 a-pack.
A rough estimate of Treasury's take from this
new levy is from $15 to $20 billion per year. Therefore, BATF's ability
to enforce the tobacco sales statutes will
assume a wholly new significance in the near future. It is likely some
of the country's 50-60 million smokers will
support criminal, tax-free trade in tobacco when the new federal
cigarette
tax takes effect. BATF's work and its
need for resources is bound to expand.
- Another sin tax associated with the coming
health
bill, an increase in the federal levy on alcoholic beverages,
is also probable. Since there is considerable resistance to a beer
add-on, the bulk of this tax is likely to fall on
spirits, another BATF concern. The manufacture of and trade in illegal
whiskey has traditionally been protected
by weapons in the United States, and there is no reason to expect that
this age-old American custom will not
continue--and, flourish. It would be naive to believe that the federal
campaign against moonshiners is not about
to enter a new chapter.
- Finally, there is the matter of guns
themselves.
A Spring, 1993 national poll provided what the pollster, Louis
Harris, described as the first firm indication that the country is
now prepared for significant, new federal firearms
legislation. The incident at Waco may have had something to do with
this change in public attitude. Currently, there
are eight pieces of proposed legislation in the Congress. Most tax
ammunition and firearms, some as much as 1000
percent. One is keyed to the emerging national health bill, raising
the cost of guns by imposing a 20 percent tax,
collections neatly destined for the nation's trauma centers. Whatever
the results, in the end, Treasury will be
charged with enforcement.
In the case of the above mentioned likely legislation, the
Department
should be in a position to advise lawmakers
of the impact such legislation will have on Treasury's ability to
enforce
the laws, ideally before such legislation is
passed. Such a study should be conducted in the light of the changing
nature of crime in America, not only to better
advise lawmakers, but to serve Treasury Department decision makers
as they adjust the duties, procedures and
methods of operation within the Department's law enforcement
organizations.
Any number of competent firms can
produce such a study within a period of 60 to 90 days for as little
as
$200,000, a paltry sum considering what is at stake.]
Long-Term Measures
Create a full-time, Treasury-wide recruited, Treasury controlled,
multi-purpose
response team of
50-60 members that will conduct the Department's high-risk,
high-profile,
complex and dangerous
law enforcement operations and other assigned tasks.
[Rationale: There are better ways to conduct large-scale,
complicated
special operations than the methods used
in February. The Waco incident clearly demonstrated the hazards of
employing part-time special operations
personnel in a large-scale, difficult operation. Although the agents
at Waco had conducted long hours of rehearsals
at Ft. Hood, interviews with some of the participants indicated their
understanding of specific duties and the overall
concept was a bit vague. Response team members that work together on
a full-time basis would have likely been
more cognizant of the plan and its individual parts. The Waco debacle
was not only costly in human life, the action
and its aftermath was terribly costly in dollar terms to the U.S.
taxpayer.
Rather than ignore the possibilities of
repeat performances, it would be advisable to invest in a solution
that promises improved execution in these
operations. People whose day-to-day duties are aimed at special
operations
have a better opportunity to conduct
well planned, expertly controlled actions than those who can only
devote
a part of their time to such efforts. And,
well planned, expertly controlled actions have a better chance of
success
than operations conceived and executed
in an ad hoc fashion by people who may never have worked together
before.
A high-profile, sensitive operation is best developed and controlled
from the beginning by high level authorities--in
the end, it is they who will be held accountable. The raid at Waco,
involving sizeable numbers of both women and
children, the delicate matter of religion, issues of child sexual
abuse,
polygamy and the presence of large numbers
of illegal automatic weapons and explosives, had headlines-grabbing,
national-level significance from its very
inception. Yet, it was handled by the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and
Firearms as a regional concern, deserving of
only a cursory notification to responsible Treasury officers on the
eve of execution. When the advisability of the
raid was raised at Treasury, a hasty series of phone calls between
officials resulted in confusion over what
constituted the criteria for the raid's initiation. A superior
arrangement
would have Treasury officials involved at
a much earlier stage. Placement of the responsibility to execute the
National Response Plan at a higher level within
the national administration will ensure such operations are developed
and controlled with a more appropriate level
of oversight.
The Department should consider the U.S. Army's experience in
creating
a satisfactory counterterrorist capability
in developing Treasury's own organization to execute large-scale,
high-profile
law enforcement operations. Initially,
in the mid-1970s, the Army's counterterrorist force was a single
Special
Forces battalion, a unit that had several
other responsibilities. That inadequate solution was quickly discarded
and the choice of placing the responsibility
with a larger unit, a Special Forces Group, was made. Later, this,
too, was cast aside and an organization with
Army-wide recruiting authority, one controlled and overseen at a much
higher level was finally selected. At each
successive step in this process, the organization
gained a better opportunity to select from a wider range of talent.
And, at each step, time consuming,
confusion-producing levels of command and control were eliminated.
The end result provides the country with a
full-time, highly capable team whose characteristics and operations
are in full view of the officials who must bear
the responsibility for the team's support and employment.
A full-time Treasury response team would provide the Department with
more options in situations such as the one
at Waco. One of the unadmitted, but obvious determinants that
influenced
the Incident Commander and his
assistant to initiate the assault despite learning the raid was
expected,
was that changing the approach to a siege
would deprive much of the American Southwest of BATF manpower for an
undetermined length of time. A
full-time response team, with no other compelling duties, would be
more likely to opt for a siege if the tactical
situation lent itself to that solution. A part-time special operations
force does well if it can master the fundamentals
of dynamic entry--a technique that was fully developed by
counterterrorist
teams in the 1970s. This technique relies
on an overpowering, surprise, simultaneous assault staged through
multiple
entry points. A full-time special
operations force is likely to have mastered dynamic entry and have
more options such as selective, clandestine
penetration of critical areas, up its sleeve. A full-time team is more
apt to develop ruses and lures to accomplish
missions without resorting to either chancy armed assaults or lengthy,
expensive sieges.
A full-time response team will be able to use better technology and
weaponry than a part-time team is capable of
handling. For example, when the Waco assault team leaders were asked
about the possibility of BATF using
automatic weapons to even the odds in special circum stances, they
stated they would not recommend such a
practice for a variety of reasons--one of which was that SRT personnel
do not have the essential firing practice time
to gain proficiency. A full-time team would not have that limitation.
SRTs do not have the capability to use low
order, non-fragmenting explosives for shock entry, a highly effective
technique that gains an initial advantage for
assault elements at an extremely critical moment. A full-time team
would have that edge--and more.
A full-time team would be more likely to ensure that the principles
of operational security are observed in the
conduct of planning and preparing for an action. At Waco, there were
countless opportunities for Vernon Howell
to learn of the impending assault: interviews with family members of
Davidians during the investigative phase that
may have provoked phone calls to the compound; contacts with the media;
coordination with a variety of local
agencies, law enforcement and otherwise, any one of which could have
compromised the operation; the large
number of support personnel that arrived in Waco long prior to the
arrival of the assault teams; and, pre-assault
radio transmissions, some of which were in the clear. Additionally,
there was no officer who had operational security
as his or her sole function. A full-time team would have such a person
or persons, vested with authority to take
immediate, corrective action to prevent compromise.
A full-time Treasury response team need not be a seldom-used, single
purpose organization and it need not be of
the size that was used at Waco. It could and should have multiple tasks
and responsibilities. For example, once it
is organized, equipped and trained, it should have the responsibility
to train BATF's SRTs, relieving current
instructors who must temporarily abandon pressing duties in their own
regions and districts. It should be forward
deployed and
placed at the disposal of the Secret Service when the President or
other
Treasury protectees are exposed to
potential danger. It should be employed as a back-up or augmentation
force for Customs' more difficult operations.
Also, Treasury should make this force available when the Justice
Department's
law enforcement elements, the FBI,
DEA and the Marshal's Service are in need of assistance, particularly
when Treasury-specific expertise is required.
And, if sizeable manpower is required, on the scale of that used at
Waco, it could be augmented by BATF's SRTs.]
In conjunction with the Department of Justice and the Office of
International
Criminal Justice, sponsor a series
of international conferences on law enforcement actions against armed
cults, the changing face of terrorism, the
control of automatic weapons and explosives, the suppression of trade
in illegal drugs, tobacco and liquor, and
improvements in obtaining information on international criminals and
suspects.
[Rationale: The United States Government should not consider its
experience
with such groups as the Davidians
or skinheads as unique. Nor should it attempt to only learn from its
own experience in dealing with terrorists,
automatic weapons, and illegal substances. Additionally, the WACO
experience
as well as the Trade Center
bombing, involving a number of aliens, pointed once again to the
inescapable
fact that law enforcement officers in
America are increasingly dependent on international assistance and
information. The federal government should
be interested in a more accessible international data base on criminals
and their activities. It should share its
experience and needs with its friends and allies abroad and learn from
their ideas, mistakes and proven techniques.
The Chicago-based Office of International Criminal Justice, a
non-profit
organization with offices in several foreign
countries, is well qualified to administer and manage international
conferences devoted to these subjects, bringing
to the U.S. any number of foreign law enforcement experts as speakers.
OICJ conducts approximately six such
conferences on a wide range of criminal justice subjects per year,
often publishing conference papers.]
End Report
[signed]
Rod Paschall
ASSESSMENT OF WACO RAID PLAN
BY
LIEUTENANT ROBERT A. SOBOCIENSKI
NEW YORK CITY POLICE DEPARTMENT
EMERGENCY
SERVICES
UNIT
WACO REVIEW COMMITTEE
On February
28,
1993 one of if not THE most difficult undertakings
in law enforcement history was conducted in Waco, Texas. On that day
members
of various Special Response Teams of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco
and
Firearms were joined together in an effort to carry out the mandates
of the
U.S. District Court of Texas and arrest Vernon Wayne Howell, A.K.A.
David
Koresh. A.T.F. members were also directed to search for and seize
illegal
weapons and explosive devices as per a search warrant on the 77 acre
Branch
Davidian compound which this male controlled. Personally, I am not
aware of a
bigger, more complex and difficult assignment in police work.
CASE HISTORY - AN OVERVIEW
The events of
February 28, 1993 were the result of an exhaustive
investigation which began with a case referral by Chief Deputy Dan
Weyenberg
of the McLennan County Sheriff's office to the Bureau of A.T.F. in
late May of
1992. As the case progressed A.T.F. agents came to know that Howell
was in the
process of purchasing an enormous amount of firearms, weapons and
ammunition.
Based on their experience and further investigation, they came to the
realization that Howell was engaged in the unlawful manufacture and
possession
of explosive devices and machine guns. This entire cache of arms and
munitions
was believed to be stockpiled at his Mount Carmel compound in Waco,
Texas. The
matter was complicated by several other factors. The subject had a
prior
history of violent behavior. He was also the leader of a religious
cult. The
Branch Davidian compound which Howell operated was known to be
inhabited
by a
sizeable number of followers consisting of men, women and children.
As the
investigation
progressed through the initial stage, it became
apparent that this was to become a unique case. Shortly thereafter
it became
a headquarters monitored case.
ORIGINAL PLAN
Initially the
plan called for some type of ruse to be used in an
effort to lure Howell and as many of his leaders as possible away from
the
compound where they would be taken into custody. It was felt that,
with Koresh
under arrest, there would not be a strong influence for cult members
to resist
law enforcement personnel in the execution of the warrant. The
objective
was
then to safely enter the Mount Carmel Center and a second location
called the
"Mag Bag" to search for evidence of the manufacture of explosives and
machine
guns. Unfortunately, "information, observation and intelligence"
determined
Koresh had not left the compound in months and was not planning to
leave his
Davidian stronghold. With this in mind, attempts to apprehend Koresh
away from
his base of power were terminated.
SIEGE PLAN
In late
December
of 1992 discussion was given to the formalization
of a SIEGE PLAN. Several ex-cult members were interviewed. Intelligence
was
gathered relative to the firearms and military training given to
members
of the
compound as well as any alert system, defensive positions and
fortifications.
Inquiries were also made relative to an area called "The Tower" on
the
compound. Questions were asked relative to Koresh's expected reaction
to a
potential siege. Interviews revealed that Koresh had a deep hatred
for A.T.F.
He did not wish to go to jail. He repeatedly had boasted he had enough
provisions on hand to sustain members for three months. Some ex-cult
members
believed that a mass suicide was a definite possibility. With the
belief
that
Koresh was prepared to remain inside of his bunker indefinitely, the
prospect
of mass suicide, and the possibility of a long standoff ultimately
ending with
a massive display of force, the concept of surrounding the compound
and
announcing their intention to enforce a warrant was discarded by A.T.F.
agents.
Due to the
likelihood
of a prolonged standoff with heavily armed cult
members, and the fear of a mass suicide in the event of a siege, A.T.F.
members
began developing a TACTICAL PLAN. Agents began to compile "facts"
relative
to
the daily routine within the compound. Intelligence discovered that,
unlike
times in the past, there presently were no guards on duty within the
compound.
It was also determined that "The Tower" was not used for surveillance
purposes.
Reportedly it was a area where women and children slept in addition
to the
second floor. Male cult members were restricted to and slept on the
first
floor. Agents learned of the presence of an armory on the second floor.
This
location was next to Howell's bedroom and reportedly contained the
bulk of all
munitions
stored on the compound. It was believed this section would be locked
to prevent
children or mutinous cult members from gaining admittance and obtaining
weapons. Intelligence determined members would arise around 6:00
a.m., have
breakfast, then attend a worship service between the hours of 8:00
to 10:00
a.m. After the prayer session ended, the women would care for the
children
as
the men, weather permitting, would begin working outside in a pit area,
unarmed. This work area was at the opposite side of the compound from
the
armory.
UNDERCOVER HOUSE
On January
11,
1993 an undercover surveillance house was established
by the Bureau of A.T.F. It was situated across from the long driveway
which led
into the compound itself. Originally, it was scheduled to be in
operation
for
24 hours a day, 7 days a week. The case agent requested that the eight
man team
assigned to the house document significant events as well as the
traffic
coming
and going through the compound. It was hoped surveillance would aid
in the
identification of persons frequenting or living in the compound as
well as
establish day-to-day activities and patterns. It was hoped that an
undercover
agent could be introduced, gain entry and begin to frequent the
Davidian
leader's stronghold. This becomes a reality when on January 28, 1993
an
undercover agent establishes rapport with Vernon Howell himself.
NATIONAL RESPONSE PLAN
The tactical
plan called for three Special Response Teams of A.T.F.
to be used in this operation. The enormity of the undertaking dictates
that a
newly developed and as yet untested A.T.F. National Response Plan would
go into
effect. Rather than conduct the raid under cover of darkness (during
early
morning hours), the plan centers on the information relative to
activities
at
10:00 a.m. During this time the men will be separated from the weapons
as they
work in the outside pit area.
The plan
would
begin prior to entering the compound with the
placement of forward observer/sniper teams. One team would be placed
in an area
north of the compound. Another team would be placed in the undercover
house.
This was also the best spot available to monitor activities in both
the front
of the compound and the pit area. The placement of a third team was
eliminated
due to fear of discovery prior to the raid because of the 10:00 a.m.
hour.
On the
morning
of the raid the undercover agent was to gain
admittance to the compound. Once in place he was to make observations,
look for
weapons and determine the readiness of cult members. Upon leaving the
compound
the undercover would report these results back to a supervisor in the
undercover house and to the Tactical Coordinator of the raid. If it
was
determined to be "business as usual" in the compound, the green light
would be
given for the raid to commence.
As SRT
members
approached the scene a helicopter diversion would be
staged. This event would take place in a distant area of the compound
on the
opposite side of the main road leading into the Mount Carmel Center.
The
diversion would be visible to cult members working in the outside pit
area.
With all observers on the alert looking for a display of weapons or
unusual
activity by cult members, agents would be transported to the compound
surreptitiously in horse trailers. These trailers were commonly used
in this
part of the country and should not arouse suspicion.
After
receiving
an all clear signal from the Deputy Tactical
Coordinator in the undercover house, all members would converge on
the compound
armed with the element of surprise.
The Houston
SRT
Team would exit the cattle trailers, enter the front
of the compound and clear it. It was also their function to clear the
pit area
and take control of the men in this work area before they could reach
any
weapons.
The Dallas
SRT
Team was responsible for entering the front door of
the compound and securing the second floor except for Koresh's
quarters.
They
were also to clear the towers.
The New
Orleans
SRT Team had dual roles. Half the team would enter
the compound from the front door. They would clear and pass through
the chapel,
go up the stairs, secure the arms room and the adjacent bedroom
belonging
to
Koresh. The second part of the team would exit the trailers, ascend
ladders and
climb to the roof of the compound. At this point authorized personnel
would
toss a distraction device into the arms room prior to entering and
secure it
as well as the rear storage room. However, since the undercover
couldn't
confirm the existence of an inside stairwell, the plan was changed.
The entire
New Orleans team entered the east side of the dwelling and second floor
roof
by ladder in an effort to enter Koresh's bedroom and adjacent armory
simultaneously.
Ideally, if
all
went according to the script, all SRT teams would be
able to "exit the transportation vehicles in eight seconds, get into
position
and make entry at the front door in approximately 33 seconds." By
catching
cult
members completely off guard, highly trained and equipped A.T.F.
members
felt
they could safely take control of the compound and its inhabitants
without
incident.
That,
basically,
was the Plan. Had the events of February 28, 1993
ended peacefully, few people would have ever heard of or known the
story of
David Koresh and his Davidian
cult members in a compound in Waco, Texas. From the exhaustive
information
put
together by the investigation team, as well as interviews conducted
by the
review panel, I would like to discuss some topics and offer some
opinions
and
suggestions relative to the warrant execution on that day. It is hoped
that all
law enforcement personnel will gain additional insight and
understanding
as the
events of Waco are studied.
Many
questions
have been raised in the aftermath of the law
enforcement activities at Waco, Texas. One of the most perplexing is
whether
ANY law enforcement agency is adequately prepared to handle a similar
assignment. I cannot answer that question. I can only caution against
the
thought of military intervention in a like situation. Unlike the
military,
in
civilian law enforcement there can never be consideration given to
any
acceptable casualty losses. Occurrences of this type are nightmares
for every
police planner, manager and chief.
ANALYSIS OF PLAN
After
dissecting
A.T.F.'s involvement with the Vernon Howell
investigation, it is my feeling that the raid on the Mount Carmel
Center
was
doomed to fail even before the first highly trained SRT member stepped
out of
the cattle trailers on February 28, 1993.
One of the
key
ingredients to any successful plan is intelligence
gathering. Good, sound, correct and up to the minute information is
essential
for any raid plan, not to mention the mammoth undertaking in Waco.
This was an
area in need of major improvement in the A.F.T. investigation.
It is my
opinion
that the case agent did his homework. I believe he
conducted as thorough an investigation as was possible within the
bureaucratic
framework at A.T.F. There was mention of the fact that he only had
five years
experience in investigations and that this was his first big case.
The fact
remains, he developed the investigation and obtained critical
information
to
substantiate probable cause, which led to the arrest warrant for Howell
and
search warrants for the compound and the "Mag Bag."
There was,
however,
a lot of missing information and poor
intelligence gathered before the raid and on the raid day itself. Added
to this
was the fact that vital intelligence was overlooked, discarded or not
used.
This information was obtained by a host of A.T.F. personnel.
Examples of
this
can be seen when former cult members are interviewed
and, apparently, much if not all of their statements are reported to
be facts.
No thought is given to the idea that these ex-cult members had been
away from
the
compound for some time, or to their individual biases, or if they
had
an ax to
grind with present cult members.
Another weak
link in the investigation was the undercover house set
up to monitor and track cult activities. From the beginning we learn
agents
assigned do not have a strong sense of mission. Team members were
inexperienced, had no direction or supervisor. They state they did
not know
what to look for or what was expected of them. Did they ask?
Originally
the
undercover house was intended to operate on a full
time basis. Within a short period it appears as if the undercover
agents
adjust
observation times on their own. There is no 24-hour watch. Agents fail
to see
Howell one critical time as he left the compound. Surveillance
equipment
is
faulty or misused. Members report there are 75 members living in the
compound.
The fact is 127 people are present on the day of the raid. A supervisor
is
brought in to take charge of operations but little changes. Why? Little
useful
information is gained from efforts prior to undercover agent Rodriguez
making
contact with the compound leader.
On the day of
the raid Agent Rodriguez gets into the compound and
exits after hearing Koresh say "A.T.F. and the National Guard are
coming.
They
won't get me, they'll never get me." The undercover reports this and
other
useful information to the Deputy Tactical Coordinator at the undercover
house.
Rodriguez is instructed to call and brief the Tactical Coordinator
at the rear
command post. After asking the undercover several sterile questions,
the
Tactical Coordinator consults with the Incident Commander and another
supervisory agent, then decides to speed the raid up. He disregards
all the
significant factors to the plan and accelerates its timetable which
was based
on 10:00 a.m. as being the point for entry into the compound. SRT
members
are
instructed to dress quickly for their assignment. They are loaded onto
cattle
trailers and rushed to the compound.
During this
time
radio communications begin to break down within the
raiding party. The helicopters get to the scene behind schedule. A
group of
observers are not in place. Added to this is the fact that forward
observers
at the undercover house are unfamiliar with the daily routine in the
compound.
They don't know what to look for. They fail to recognize that no signs
of life
or movement by cult members means danger. They do not report back that
there
are no men working in the pit. That was the critical element of the
plan,
SURPRISE, and the ability to separate the men from the weapons. All
is lost.
As all this
is
happening, the leaders of the raid have inadvertently
quarantined themselves from any new information. They assume tactically
incorrect positions. They
are not centralized. This helped make the coordination of efforts
very
difficult. As the response teams roll up to the front of the compound
they are
sitting ducks. Had it not been for the extensive training which members
received at Fort Hood in preparation for this event, I feel many more
agents
would have been killed or injured.
Questions
have
been asked in the days since the initial raid on the
compound. Was the plan sound? Was there consideration given to
alternatives?
Was the choice for a dynamic entry a reasonable call?
Based on my
25
years of experience with the New York City Police
Department, if all the given facts which led to the decision to conduct
the
entry were true, I believe the plan had a reasonable chance of success.
Members
considered alternatives, but their "FACTS" led them to believe a raid
on the
compound could be successfully achieved. Strictly as a Monday morning
quarterback, I would have opted for a siege plan. It should be noted
that a
plan of this nature was ultimately unsuccessful in Waco.
I believe the
three-day training and other preparation conceived at
Fort Hood was excellent and well thought out. Improvement in tactical
situations by all members concerned was evident as displayed in the
training
tapes.
I disagree
with
A.T.F.'s policy of using the Tactical Coordinators
as investigators to gain information from cult members. It put them
too close
to the case. I believe they lost objectivity relative to the plan.
Had the
investigation been done by others, tactical leaders would have
questioned
these
so-called "facts" more closely. The decision to siege or go tactical
should not
be decided solely by tactical members. They are the can do, must do
when all
else fails people of the organization. It should be their
responsibility
to
formulate a plan which should be analyzed, scrutinized and questioned
by
supervisors from above before sanctioning it. This acts as a check
valve and
ensures that those putting the plan together have all the facts
available
and
that the plan holds up when challenged.
Other major
flaws
with this case were the way members became
desensitized to the amount of arms which were reportedly in the
compound
and
this group's fanatic hatred of A.T.F. Supervising agents failed to
either
realize or appreciate the magnitude of firepower that they would be
up against
if a fire fight erupted. Early in the case this investigation was
marked
"sensitive." This designation meant that A.T.F. Headquarters would
automatically begin monitoring its progress. Surprisingly, there was
little
input or direction from above. Nobody up or down the supervisory chain
of
command asked tough or unpopular questions relative to the plan. No
one
questioned
its poor case management, the improper utilization of surveillance
equipment
or the availability of other resources. Could agents get a warrant
and put a
tap on phones in the compound? Could A.T.F. not monitor CB
communications
coming and going to the center? No one decided to ask for or send in
specialists when called for. The final decision to go/no go was
ultimately
left
in the overtaxed hands of the Tactical Coordinator. As the decision
to go
forward progressed, leaders failed to properly evaluate the information
learned
from Agent Rodriguez. They failed to recognize that the element of
surprise and
its tactical significance had been lost. They underestimated their
target and
his unseen ambush by overestimating the intimidating appearance of
86 agents
dressed in full SWAT gear.
No discussion
of the events of February 28th could be complete
without mention of problems encountered with the media. On December
15, 1992
case agent Aguilera learned the Waco Tribune-Herald was obtaining
information
about the cult, its leader and the Davidian compound for a possible
article.
As time went on, members of A.T.F. attempted to persuade Tribune
officials
to
delay publication of an upcoming series featuring the cult, citing
the ongoing
investigation and likelihood of a potential raid. Not only did the
paper refuse
to comply, but the first article "The Sinful Messiah" appeared a day
before the
actual raid.
On the day of
the raid at least seven media vehicles were in the
vicinity of the compound. The Texas Rangers report of investigation
details how
a reporter unwittingly leaked details of a potential A.T.F. raid to
a cult
member who returned to the compound and alerted Koresh.
CONCLUSION
In
conclusion,
I would like to thank Mr. Ronald K. Noble, Assistant
Secretary for Enforcement, for the leadership, candor and enthusiasm
which he
brought to his position. Congratulations go to all members of his team
for
their varied skills, straight forwardness and dedication to duty during
the
arduous task of gathering the information for the review panel. A word
of
praise as well for fellow members of the review panel. It was an honor
and
privilege to serve with persons of such varied backgrounds, experience
and
knowledge.
It is always
easier to criticize, second guess and punch holes into
a plan rather than construct one. No plan is or will ever be perfect.
Under
pressure mistakes were made. Enough cannot be said for the courage
and
fortitude exhibited
by all A.T.F. members who risked their lives at a previously unknown
compound
in Texas. Despite this incident, there can be no doubt why the Bureau
of
Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms is thought of so highly by the law
enforcement
community.
My extreme
gratitude
goes to those members from A.T.F. who
volunteered to meet with and discuss openly and freely the events of
Waco with
the review panel. To my knowledge this was an unprecedented event.
Their wish
and mine is that lessons can be learned from this tragic incident and
that the
mistakes made will not be repeated in the future.
The events in
Waco should bring about a change in philosophy and
create interaction between federal, state and local law enforcement
and
encourage the sharing of ideas equipment and training which will be
beneficial
to all.
Appendix B
Explosives Experts
(alphabetically
by author)
Paul W. Cooper
Joseph T. Kennedy
REPORT on EXPLOSIVES QUESTIONS
RELATED to the
WACO ADMINISTRATIVE REVIEW
Paul W. Cooper
August 5, 1993
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
A review was made of documents describing items and materials
purported
to have been delivered to the
Branch Davidian Compound near Waco, Texas. These items and materials
could, in the author's opinion, be
combined in any of several ways to construct explosive destructive
devices. It is shown that abundant literature
is readily available which instructs the reader in the fabrication
and use of such devices. It is further shown
that in the United States, each year, a great number of such devices
have actually been illegally fabricated and
used, as reported by both the BATF and the FBI.
INTRODUCTION
This report is in response to three major questions which were posed
to me by the Waco Administrative
Review(Ref 1). These were (in reference to materials/chemicals
contained
in an ATF Report of
Investigation(Ref2):
1. "Do any of these entities when combined, in any manner or quantity,
constitute an explosive?"
2. "From your experience, could any of these entities when combined,
in any manner or quantity, be utilized as
an explosive in an improvised explosive device?"
3. "From your experience, what explosive or improvised explosive
devices
could be manufactured from the
referenced entities?"
In addition to these questions, I will add three others:
4. How many explosive devices (re: question 3) could be manufactured
from the referenced entities?
5. If the referenced entities could be made into an explosive device,
would the methods of doing that exist as
reference or instructional material, and if so, how available are such
instructional materials?
6. Have explosive mixtures and/or improvised explosive devices which
could be fabricated from the reference
entities and described in the available instructional literature ever
actually been made and or used?
The report which follows will first discuss the referenced entities,
and then answer each question in technical
depth.
THE REFERENCE ENTITIES
The materials/chemicals described above as the reference entities
and
which are pertinent to the making of
explosives and explosive devices (quoted from Reference 2) are:
1. "Large quantity of black powder. "
(In reference 3 this is described as "black gun powder", and also is
given as 40 to 50 pounds. This may be
smokeless gun powder and not black powder. The reason for suspecting
this is because no shipping documents
are referenced for this item but this was based, in Ref.3, upon
testimony
of the UPS driver. The two different
gun powders are often confused by many people or not even thought to
be different and therefore the names
are often interchanged.).
2. "Ninety (90) pounds of powder aluminum metal and 30 to 40 card board
tubes; 24" in length by 1 1/4 to 1 1/2
in diameter."
3 . "Fifty (50) M-31 practice rifle grenades. "
4. "One hundred fifty (150) M-31 practice rifle grenades. "
5. "Potassium Nitrate (oxidizer)."
(This is given as 30 pounds in Reference 3)
6. "Ignitor Cord (Class "C" explosive)."
(This is given as one pound in Reference 3.).
7. "Magnesium Metal (Flammable solid). "
(This is described as "Magnesium metal powder" and given as five pounds
in Reference 3.).
In addition to the above, but not mentioned in Ref. 2, are:
8. Two boxes of practice ("pineapple type") hand grenades (about 50
hand grenades), assumed to be empty or
inert(Ref3). This description fits the U.S. Army M21 Practice Hand
Grenade.
9. Over 138,000 rounds of various small arms ammunition(Refs3,4,5).
These are mentioned here because the
smokeless powder with which each cartridge is loaded is easily removed.
The total amount of smokeless powder
in this number of small arms cartridges is approximately 840 pounds.
QUESTION 1
"Do any of these entities when combined, in any manner or quantity, constitute an explosive?"
The black powder by itself is an explosive. The black powder can be
combined with the aluminum powder to
give it an intensified incendiary effect. The black powder can be
combined
with the potassium nitrate to
increase its gas output when it explodes.
The smokeless powder by itself is an explosive, and like the black
powder
can have aluminum or magnesium
powder added to it to give it an enhanced incendiary effect.
The potassium nitrate can be combined with either the aluminum
powder
or the magnesium powder or a
mixture of the two metal powders to form an explosive.
QUESTION 2
"From your experience, could any of these entities when combined, in
any manner or quantity, be utilized as an
explosive in an improvised explosive device? "
When confined in a metal case the powders and mixtures described in
the answer to question 1 (above) can,
when ignited, explode violently, bursting or fragmenting the casing
and producing potentially lethal high
velocity fragments in addition to the blast and fireball.
If confined lightly, such as in a card board tube, the powders and
mixtures
described above may explode
sufficiently to produce a blast wave and also produce a fireball or
incendiary effect.
The ignitor cord can be used not only to ignite the explosive filler
of an explosive device, but can also be used
to provide a delay element in a fusing train such as the burning fuse
in a firework, or delay element in a hand
grenade fuse.
QUESTION 3
"From your experience what explosive or improvised explosive devices
could be manufactured from the
referenced entities?"
The practice hand grenade parts could be loaded with the mixtures
described
above and fused (have a fuse or
fusing mechanism attached). The blank vent hole in the base of the
practice grenade would have to be sealed
by either welding or threading and plugging with a metal bung, thus
making working grenades.
The mixtures described above could be loaded into metal pipes or
pipe
nipples, sealed at each end with pipe
caps, and fused with the ignitor cord, thus making pipe bombs.
The mixtures could be loaded into card board tubes, sealed at each
end,
and fused with the Ignitor cord, thus
making a blast and incendiary device. Such a device could be lethal
from the blast effects if exploded close to or
in contact with a person.
QUESTION 4
How many explosive devices (re: question 3) could be manufactured from the referenced entities?
The M21 practice grenade can hold approximately 40 to 50 cubic
centimeters
of powder. All of the powders
mentioned above have approximately the same loose pour bulk density
(approximately 0.9 g/cc), therefore each
grenade would hold about 35 to 45 grams of powder. There is sufficient
quantity of powder of each type
described above to fill more than 250 grenades (there were at least
50 grenade bodies purported to have been
delivered) .
The number of pipe bombs which could have been filled would depend
upon
the size and length of pipes used.
As an example, standard two inch pipe cut to five inches length and
capped with standard end caps would hold
approximately a half pound of loose poured powder. Therefore as many
as 70 or more such pipe bombs could
have been made from the stated quantities of any of the powders.
The 30 to 40 each 24 inch long cardboard tubes shipped with the
aluminum
powder could each be loaded with
approximately three quarters of a pound of loose poured powder. This
would fill all of the tubes and leave over
some powder.
QUESTION 5
If the referenced entities could be made into an explosive device,
would
the methods of doing that exist as
reference or instructional material, and if so, how available are such
instructional materials?
Yes. Instructional material in the form of books, pamphlets, and
instruction
sheets are readily available in book
shops, gun shows, through mail order, and even on computer bulletin
boards.
References Nos. 6 through 10 of this report are examples which were
recently purchased at a local gun show in
Albuquerque NM. All of these references mention the REFERENCED ENTITIES
in a number of admixtures
and in a number of explosive devices. Reference 9 in particular
describes
using these exact materials loaded
into modified practice hand grenades and gives methods of modifying
and reloading the grenade fuses as well as
manufacturing improvised fuses for the practice grenades.
QUESTION 6
Have explosive mixtures and/or improvised explosive devices which
could
be fabricated from the reference
entities and described in the available instructional literature ever
actually been made and or used?
Yes. A review of recent FBI and BATF annual reports(Refs 11,12) show
a large number of cases involving pipe
bombs as well as modified military ordnance (the latter includes
practice
grenades). The two agencies utilize
somewhat different yet overlapping data bases, and report the data
somewhat differently. However, a good
overall picture of the usage of the referenced explosives in pipe bombs
and modified military ordnance can be
seen in figures 1 through 4.
[Figure 1]
[Figure 2]
[Figure 3]
[Figure 4]
CONCLUSIONS
The materials purportedly delivered to the Branch Davidians as
stated
in the referenced documents can, in the
opinion of this author, be combined in several ways to make explosive
materials and destructive explosive
devices. In particular, all of the materials were present to modify
and fabricate functioning fragmentation hand
grenades, as well as pipe bombs, and blast and incendiary devices.
Respectfully submitted,
[signed]
Paul W. Cooper
REFERENCES
1. "Questions for Explosives Experts", a query by the Waco Review
presented
to me on 7 July 1993 (copy
attached as Appendix I).
2. ATF Report of Investigation, No. 53110-92- 1069-X, 22 July 1992.
3. Application and Affidavit for Search Warrant, U.S. District Court,
Western District of Texas, (marked W93-
15M), Filed 26 Feb. 1993.
4. A Spreadsheet, titled "Deliveries to Mag-Bag", 5 pages (copy
attached
as Appendix II).
5. A Spreadsheet, untitled, 2 pages, (copy attached as Appendix III)
6. "CIA Field Expedient Incendiary Manual", The Combat Bookshelf,
Desert
Publications, Phoenix AZ, 1977.
7. "The Poor Man's James Bond", Kurt Saxon, Atlan Formularies, Eureka
CA, 1972.
8. "Special Forces Demolition Techniques", Extract from Army Field
Manual FM 31-20 (December 1965),
Paladin Press, Boulder CO, (no date)
9. "OSS Sabotage & Demolition Manual", Paladin Press, (no date)
10. "Unconventional Warfare Devices and Techniques, INCENDIARIES",
US Army TM 31 -201 - 1 (May 1966).
11. Bu. ATF, Annual Explosives Incidents Reports:
1985 (10 year Retrospective, 1976-1985) and all reports 1986 through
1991.
12. FBI Annual Bomb Summaries:
1990 through 1992.
QUESTIONS FOR EXPLOSIVE EXPERTS
Reference the materials/chemicals contained in ATF Report of
Investigation, 53110-92-1069X, dated 7/22/92.
Do any of these entities when combined, in any manner or quantity,
constitute an explosive?
From your experience, could any of these entities when combined, in
any
manner or quantity, be utilized as an explosive in an improvised
explosive device?
From your experience, what explosives or improvised explosive
devices
could be manufactured from the referenced entities.
Deliveries to Mag Bag
Route 7, Box 555, Waco, Texas
March 26 through August 12, 1992
I.N. 53110-92-1069X
INVOICE#
Shipped From
DATE
QUANT. COST DESCRIPTION
ALPHA TRADING COMPANY
06/17/92
20 $1,200.00 100 RD., AK-47 MAGAZINES
ALPHA TRADING COMPANY 08/06/92 200 $540.00 USED AR-15 MAGAZINES
ALPHA TRADING COMPANY 08/12/92 30 $150.00 USED M-14 MAGAZINES
CENTEC FIRE SYSTEMS, INC. 07/17/92 NONE $411.29 UNKNOWN (CONT#309912, SHIP#409992)
CENTURY INTERNAT'L ARMS 07/06/92 NONE 1M - 7.62 (#026529, PIECE #026529)
FOX FIRE CO.
06/05/92
NONE
90 LBS POWDER, ALUM METAL & 30-40
CARDBOARD TUBES
JONATHAN ARTHUR CIENER
07/08/92
NONE
.22LR CONV. KITS - AR-15,MINI-14 & AK47
(#451221)
JONATHAN ARTHUR CIENER 07/08/92 NONE M203 LAUNCHERS, SUPRESSERS, BELT FEED AR15
KENGS FIREARM SPECIALTY 07/09/92 NONE 2 $290.56 UNKNOWN (SHIPPING #383833, CONT. #443693)
L&N SHOOTERS 08/07/92 NONE $280.50 2800 RDS, 9MM AMMUNITION
NESARD GUN PARTS
05/14/92
NONE
$720.00
UNKNOWN (SHIPPING #622836, CONT.#443693)
SHIPPED FROM | DATE | INVOICE # | QUAN$. COST | DESCRIPTION
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/26/92 A43880 5 $l,215.00 KlB, 16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/26/92 A43878 5 $l,215.00 KlB, 16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/26/92 A43879 1 $10.00 H18
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/26/92 A43879 5 $1,215.00 KlB, 16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43911 4 $972.00 K18
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43911 4 $l,152.00 K28 W/EZ & AZFS
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43911 4 $1,152.00 K2B, W/EZ L AZFS
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43911 4 $972.00 KlB
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43923 5 $1,215.00 KlB, 16" W/AZFS
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43922 5 $1,215.00 KlB, 16" W/AZFS
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 03/30/92 A43923 5 $1,215.00 KlB, 16", W/AZFS
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/02/92 A43929 3 $879.00 KlB, W/EZ, UPPER
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/02/92 A43929 1 $243.00 KlB, 16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/02/92 A43929 1 $243.00 KlB, 16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/02/92 A43929 2 $516.00 K2B, 20 W/EZ UPPER & AZFS FLASH SUPPRESSOR
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC.
04/02/92
A43929 3 $879.00 KlB, 16" W/EZ,
UPPER
SHIPPED FROM | DATE | INVOICE # | QUANT. COST DESCRIPTION
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/02/92 A43929 2 $576.00 K2B, 20" W/EZ UPPER & AZFS
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45210 4 $1,228.00 K2B, W/EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45211 4 $1,304.00 CAR-9 UNITS W/16" BBL (4 K10'S)
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45210 2 $598.00 KlB, W/EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45231 4 $1,232.00 K2B, W/EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45211 4 $1,304.00 CAR-9 UNITS W/16" BBL
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45210 4 $1,228.00 K2B, W/EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/24/92 A45210 2 $598.00 KlB, W/EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/28/92 A45233 2 $620.00 KlB, W/16" & EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/28/92 A45233 8 $2,104.00 KlB; W/16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/28/92 A45233 2 $620.00 KlB, W/16" & EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/28/92 A45233 8 $2,104.00 KlB, W/16"
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 04/28/92 A45231 4 $1,232.00 K2B, W/EZ
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 07/13/92 A47046 2 $616.00 CAR-45 UNIT
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. 07/13/92 A47046 2 $586.00 CAR-9 UNIT
Olympic ARMS,
INC.
NO Invoice
$2,500.00
.223 AMMUNITION (MARCH 92)
SHIPPED FROM DATE INVOICE QUANT.
COST
DESCRIPTION
OLYMPIC ARMS, INC. NO INVOICE $280.50 9MM AMMUNITION - 2800 RDS. (AUG. 92)
P. L. & T. TIFFIN KNIVES 08/03/92 NO INVOICE $374.00 KNIVES
ROCK ISLAND ARMORY, INC. 06/17/92 104722 50 $162.50 M31 PRACTICE RIFLE GRENADES
ROCK ISLAND ARMORY, INC. 06/29/92 104818 150 $487.50 M31 PRACTICE RIFLE GRENADES
SARCO,
INC.
05/26/92 A43318 1
$274.95
M16 PARTS SET KIT "A" W/SLING & MAG
(NO LWR. RCVR.)
SARCO, INC. 06/18/92 A45276 2 $249.50 M261 RIFLE CONVERSION KITS
SARCO, INC. 06/18/92 A45276 3 $30.00 COMBO WRENCH
SARCO, INC. 06/18/92 A45276 3 $824.85 M16 KIT "A" (SPECIAL OFFERINGS)
SARCO, INC. 06/18/92 A45276 6 $49.95 .22 CONVERSION UNIT MAGS
SARCO, INC. 06/18/92 A45276 4 $79.80 M203 HANDGUARDS
SHOOTERS EQUIPMENT CO.
07/16/92
NO
INVOICE
$387.51
UNKNOWN
(CONT #833766, SHIP #227471,PKG
4199
SHOOTERS EQUIPMENT CO.
07/17/92
NO
INVOICE
$68.88
UNKNOWN (CONT #833722, SHIP #277471,
ID SEC-T-68)
SHOOTERS EQUIPMENT CO.
07/20/92
NO
INVOICE
$122.76
UNKNOWN
(CONT #833674, SHIP #227471,
ID SEC-T-73)
TAPCO, INC. 06/30/92 0022292 2 $299.90 FLARE LAUNCHER W/C.A.R. MOUNT
TAPCO, INC. 07/14/92 NO INVOICE $l,386.86 UNKNOWN (CONT #578336, SHIP #393495)
TAPCO-SPECIALIZED
WEAPONS
06/15/92
2 $44.00 M203 M16 HANDGUARDS
SHIPPED FROM DATE INVOICE QUANT. COST DESCRIPTION
TAPCO-SPECIALIZED
WEAPONS
06/15/92
2 $355.50 CM-2037 FLARE LAUNCHER
TAPCO-SPECIALIZED
WEAPONS
06/15/92
2 $65.50 M203 H.G. SIGHT ASSEMBLY
UNKNOWN 06/08/92 NO INVOICE 60 M-16/AR-15 MAGAZINES
UNKNOWN 06/18/92 NO INVOICE CHEMICALS, INSTRUMENTS & GLASSWARE
UNKNOWN NO INVOICE PRACTICE GRENADES (2 CASES) & BLACK POWDER
UNKNOWN (UPS SHIPMENT)
07/02/92 NO
INVOICE
POTASSIUM NITRATE, 30 LBS(OXIDIZER) ID
#UNI486
UNKNOWN (UPS SHIPMENT) 07/02/92 NO INVOICE MAGNESIUM METAL, 5 LBS.
UNKNOWN (UPS SHIPMENT)
07/02/92 NO
INVOICE
IGNITER CORD, 1 LB. (CLASS C EXPLO.)
TOTAL COST: $44,325.46
E N D O F R E P O R T
Feb 1992:
18 Firearms Purchased: 13 Assault Rifles, 1 Pistol and 4 shotgun
March 5 - 9, 1992:
Team Training held at house 500 Yards East of "Mag Bag" towards
Compound.
These
SWAT Teams from five different law enforcement agencies held all day
SWAT Team
entries.
Howell believes this is a large ATF SWAT Team who are practicing for
a raid on the
Compound.
Howell makes call to arms at Compound in preparation for what he
believes
is an
impeding search and arrest by ATF.
March 5 - 9, 1992
2 Firearms Purchased: 2 Assault Rifles
Fatta buys ground sensors and night vision 3/9/92.
Little orders chemicals to build explosive devices and hand grenades 3/10/92.
Howell orders CA Davidians to come to Texas Compound and 40 members
arrive from
England in mid-March.
Michael Schroeder orders and receives conversion kits to make
machineguns:
3/11/92 29 machinegun kits
4/1/92 20 machinegun kits
5/18/92 34 machinegun kits
7/16/92 37 machinegun kits
Upper receivers to make 100 AR-15/M-16 Assault Rifles arrive by 4/28/92.
60 Cases of 7.62 ammo, 20 Cases of .308 ammo received in March and
April.
(1200
rounds per case)
100 Magazines 7.62 cal 30 round 3/26/92
[Next paragraph was handwritten in bottom margin]
"David Koresh receives a message from God during Passover of Attack
on Compound (he
and true followers will die and rise again at hands of Federal Law
Enforcement"
April 1992
67 Firearms Purchased: 56 Assault Rifles and 11 Pistols
Purchased 6 Walkie Talkies 4/15/92.
11 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 4/1/92.
15 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 4/7/92.
100 Magazines 7.65 cal, 30 round; 30 Cases 7.62 ammo 4/22/92.
5 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 4/30/92.
[Next paragraph is handwritten in bottom margin]
Late April-Early March Koresh pays to fly Paul [unreadable] Jones from
Cal to
Compound to teach military tactics [more unreadable]
May 1992
35 Firearms Purchased: 31 Assault Rifles and 4 Pistols
1 Case 7.62 ammo 5/10/92
6 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 5/12/92.
6 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 5/18/92.
48 Cases 7.62x39 steel core ammo on 5/22/92.
144 web belts 4/22/92.
50 vests, 4 pouches each for AK-47, 30 round magazines on 5/14/92.
June 1992
18 Firearms Purchased: 18 Assault Rifles.
90 Pounds Aluminum Powder 6/5/92.
Repairs Water Well in Compound 6/5/92.
12 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns 6/7/92.
3 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns 6/9/92.
200 M-31 Rifle Grenades (Attempt to Activate) 6/10/92.
[following two paragraphs are handwritten in lower margin]
Receive 5 tech manuals to activate M-31 rifle grenades 6-16-92 and
manuals
or other
tech grenades manuals.
Michael Schroeder receives 120 magazines for British Sten guns
5-20-92.
July
14 Firearms Purchased: 13 Assault Rifles and 1 Pistol.
8 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 7/20/92.
2 SWG Lower Receivers for building machineguns M-16 7/27/92.
Aug 92
2 Firearms Purchased: 3 Assault Rifles and 9 Pistols.
200 AR-15/M-16 Magazines 30 round 8/6/92.
2800 Rounds 9mm ammo 8/7/92.
30 M-14 Magazines .308 cal 20 rounds 8/12/92.
9 Cases .308 ammo 8/18/92.
Sept. 1992
No Activity
Oct 1992
2 Firearms Purchased: 2 Pistols
Nov 1992
20 AK-47 Magazines 100 round 11/23/92.
20 AK-47 100 round magazines on 11/23/92.
Dec 1992
1 Firearm Purchased: 1 Pistol
Jan 1993
No Activity
Feb 1993
No Activity
Totals
Prior to March 5, 1992 80 Firearms were purchased.
After March 5, 1992 236 Additional Firearms were purchased (153
Assault
Rifles
included).
120 Conversion kits for Assault Rifles.
TECHMATICS, Inc.
Three Crystal Park, 2231 Crystal Drive, Suite 1000, Arlington, Virginia
22202-3742
(703)521-3818
July 23, 1993
Department of the Treasury
Waco Review Office, Room 4311
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.
Washington, D.C. 20220
ATTN: Mr. Joseph A. Masonis
Subj: Waco Review Independent Explosive Report
Dear Sir:
The enclosed report constitutes my
individual
assessment relative to the
chemicals and materials reported to be involved in the Waco, Texas
incident.
I sincerely appreciate the opportunity to
be of service and if there are
any question regarding the substance of this report please call me.
Sincerely,
[signed]
Joseph T. Kennedy
Captain USN (Ret)
Enclosure: Waco
Review
Independent Explosive Report w/2 annexes
Corporate Headquarters: Fair Lakes II,12450 Fair Lakes Circle, Suite
800, Fairfax, Virginia 22033
? (703) 802-8300
WACO REVIEW INDEPENDENT EXPLOSIVE REPORT
PURPOSE. The purpose of this report is to provide an independent
judgment
whether the list of materials and chemicals contained in the ATF Report
of
Investigation, 53110-92-1069x, dated 7/22/92, could be used singly
or in
combination to fabricate an improvised explosive device (IED).
BACKGROUND/DEFINITIONS. The following ingredients contained in the
report
could
be made into an IED: black powder, potassium nitrate, aluminum powder,
magnesium powder, ignitor cord and the M-21 practice hand grenades.
Of these
materials the following are included in the U.S.military Explosive
Ordnance
Disposal (EOD) -60 series publications as "Typical Improvised Device
Materials":
Material Hazard Remarks/Precautions
Black Powder Friction,
spark,
Use nonsparking tools
flame, shock,
or
and packing materials.
static
Protect against
electricity. reaction
elements.
Potassium Nitrate Produces
toxic
Increases flammability
oxides
when
of combustible
burned.
materials.
Aluminum Powder Respiratory
and
Used primarily to
eye irritant. increase temperatures
in explosive and
incendiary mixtures.
Magnesium powder Respiratory
and
Used to increase
eye irritant. temperatures in
explosive
and incendiary
mixtures.
Ignitor cord, a class C explosive, generally consists of a center
wire
coated
with a burning compound contained by layered wrappings which is used
to cause
ignition or provide a delay regulated by the speed of burn designed
into the
compound. A11 these materials could also be used in an improvised
incendiary
device. M-21 practice grenades with some modification can be used as
a
container to provide containment for these materials.
.
EXPERIENCE. I would be able to construct an IED by modifying the
grenades
to
permit loading of the black powder. Black powder could be used alone
or mixed
with small amounts of potassium
nitrate and either aluminum or magnesium powder. Aluminum and
magnesium
powders
would serve to increase temperature while potassium nitrate, an
oxidizer,
would
enhance combustion.
M-21 practice grenades are designed with a
smooth hole in the bottom
containing a stopper plug which can be blown out when the ignitor
initiates
the
small amount of black powder. To modify this into an explosive grenade,
the
smooth hole could be threaded to accept a closure plug thereby sealing
the
bottom of the grenade and providing containment for the explosive
mixture.
Practice grenades normally contain a fuse resembling the operational
model. The
fuse consists of a primer that, when struck by the spring loaded
striker
mechanism, emits a spark to ignite a small charge of black powder.
This
generates a puff of smoke to provide realism in a training exercise.
This fuse
could be easily modified to provide a delay channel using time fuse
or ignitor
cord which would accept the primer's spark and burn with a short delay
(approximately 5 seconds) to then ignite the black powder or black
powder
mixture.
Annex A, taken from the Expedient
Hand Grenades publication listed in
Annex B, is just one example of this type of delay fuse. If a practice
fuse was
not available, time fuse or ignitor cord could be used in a more
rudimentary
way through a stuffing tube in the top of the grenade to provide delay
and
ignition of the black powder. This same application is typically found
in pipe
bombs except the fuse is introduced through a drilled hole in one end
cap on a
piece of pipe. Fabricating an improvised device is one thing and having
it
function as desired is another. While their safety and quality are
usually
suspect, their consistency and effectiveness can provide insight into
the
maker's subject knowledge.
The quantities of materials listed in the
report would support conversion
of the two cases of practice grenades (30-40 grams each) as well as
a large
quantity of pipe bombs or incendiary devices.
KNOWLEDGE. While someone with the proper educational background or
appropriate
training in explosives from military or commercial sources can build
an
improvised explosive device, the ability to produce an IED is
essentially
limited only by one's ability to read. Numerous publications on the
open market
not only describe the chemistry in detail but provide a step by step
description to build explosive and incendiary devices. The appendix
to this
report includes a small sampling of publications that are available
in
newsstands, gun shows, and public libraries. Additionally, there are
periodicals such as Soldier of Fortune magazine that occasionally have
"how to"
articles as well as an advertisement for many of the books in the
appendix.
I determined the availability of information
for the construction of
improvised explosive devices by visiting the Library of Congress, a
local
bookstore, and newsstand in
Alexandria, VA. At the Library of Congress, I used an access
terminal
in the
Adams Building's Science and Technology Reading Room to search on the
keyword
"explosives." This identified the book titles included in the
bibliography,
Annex B. Paladin Press, which specializes in this genre, has several
pages of
book advertisement in two recent editions of Soldier of Fortune
magazine
and
continues its production of The Poor Man's James Bond, one of the
original
classics. The newest source of information is computer bulletin boards.
Anyone
with a computer and telephone modem, and knowledge to access networks
can dial
in and find this information on the "bulletin board." As a test case,
I dialed
in and found numerous articles on how to manufacture explosives and
make
improvised explosive and incendiary devices.
CONCLUSION. The ingredients referenced in the reports and discussed
above could
be fabricated into an explosive or incendiary device.
Respectfully submitted
[signed]
Joseph T. Kennedy
Captain USN (Ret)
[Annex A]
ANNEX B
The Anarchist Arsenal: Improvised Incendiary and Explosives
Techniques,
by
David Harber, published by Paladin Press, Boulder CO, 1990 (Keyword
was
"Explosives--Amateurs' manuals").
The Anarchist Handbook, by Robert Wells, published by J. Flores,
Rosemead
CA,
1985 (keyword was "Explosives, Military--Handbooks, manuals, etc.").
Bomb Squad: Defining and Defusing Terrorist Explosives, published by
Paladin
Press, Boulder CO, 1990 (keyword was "Paladin Press").
Deadly Brew: Advanced Improvised Explosives, by Seamer Lecker,
published
by
Paladin Press, Boulder CO, 1987 (keyword was "Explosives--Handbooks,
manuals,
etc.").
EOD Improvised Explosives Manual, published by Paladin Press,
Boulder
CO, 1990
(keyword was "Explosives--Handbooks, manuals, etc.").
Expedient Hand Grenades, by G. Dmitrieff, published by Desert
Publications,
El
Dorado AR, 1984.
Improved Explosives: How to make your own, by Seamer Lecker,
published
by
Paladin Press, Boulder CO, 1985 (keyword was "Explosives,
Military--Handbooks,
manuals, etc.").
Improvised Munitions Black Book, published by Desert Publications,
El
Dorado
AZ, 1982 (Keyword was "Explosives- Amateurs' manuals").
The Poisoner's Handbook, by Maxwell Hutchkinson, published by
Loompanics,
Port
Townsend WA, 1988 (keyword was "Explosives- Miscellanea").
The Poor Man's James Bond, by Kurt Saxon, published by Atlan
Formularies,
Eureka CA.
Ragnar's Guide to Home and Recreational Use of High Explosives, by
Ragnar
Benson, published by Paladin Press, Boulder CO, 1988 (Keyword was
"Explosives--Amateurs' manuals").
Appendix
B
Firearms Experts
(alphabetically by
author)
Wm. C. Davis
Charles
R. Fagg
WM. C. DAVIS, JR., P.E.
REGISTRATION 453K, Pa
TIOGA ENGINEERING COMPANY, INC.
P.O. Box 913, 13 Cone Street
Wellsboro, PA 16901
TELEPHONES:
(717) 724-3533
(717) 662-2730
FAX (717) 662-3347
LETTER REPORT
SUBJECT: Review of BATF Operations in the Matter of David
Koresh and the
Branch Davidian Cult at Waco, Texas
FOR: Joseph A. Masonis
Waco Review Team
U. S. Treasury Department
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue NW
Washington, DC 20220
DATE: 3 August 1993
1. BACKGROUND:
1.1 As is now well known, agents of the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco
and
Firearms
(BATF), attempting to execute a search warrant on 28 February 1993
at the compound
of the so-called "Branch Davidian" cult which was led by Vernon W.
Howell (aka:
David Koresh) near Waco, Texas, were met by armed resistance. The
initial
encounter
resulted in the shooting deaths of both BATF agents and cult members;
the ensuing
confrontation, which lasted until 19 April 1993, resulted finally in
the death of
Koresh and many members of his cult. A review of all aspects of this
operation is
now in progress. One part of that review is to address the question
of whether the
evidence available to the BATF, before the raid on 28 February 1993,
was sufficient
to support a reasonable inference that Koresh and his followers inside
the compound
were assembling automatic weapons ("machine guns") in violation of
provisions of the
National Firearms Act.
1.2 This writer has agreed to serve and has been appointed as a
technical
consultant
to review independently the evidence that was available to the BATF
prior to the
raid on 28 February 1993, and to formulate an opinion, if possible,
as to whether
the BATF had reasonable cause to obtain a search warrant and attempt
to execute it
on the premises of the "Branch Davidian" cult on 28 February 1993.
2. ITEMS OF EVIDENCE EXAMINED:
2.1 Inclosure 1 herewith is a compiled list of military and/or
paramilitary
materiel, including firearms, ammunition, etc., procured by Koresh
and his followers
from about February 1992 to December 1992. The names of items listed
in Inclosure
1 were taken from several different source documents that were made
available to me
for review, as shown at Inclosure 2. The items listed on the various
source
documents were entered into a computer data base so that they could
be sorted and
grouped according to various criteria for analysis. Inclosure 1 is
a printout of the
data base. Because of overlapping dates and inconsistencies in
nomenclature
used in
the source documents, there are some uncertainties in their
interpretation.
It
follows, therefore, that there may be some inaccuracies in the data
base compiled
from the source documents. It is possible that some of the individual
items found
in the source documents have been either omitted entirely or have been
counted twice
in compiling the data base. I believe, however, that the number of
such
discrepancies is relatively small, and would have no significant effect
on the
overall conclusions to be drawn from the data.
2.2 Another point of information that is important, in my opinion,
to
the analysis
of the data on acquisition of materiel by Koresh and his followers,
is the kind of
machine tools available to them. In response to my inquiries on this
point, I have
been informed that at least an engine lathe and a milling machine were
known to be
available inside the compound.
3. OBSERVATIONS:
3.1 None of the many pieces of information available to me is
sufficient,
by itself,
to answer the question as to whether Koresh and his followers inside
the compound
were engaged in assembling automatic weapons in violation of the
National
Firearms
Act. However, these pieces of information, taken together, form a
context
in which
that overall question should be addressed. The evidence indicates that
the BATF had
acquired the following information by about the end of December 1992,
approximately
two months before the attempt to execute the search warrant at the
"Branch Davidian"
compound.
3.1.1 Between February 1992 and December
1992,
Koresh and his followers had acquired
the items listed below:
3.1.1.1 Approximately 136 weapons described as "assault
rifles", 29 pistols, 4
shotguns, 786 magazines for firearms, and 211,000 rounds of small-arms
ammunition.
3.1.1.2 In addition to these purchases of complete firearms, Koresh
and his
followers also had purchased 110 AR15/M16 upper receivers (with
barrels)
and 68
AR15/M16 lower-receiver
assemblies, indicating that at least 110 AR15/M16 rifles were to be assembled.
3.1.1.3 Additional firearms-related items procured by Koresh and his
followers
included grenade-launcher attachments for AR15/M16 rifles, and a
modification
that
reportedly allowed the AR15/M16 rifle to be loaded and fired using
belts of
ammunition (a typical characteristic of true machine guns) instead
of loading and
firing ammunition fed from magazines, as it is commonly done for
rifles.
3.1.1.4 Koresh and his followers also had purchased more than 400
empty
M31 Practice
rifle grenades, unspecified quantities of blackpowder, and various
materials that
may be used in making explosive and/or pyrotechnic compounds, including
30 pounds
of potassium nitrate, 5 pounds of magnesium metal, 90 pounds of
powdered
aluminum,
and one pound of igniter cord (a Class C explosive).
3.1.2 The items enumerated above include only those known to have
been
delivered to
Koresh and his followers in recorded transactions. They do not include
items that
might have been purchased directly from vendors or from private parties
within the
state of Texas, or otherwise in unrecorded transactions.
3.2 It seems virtually certain that most of the parts obtained by
Koresh
and his
followers for assembly into AR15/M16 rifles were of the military M16
configuration,
some of which differ significantly from those of the semiautomatic
AR15 rifle. In
particular, the bolt carrier, selector, trigger, hammer and
disconnector
of M16
configuration differ significantly from those of the semiautomatic
AR15 rifle. These
parts of M16 configuration can be installed in a semiautomatic AR15
rifle, but they
do not convert the rifle to automatic fire, except in combination with
an automatic
sear. There is no automatic sear listed in the accounting above, so
the question now
arising is whether it is reasonably probable that Koresh and his
followers
had
possession of automatic sears for use in assembling automatic rifles
from the
AR15/M16 parts that they had obtained.
3.2.1 It is perhaps significant that Koresh and his followers
elected
to purchase
parts for assembly into AR15/M16 rifles, rather than buying the
assembled
weapons
themselves. One might speculate that buying parts to assemble the
firearms
was an
economy measure, but the savings realized would not have been very
great in
comparison with the cult's total expenditures on armament during this
period. The
alternative and more plausible explanation seems to be that firearms
of the type
they preferred could not have been legally procured because they are
automatic
weapons. Furthermore, it seems unlikely that the cult would have
purchased
parts
sufficient to assemble more than 100 rifles unless they knew in
advance
that they
had access to all the parts required to complete the weapons, including
automatic
sears.
3.2.2 Automatic sears are of two types. The automatic sear used in
military
M16
automatic rifles is specifically designed for installation and
functioning
in the
lower receiver of the M16 automatic rifle, and the lower receiver of
the M16
automatic rifle is designed to accommodate the automatic sear. The
lower receiver
of the non-military AR15-type semiautomatic rifle is purposefully
designed
so as to
prevent the installation of the military automatic sear, but the
AR15-type
receiver
can, by a person sufficiently skilled and having access to a milling
machine with
appropriate tooling, be altered to allow installation of a military
automatic sear.
The so-called "drop-in" automatic sear was specifically
designed
and intended for
installation in the unmodified lower receiver of the AR15 semiautomatic
rifle. The
"drop-in" automatic sear will, when used in combination with certain
military
M16-type parts that are readily available, provide the capability for
genuine
automatic fire from the rifle. The "drop-in" automatic sear was
available
from
various sources and was not subject to special controls before 1986.
It has since
1986 been subject to the same controls imposed by the NFA on automatic
weapons
("machine guns"), but there are undoubtedly unregistered specimens
of the "drop-in"
sear still in existence. Given one specimen as a pattern, a skilled
machinist,
having access to a milling machine with appropriate tooling, could
produce
serviceable "drop-in" automatic sears.
4. CONCLUSIONS:
4.1 It is my conclusion that the quantities and types of military
and/or
paramilitary items purchased by Koresh and his followers between
February
1992 and
December 1992 indicate that he was preparing for what he perceived
would be all-out
armed conflict against the forces of civil authority. If that is so,
he would
probably have perceived some advantage in arming his followers with
automatic
weapons for the occasion, and he would have had little concern for
the comparatively
trivial infraction of violating the National Firearms Act by assembling
automatic
weapons.
4.2 It is also my conclusion, based on the aforementioned records of
purchases made
by Koresh and his followers, that they had by January 1992 acquired
all of the parts
necessary, with the possible exception of automatic sears, for
assembling
a
substantial number of M16-type automatic rifles. Furthermore, it is
my conclusion
that Koresh and his followers had equipment capable of modifying the
lower receivers
of AR15-type semiautomatic rifles to accept the M16-type automatic
sears, and also
equipment capable of making
"drop-in" automatic sears for use in unmodified AR15-type lower receivers.
4.3 In summary, it is my conclusion that the information available
to
the BATF on
or before 31 December 1992 was sufficient to justify a reasonable
inference
that
Koresh and his followers in the compound of the cult were engaged in
the assembly
of automatic weapons, in violation of the National Firearms Act.
SUBMITTED: [signed]
Wm. C. Davis, Jr., P.E.
Incls:
1. Compilation of data on materiel acquired.
2. Source documents from which data were compiled.
8/04/43
DELIVERIES
(DESC. SORT)
Date Desc Qty From Cost
4/30/92 AMMUNITION, .308 (1200 RDS PER CASE-20
CASES)
24000 UNKNOWN
8/18/92 AMMUNITION, .308 (1200 RDS PER CASE-9
CASES)
10800 UNKNOWN
7/06/92 AMMUNITION, 7.62 (#026529, PIECE
#O26529)
1000 CENTURY INTERNATIONAL ARMS
5/10/92 AMMUNITION, 7.62 (1200 RDS PER CASE-1
CASE)
1200 UNKNOWN
4/22/92 AMMUNITION, 7.62 (1200 RDS PER CASE-30
CASES)
36000 UNKNOWN
3/31/92 AMMUNITION, 7.62 (1200 RDS PER CASE-60
CASES)
72000 UNKNOWN
5/22/92 AMMUNITION, 7.62 X 39 STEEL CORE
(1200 RDS PER CASE-48 CASES)
57600
UNKNOWN
8/07/92 AMMUNITION,
9MM
2800 L & N SHOOTERS 280.50
8/01/92 AMMUNITION,
9MM
2800 OLYMPIC ARMS, IUC 280.50
8/07/92 AMMUNITION,
9MM
2800 UNKNOWN
2/01/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
13 UNKNOWN
3/09/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
2 UNKNOWN
4/01/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
56 UNKNOWN
5/01/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
31 UNKNOWN
6/01/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
18 UNKNOWN
7/01/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
13 UNKNOWN
8/01/92 ASSAULT
RIFLES
3 UNKNOWN
7/08/92 BELT FEED
(AR15)
JONATHAN ARTHUR CIENER
5/26/92 CAR. KIT,
M16
2 NESSARD GUN PARTS CO. 550.00
3/10/92 CHEMICALS FOR EXPLOSIVE DEVICES & HAND
GRENADES
UNKNOWN
92 CHEMICALS, INSTRUMENTS &
GLASSWARE
UNKNOWN
CLEANING KIT,
M16
1 OLYMPIC ARMS, INC 10.00
7/30/92 CONVERSION KIT, .22LR, AR15,MINI14 & AK47
(#451221)
JONATHAN ARTHUR CIENER
6/18/92 CONVERSION KITS, AR15/M16, (M261 RIFLE CONVERSION
KITS) 2 SARCO,
INC
249.50
6/18/92 CONVERSION, AR15/M16 KIT, (EXCEPT LOWER RECEIVER)
3 SARCO,
INC
824.85
5/26/92 EZ KIT, M16, W/AZ, 20"
BBL
2 NESSARD GUN PARTS CO. 620.00
6/10/92 GRENADES, M-31
RIFLE
200 UNKNOWN
6/17/92 GRENADES, M31 PRACTICE
RIFLE
50 ROCK ISLAND ARMORY,
INC
162.50
6/29/92 GRENADES, M31 PRACTICE
RIFLE
150 ROCK ISLAND ARMORY,
INC
487.50
GRENADES, PRACTICE
(CASES)
2 UNKNOWN
3/09/92 GROUND SENSORS & NIGHT VISION
EQUIPMENT
UNKNOWN
6/18/92 HANDGUARDS,
M203
4 SARCO,
INC 79.80
6/15/92 HANDGUARDS, M203 FOR
M16
2 TAPCO-SPECIALIZED WEAPONS 44.00
7/02/92 IGNITER CORD, 1 LB (CLASS C
Explosive)
UNKNOWN
8/03/92
KNIVES
P.L. & T. TIFFIN KNIVES 374.00
6/15/92 LAUNCHER, FLARE
CM-2037
2 TAPCO-SPECIALIZED WEAPONS 355.50
6/30/92 LAUNCHER, FLARE W/C.A.R.
MOUNT
2 TAPCO,
INC
299.90
6/19/92 LAUNCHER, GRENADE,
M76
1 NESSARD GUN PARTS CO.
7/08/92 LAUNCHERS,
M203
JONATHAN ARTHUR CIENER
6/07/92 LOWER RECEIVERS,
SWG
12 UNKNOWN
6/09/92 LOWER RECEIVERS,
SWG
3 UNKNOWN
4/01/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(M16)
11 UNKNOWN
4/07/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(M16)
15 UNKNOWN
4/30/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(M16)
5 UNKNOWN
5/12/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(M16)
6 UNKNOWN
B-
168
Enclosure
1- I
Date
Desc
Qty
From
Cost
5/18/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(M16)
6 UNKNOWN
7/20/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(H16)
8 UNKNOWN
7/27/92 LOWER RECEIVERS, SWG
(H16)
2 UNKNOWN
6/18/92 MAGAZINES, .22 CONVERSION,
(FOR G.l. H261 CONVERSION
UNIT)
6 SARCO,
INC
49.95
3/26/92 MAGAZINES, 7.62, (30
RD)
100 UNKNOWN
4/22~92 MAGAZINES, 7.65 (30
RD)
100 UNKNOWN
11/23/92 MAGAZINES, AK47, 100
RD
20 UNKNOWN
11/23/92 MAGAZINES, AK47, 100
RD
20 UNKNOWN
6/17/92 MAGAZINES, AK47, 100
RD.
20 ALPHA TRADING
COMPANY
1,200.00
8/06/92 MAGAZINES, AR15/M16,
(30-RD)
200 UNKNOWN
8/12/92 MAGAZINES, M14, (.308 CAL,
20-RD)
30 UNKNOWN
6/08/92 MAGAZINES,
M16/AR15
60 UNKNOWN
8/06/92 MAGAZINES, USED
AR15,30
200 ALPHA TRADING
COMPANY
540.00
8/12/92 MAGAZINES, USED
M14
30 ALPHA TRADING
COMPANY
150.00
7/02/92 MAGNESIUM
METAL,
5 LBS UNKNOWN
5/26/92 PARTS, M16, SET KIT "A" W/SLING & MAG
(NO LOWER
RECEIVER)
1 SARCO,
INC
274.95
2/01/92
PISTOL
1 UNKNOWN
4/01/92
PISTOL
11 UNKNOWN
5/01/92
PISTOL
4 UNKNOWN
7/01/92
PISTOL
1 UNKNOWN
8/01/92
PISTOL
9 UNKNOWN
PISTOL
2 UNKNOWN
PISTOL
1 UNKNOWN
7/12/92 POTASSIUM NITRATE, (OXIDIZER),
(LBS.)
30 UNKNOWN
6/05/92 POWDER,
ALUMINUM
UNKNOWN
6/05/92 POWDER, ALUMINUM METAL (LBS.) (L 30-40 CARDBOARD
TUBES)
90 FOX FIRE CO.
POWDER,
BLACK
UNKNOWN
2/01/92
SHOTGUN
4 UNKNOWN
6/15/92 SIGHT ASSEMBLY, M203
H.G.
2 TAPCO-SPECIALIZED
WEAPONS
65.50
5/26/92 SUPPRESSOR, FLASH, REVERSE
FLASHHIDER
1 NESSARD GUN PARTS
CO.
10.00
7/08/92
SUPPRESSORS
JONATHAN ARTHUR CIENER
7/16/92
UNKNOWN
SHOOTERS EQUIPMENT
CO. 387.51
7/17/92
UNKNOWN
SHOOTERS EQUIPMENT
CO. 68.88
7/20/92
UNKNOWN
SHOOTERS EQUIPMENT
CO. 122.76
7/14/92
UNKNOWN
TAPCO,
INC
1,386.86
7/17/92 UNKNOWN (CONT #309912, SHIP
#409992)
CENTEC FIRE SYSTEMS,
INC
411.29
7/09/92 UNKNOWN (SHIPPING #383833, CONTROL
#039756) 2 KENGS
FIREARM
SPECIALTY
290.56
7/09/92 UNKNOWN (SHIPPING #622836, CONT.
#473126)
NESSARD GUN PARTS
CO.
1,250.65
S/14/92 UNKNOWN, (SHIPPING #622836, CONT.
#443693)
NESSARD GUN PARTS
CO.
720.00
4/24/92 UPPER ASSEMBLY, 16" BBL, CAR-9
(9MM)
4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,304.00
4/24/92 UPPER ASSEMBLY, 16" BBL, CAR-9
(9MM)
4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,304.00
7/13/92 UPPER ASSEMBLY, CAR-45
(.45AUTO)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
616.00
7/13/92 UPPER ASSEMBLY, CAR-9
(9MM)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
586.00
4/02/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16"
BBL
1 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC 243.00
4/02/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16"
BBL
1 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC 243.00
4/28/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16"
BBL
8 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC 2,104.00
B-169
Enclosure 1-2
Date Desc Qty From Cost
4/28/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16"
BBL
8 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC 2,104.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL,
(W/AZFS)
5 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,215.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL,
(W/AZFS)
5 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,215.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL,
(W/AZFS)
5 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,215.00
4/28/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL,
(W/EZ)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
620.00
4/28/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL,
(W/EZ)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
620.00
3/26/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL, ASSEMBLED & TEST
FIRED 5
OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,215.00
3/26/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL, ASSEMBLED & TEST
FIRED 5
OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,215.00
3/26/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL, ASSEMBLED & TEST
FIRED 5
OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,215.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 16" BBL, ASSEMBLED & TEST
FIRED 4
OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
972.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20 "MATCH BBL,(W/EZ &
AZFS) 4 OLYMPIC
ARMS,
INC
1,152.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH BBL, (W/EZ &
AZFS) 4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,152.00
4/24/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH BBL,
(W/EZ)
4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,228.00
4/24/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH BBL,
(W/EZ)
4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,232.00
4/28/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH BBL,
(W/EZ)
4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,232.00
4/02/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH BBL,
(W/EZ UPPER & AZFS FLASH
SUPP)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
516.00
4/02/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH BBL,(W/EZ UPPER &
AZFS)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
576.00
4/24/92 UPPER RECEIVER, 20" MATCH
BBL,(W/EZ)
4 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
1,228.00
4/02/92 UPPER RECEIVER,
BBL,(W/EZ,UPPER)
3 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
879.00
3/30/92 UPPER RECEIVER, BBL, ASSEMBLED & TEST
FIRED 4 OLYMPIC
ARMS,
INC
972.00
4/24/92 UPPER RECEIVER,
BBL,(W/EZ)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
598.00
/92 UPPER RECEIVER,
BBL,(W/EZ)
2 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
598.00
/92 UPPER RECEIVER, BBL,(W/EZ,
UPPER)
3 OLYMPIC ARMS,
INC
879.00
5/14/92 VESTS, 4-POUCH EACH FOR AK47, 30 RD.
MAGAZINES
50 UNKNOWN
4/15/92
WALKIE-TALKIES
6 UNKNOWN
4/22/92 WEB
BELTS
144 UNKNOWN
6/18/92 WRENCH, COMBO (FOR
AR15/M16)
3 SARCO,
INC
30.00
TIOGA ENGINEERING
COMPANY,
INC.
P.O. Box 913,
13 Cone Street
Wellsboro, PA 16901
Charles R. Fagg 724-3533
REGISTRATION 40239 TX.
TELEPHONES:
(717) 724-3533
(717) 662-2730
FAX (717) 662-3347
August 5, 1993
LETTER REPORT
Subject:
Investigation of the Circumstances Leading to the February 28, 1993
Raid and
Subsequent Siege of the Branch Davidian Compound, Waco, Texas.
To:
Joseph A. Masonis
1500 Pennsylvania Avenue, N. W., Rm. 4121
Washington, D.C. 20220
Background:
In the Spring of 1993, virtually every
television
and radio station in America
broadcast the events which occurred at the Branch Davidian Compound
at Waco, Texas.
This extensive coverage, coupled with the tragic ending, raised
questions
in the
minds of both the American people and the Government responsible to
those people.
In order to provide answers to these questions, the Government has
mounted a massive
investigation into the events which led to the raid, and into the
execution
of that
raid. Mr. William C. Davis, Jr. and the undersigned, both of Tioga
Engineering Co.,
Wellsboro, PA, were asked to participate in this investigation. To
provide the
necessary information and an understanding of the part we were to play,
Mr. Joseph
A. Masonis, of the Treasury Department, provided a briefing on July
1, 1993, at the
test facilities of Tioga Engineering. At that briefing, we were
provided
written
information and verbal direction. This took the following form.
1. The written material consisted of lists
of the firearm and explosive-related
materials known to have been received prior to February, 1993, by the
"Mag Bag
Corp.", a mailing address of the Branch Davidians.
2. The verbal direction consisted of an
overview
of the investigation and a
clear delineation of the scope of our involve-
ment. My understanding of this direction was that Mr. Davis and I
were
to
independently review the information available to the Bureau of
Alcohol,
Tobacco and
Firearms prior to the incident, and to determine if they acted
reasonably
in seeking
and executing a search warrant.
Information Provided
1. A five-page list of deliveries to "Mag Bag Corp." from March 26
through
August
12, 1992, This document is undated but contains the number I. N.
53110-92-1069X.
(see Appendix 1.)
2. Olympic Arms, Inc. retail catalog, dated January, 1992. (example not enclosed)
3. A two-page document "Firearms Technology Branch Report of
Technical
Examination"
dated Dec. 15, 1992. This document refers to 53110-92-1069 X, and lists
some of the
same materials listed in document number 1., above. (see Appendix 2.)
4. A two-page, undated document purported to provide a history of
weapon-related
transactions of certain members of the Branch Davidians from February,
1992 to
February, 1993. (see Appendix 3.)
5. A two-page "Report of Investigation (Law Enforcement)", dated 23
July, 1992,
referring to Investigation No. 53110-92-1069-X (see 1. and 3. above).
This document
lists the known firearms parts and accessories received by "Mag Bag
Corp." from
March, 1992 to July, 1992, and requests an evaluation as to whether
Vernon Howell
and Mike Schroeder were "possibly converting or manufacturing Title
II weapons".
(see Appendix 4.)
6. A list containing the names, addresses and telephone numbers of
other
parties
involved in the investigation. (copy not included)
7. A written outline and verbal review of the overall scope of the
investigation.
(copy not included)
8. At a later date, in response to a verbal request for further
information,
Mr.
Masonis reported that an engine lathe and a milling machine were known
to be within
the compound.
Comments
Though the information upon which this
study
is based was prepared by the
organization under scrutiny, there is no reason to doubt its accuracy
or
objectivity.
The lists of materials are difficult to
interpret
because they often, but not
always, include the same equipment as duplicate entries. Some items
appear on more
than one list, and others do
not. In document number 4., lower receivers are listed as "lower
receivers"
in the
monthly acquisitions, but are listed as "fire arms" in the totals.
Whether or not
the "lower receivers" are also counted among the monthly firearms
acquisitions
is
unclear. To overcome these problems, only approximate quantities are
included in the
recap list below.
Since the ammunition acquisitions are
sometimes
listed in case lots without
indication of the size of these cases, and since the 5.56 mm ammunition
is listed
only by dollar value, it is impossible to establish the exact amount
of ammunition
received. Here, again, quantities are estimated.
Partial List of Materials Present:
The following is an approximate recap of
the
firearm and explosive-related
materials known to be within the complex by 28 February, 1993.
1. 249 firearms (over 60 % of military derivation)
2. Parts to construct an additional 68 AR-15 rifles
3. Incomplete parts kits to construct 52 AR-15 rifles
4. One belt-fed AR-15 rifle
5. 260 magazines for AR-15 rifles
6. 20 100-round magazines for AK-47 rifles
7. 100 magazines for 7.62 mm weapons (probably AK-47 rifles)
8. 6 caliber .22 conversion unit magazines
9. 30 magazines for M14 rifles
10. M203 Grenade launcher (quantity unknown)
11. 1 M76 (?) grenade launcher
12. 6 Walkie Talkies
13. Kits for converting AR-15, AK-47 and MINI-14 to fire cal. .22
Rimfire
ammunition (quantity unknown)
14. 2 kits for converting AR-15 to fire cal. .45 ammunition
15. 10 kits for converting AR-15 to fire 9 mm ammunition
16. 4 Flair Launchers
17. Over 200,000 rounds of assorted ammunition
18. 200 M31 practice rifle grenades
19. 2 cases of practice grenades (quantity and type unknown)
20. 5 manuals for activating M31 practice rifle grenades
21. Black powder (quantity unknown)
22. 90 pounds of aluminum powder
23. 5 pounds of Magnesium (assumed to be powder)
24. 30 pounds of potassium nitrate
25. An engine lathe and a milling machine
Rationale:
The above is an approximate list of the
firearm
and explosive related
materials known to have been acquired by the Branch Davidians before
Feb. 28,
1993. Most had been acquired between March 26, 1992 and Aug. 12, 1992.
During
this brief period of 4
1/2 months, their expenditures for weapon-related materials was in
excess
of
$43,000. Had they been functioning as dealers, had they been acquiring
collector-type materials, or had the firearms market been such as to
make investment
lucrative, these acquisitions might be explained as some form of
peaceful
endeavor,
but when none of these conditions exist, the only logical explanation
is that the
Branch Davidians were preparing for a massive, armed confrontation.
Particularly revealing is their acquisition
of practice rifle grenades, manuals
for activation of these grenades, black powder and materials for
manufacturing
explosives. This, more than any other item of information, indicates
their
willingness to modify material to enhance their capability of armed
resistance.
Having concluded that the Branch Davidians
were arming, and that they were
willing to modify materials to meet their needs, it is reasonable to
assume that
they were also contemplating means of increasing the effectiveness
of other weapons.
Since it is popularly believed that the combat effectiveness of
automatic
weapons
is superior to that of semiautomatic weapons, it is highly probable
that attempts
were being made to convert some, or all, of their semiautomatic weapons
to fire
automatically. To do so, and at the same time retain acceptable
reliability,
requires the installation of some form of automatic sear, and an
appropriate
selection of parts of M16 configuration. Except for automatic sears,
the remaining
M16 configuration internal parts are easily and legally obtainable.
Appendix 5.
indicates the ease with which these parts may be obtained. While not
specifically
stipulated in Appendix 3., the 120 parts kits called "machinegun kits"
probably
consisted of such parts.
Automatic sears for the AR-15 or M16 rifle
are of two basic types. The
military-type and the drop-in type. Unless modified through the use
of machine
tools, specifically a milling machine, the design of the lower receiver
of the AR-15
rifle prevents installation of the military-type automatic sear. The
drop-in
automatic sear, however, is specifically designed to function in
conjunction
with
the aforementioned M16 parts, but to be capable of installation in
an unmodified,
AR-15, lower receiver. They are a simple assembly, and can be installed
or removed
in less than one minute by an inexpert craftsman.
The material made available does not
indicate
that the Branch Davidians
received shipments containing automatic sears. However, with the
machine
tools known
to exist within the compound, a knowledgeable and motivated individual
could easily
modify AR-15 lower receivers for installation of military-type
automatic
sears, or
fabricate automatic sears of the drop-in type.
Conclusions:
Applying the above rationale leads to the following conclusions.
The Branch Davidians were arming with the
intent
of entering into an armed
confrontation.
In their pursuit of arms, they were
attempting
to activate grenades through
use of black powder or other crude explosives.
In an attempt to increase the combat
effectiveness
of the weapons available
to them, it is highly probable that they were attempting to convert
semiautomatic
weapons to fire automatically, and it is possible that they had
succeeded.
In view of the information available prior
to February 28, 1993, the Bureau
of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms was fully justified in seeking and
attempting to
execute a search warrant at the Branch Davidian Compound in Waco,
Texas.
Respectfully submitted,
[signed]
Charles R. Fagg, P.E.